Bread - Kazakhstan

Kazakhstan

Highlights

Revenue in the Bread market amounts to US$4.38bn in 2024. The market is expected to grow annually by 7.80% (CAGR 2024-2029).
In global comparison, most revenue is generated China (US$80bn in 2024).
In relation to total population figures, per person revenues of US$221.00 are generated in 2024.
In the Bread market, volume is expected to amount to 2.02bn kg by 2029. The Bread market is expected to show a volume growth of 4.5% in 2025.0.
The average volume per person in the Bread market is expected to amount to 86.9kg in 2024.

Key regions:

Market definitionIn-Scope/Out-of-scopeMarket structureMethodology

The Bread market in Kazakhstan is experiencing subdued growth due to factors such as limited consumer spending and competition from other food products. Despite this, digital transformation and increased health consciousness are driving a modest growth in the Bread & Cereal Products Market within The Food market.

Customer preferences: As consumers in Kazakhstan become more health-conscious, there is a growing demand for bread and cereal products that are made from natural and organic ingredients. This trend is a result of cultural preferences for traditional and wholesome foods, as well as a rise in disposable income and awareness about the benefits of a healthy diet. In addition, there has been a shift towards more convenient and on-the-go options, such as pre-packaged and single-serve breads, catering to the busy lifestyles of urban consumers.

Trends in the market: In Kazakhstan, the Bread Market within the Bread & Cereal Products Market is experiencing a shift towards healthier bread options, such as whole grain and gluten-free varieties. This trend is being driven by increasing health consciousness among consumers and a rising demand for natural and organic products. The trajectory of this trend is expected to continue as consumers become more health-focused and demand for these products increases. This could have significant implications for industry stakeholders, who may need to adapt their product offerings and marketing strategies to cater to this growing demand for healthier bread options. Additionally, there is a growing trend towards online shopping for bread and other food products, as more consumers seek convenience and safety during the pandemic. This shift towards e-commerce could present opportunities for industry players to expand their distribution channels and reach a wider customer base.

Local special circumstances: In Kazakhstan, the Bread Market is heavily influenced by the country's nomadic and agricultural heritage. Traditional breads such as baursaks and tandyr are still popular among the local population, while modernization has also brought in a variety of baked goods from other cultures. The market is also shaped by government regulations, with certain types of bread being subsidized to ensure affordability for the population. Additionally, Kazakhstan's geographical location and landlocked status contribute to the market dynamics, with imported grains and wheat being a major factor in determining prices and availability of bread products.

Underlying macroeconomic factors: The Bread Market in Kazakhstan is strongly influenced by macroeconomic factors such as national economic health, government fiscal policies, and global economic trends. The country's stable economic growth and increasing disposable income has led to a rise in consumer spending, leading to a growing demand for bread and cereal products. Additionally, government initiatives to promote healthy eating habits, such as the "Healthy Kazakhstan" program, have also contributed to the growth of the bread market. However, fluctuations in global grain prices and currency exchange rates can impact the cost of production and ultimately affect the market performance.

Data coverage:

The data encompasses B2C enterprises. Figures are based on the total consumer spending on food, which comprises all private household spending on food that is meant for at-home consumption (out-of-home consumption is not accounted for).

Modeling approach:

Market sizes are determined through a top-down approach, building on specific predefined factors for each market segment. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use resources from the Statista platform as well as in-house market research, national statistical offices, international institutions, trade associations, companies, the trade press, and the experience of our analysts. In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as GDP, consumer spending, and consumer price index. This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the relevant market. For example, the exponential trend smoothing is well suited for forecasting the Food market with a projected steady growth. The main drivers are GDP per capita and consumer spending per capita.

Additional notes:

The data is modeled using current exchange rates. The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and the Russia-Ukraine war are considered at a country-specific level. The market is updated twice a year.