Bread - Brazil

  • Brazil
  • Revenue in the Bread market amounts to US$16.62bn in 2024. The market is expected to grow annually by 8.21% (CAGR 2024-2029).
  • In global comparison, most revenue is generated in China (US$80bn in 2024).
  • In relation to total population figures, per person revenues of US$76.38 are generated in 2024.
  • In the Bread market, volume is expected to amount to 7.25bn kg by 2029. The Bread market is expected to show a volume growth of 6.8% in 2025.
  • The average volume per person in the Bread market is expected to amount to 26.0kg in 2024.

Key regions: India, United States, Japan, United Kingdom, China

 
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Analyst Opinion

The Bread market in Brazil has seen moderate growth due to factors such as changing consumer preferences, increasing health consciousness, and the convenience of online services. However, the growth rate has been subdued due to economic challenges and shifting consumer spending patterns.

Customer preferences:
With the rise of health consciousness and the increasing popularity of fitness and wellness activities in Brazil, there has been a corresponding trend towards healthier bread options. This includes a growing demand for gluten-free and whole grain breads, as well as an increased interest in artisanal and organic breads. Additionally, there has been a shift towards more convenient and on-the-go bread options, such as individually packaged and snack-sized bread products. This reflects the busy and fast-paced lifestyle of many Brazilian consumers.

Trends in the market:
In Brazil, the bread market is experiencing a shift towards healthier options, with a growing demand for whole grain and gluten-free products. This trend is driven by increasing health consciousness among consumers and the rise of dietary restrictions. Additionally, there has been a rise in artisanal bread and bakery products, as consumers seek authentic and locally-sourced options. These trends are significant for industry stakeholders as they present opportunities for product innovation and differentiation. However, it also poses challenges in terms of production and distribution, as well as potential pricing implications for these specialized products.

Local special circumstances:
In Brazil, the Bread Market within the Bread & Cereal Products Market is heavily influenced by the country's rich cultural heritage. Bread is a staple food in Brazilian cuisine, and there is a wide variety of traditional breads that are unique to different regions. Additionally, the country's diverse geography and climate have led to the production of different types of grains, which are used in bread making. This adds to the variety of bread options available in the market. Furthermore, government regulations and policies, such as the mandatory fortification of wheat flour with vitamins and minerals, play a significant role in shaping the bread market in Brazil.

Underlying macroeconomic factors:
The Bread Market of the Bread & Cereal Products Market within The Food market in Brazil is heavily influenced by macroeconomic factors such as consumer spending, inflation rates, and government policies. As Brazil is currently facing economic challenges, with high inflation rates and slow economic growth, consumers are becoming more price-conscious and are opting for cheaper alternatives in the bread market. Additionally, the government's fiscal policies, such as taxation and subsidies, also play a significant role in shaping the market. Furthermore, global economic trends, such as the rise of health-consciousness and demand for organic and gluten-free products, are also impacting the bread market in Brazil.

Methodology

Data coverage:

The data encompasses B2C enterprises. Figures are based on the total consumer spending on food, which comprises all private household spending on food that is meant for at-home consumption (out-of-home consumption is not accounted for).

Modeling approach:

Market sizes are determined through a top-down approach, building on specific predefined factors for each market segment. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use resources from the Statista platform as well as in-house market research, national statistical offices, international institutions, trade associations, companies, the trade press, and the experience of our analysts. In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as GDP, consumer spending, and consumer price index. This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the relevant market. For example, the exponential trend smoothing is well suited for forecasting the Food market with a projected steady growth. The main drivers are GDP per capita and consumer spending per capita.

Additional notes:

The data is modeled using current exchange rates. The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and the Russia-Ukraine war are considered at a country-specific level. The market is updated twice a year.

Overview

  • Revenue
  • Volume
  • Price
  • Sales Channels
  • Global Comparison
  • Analyst Opinion
  • Methodology
  • Key Market Indicators
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