Basketball - NAFTA

  • NAFTA
  • Revenue in the Basketball market is projected to reach US$9.72bn in 2025.
  • Revenue is expected to show an annual growth rate (CAGR 2025-2029) of 1.14%, resulting in a projected market volume of US$10.17bn by 2029.
  • In global comparison, most revenue will be generated in the United States (US$9,671.00m in 2025).
  • The average revenue per user (ARPU) in the Basketball market is projected to amount to US$244.50 in 2025.
  • In the Basketball market, the number of users is expected to amount to 42.0m users by 2029.
  • User penetration in the Basketball market will be at 7.8% in 2025.
 
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Analyst Opinion

The Basketball Market in NAFTA is experiencing slow growth due to several factors, including increasing competition from other sports and a decline in interest from younger generations. However, the demand for digital media coverage, merchandise sales, and ticket sales remains strong, driven by the convenience of online platforms and the continued passion for the sport among dedicated fans. These sub-markets continue to fuel the overall growth of the Basketball Market in NAFTA, despite its negligible overall growth rate.

Customer preferences:
According to recent studies, there has been a noticeable rise in the popularity of international players within the Basketball Market in the Sports Market, owing to the increasing diversity in the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) region. This has led to a growing interest in international leagues and tournaments, with many fans following their favorite foreign players on social media and streaming platforms. Moreover, this trend highlights a shift towards cultural integration and global appeal in the sports industry, catering to a wider and more diverse audience.

Trends in the market:
In the NAFTA region, the Basketball market is experiencing a surge in popularity, with increases in viewership and sponsorship deals. This trend is driven by the growing interest in the sport in both the US and Canada, as well as Mexicos recent success in international tournaments. Additionally, there is a budding trend of embracing digital media platforms for content distribution and engagement, creating opportunities for revenue growth and fan engagement. For stakeholders in the industry, this trend showcases the importance of investing in digital strategies to attract and retain a global audience.

Local special circumstances:
In Canada, basketball has a strong presence due to the countrys love for the sport, with thousands of recreational and amateur leagues across the country, creating a robust grassroots market. The Canadian government also invests in developing sports facilities and promoting healthy lifestyles, providing a strong foundation for the growth of the basketball market. In Mexico, the market is heavily influenced by cultural factors, with a strong passion for basketball and a large number of young players. The countrys proximity to the US also allows for easy participation in cross-border tournaments and leagues, as well as exposure to the NBA. These factors contribute to the unique dynamics of the basketball market in NAFTA.

Underlying macroeconomic factors:
The Basketball Market within the Sports Market in NAFTA is heavily influenced by macroeconomic factors. Firstly, global economic trends, such as the growing popularity of basketball as a global sport and the increase in consumer spending on sports-related products, have a direct impact on the market. Secondly, the economic health of each country in NAFTA, particularly the United States, Canada, and Mexico, can affect consumer purchasing power and demand for basketball products. Additionally, favorable fiscal policies, such as tax incentives for sports businesses, can drive market growth. Lastly, other financial indicators, such as GDP and inflation rates, can also impact the performance of the Basketball Market within the Sports Market in NAFTA. These economic factors can create opportunities for market expansion, but also pose challenges for businesses operating in the region.

Methodology

Data coverage:

The data encompasses B2C and B2B revenues. Figures are based on media spending, merchandise spending, and ticket spending. All monetary figures for merchandise and tickets refer to consumer spending on goods or tickets in the respective segment, which can be online and offline.

Modeling approach / Market size:

Market sizes are determined through a combination of bottom-up and top-down approaches, building on specific predefined factors for each market segment. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use annual financial reports of the market-leading companies and industry associations, third-party studies and reports, survey results from our primary research (e.g., Consumer Insights), as well as performance factors (e.g., user penetration, price per ticket, price on sport goods). In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as GDP, number of internet users, and internet consumption. This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the relevant market. For example, the S-curve function or linear forecasting, as it fits the development of either strong growing markets or more sophistacted and saturated markets, such as soccer in Europe.

Additional notes:

The data is modeled using current exchange rates. The market is updated twice a year in case market dynamics change. The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic is considered at a country-specific level. The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and the Russia-Ukraine war are considered at a country-specific level. In some cases, the data is updated on an ad hoc basis (e.g., when new, relevant data has been released or significant changes within the market have an impact on the projected development). We also account for the different cycles of international tournaments, such as world cups or continent cups. Consumer Insights data is reweighted for representativeness.

Overview

  • Revenue
  • Analyst Opinion
  • Reach
  • Global Comparison
  • Methodology
  • Key Market Indicators
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