Oils & Fats - Nigeria

Nigeria

Highlights

Revenue in the Oils & Fats market amounts to US$3.87bn in 2024. The market is expected to grow annually by 12.32% (CAGR 2024-2029).
In global comparison, most revenue is generated India (US$46bn in 2024).
In relation to total population figures, per person revenues of US$16.90 are generated in 2024.
In the Oils & Fats market, volume is expected to amount to 584.80m kg by 2029. The Oils & Fats market is expected to show a volume growth of 6.0% in 2025.0.
The average volume per person in the Oils & Fats market is expected to amount to 2.1kg in 2024.

Key regions:

Market definitionIn-Scope/Out-of-scopeMarket structureReportsMethodology

The Oils & Fats market in Nigeria is experiencing subdued growth, influenced by factors such as fluctuating raw material prices, changing consumer preferences towards healthier options, and increasing competition from imported products, which challenge local production.

Customer preferences: Consumers in Nigeria are increasingly prioritizing health-conscious choices in their cooking oils and fats, driving a notable shift towards products perceived as healthier, such as olive oil and coconut oil. This trend is influenced by a growing awareness of diet-related health issues, particularly among younger demographics. Additionally, urbanization and busy lifestyles are prompting a preference for convenient, ready-to-use oils, while cultural traditions still favor local oils like palm oil, creating a complex market landscape that balances health and heritage.

Trends in the market: In Nigeria, the Oils & Fats market is experiencing a shift towards health-oriented products, with consumers increasingly opting for oils like olive and coconut oil, driven by heightened awareness of nutrition and health issues. Concurrently, the demand for convenient, ready-to-use oils is rising as urban lifestyles become more prevalent. Despite this shift, traditional oils such as palm oil remain integral to local cuisines, highlighting a tension between health trends and cultural preferences. This evolving landscape presents opportunities for industry stakeholders to innovate while respecting consumer heritage.

Local special circumstances: In Nigeria, the Oils & Fats market is influenced by diverse geographical factors, with rich palm oil production in the southern regions, while the northern areas rely on groundnut oil. Cultural preferences play a significant role, as traditional dishes often require specific oils, maintaining strong demand for palm oil despite health trends. Additionally, regulatory frameworks governing food safety and labeling are evolving, pushing for transparency and quality in oil products. These local dynamics create a unique market landscape, balancing health consciousness with deep-rooted culinary traditions.

Underlying macroeconomic factors: The Oils & Fats market in Nigeria is significantly shaped by macroeconomic factors such as fluctuating global oil prices, currency stability, and national economic policies. The rise in demand for sustainable and healthier oil alternatives globally is pushing local producers to adapt, fostering innovation in production techniques. Additionally, Nigeria's economic health, influenced by oil export revenues and inflation rates, impacts consumer purchasing power and overall market growth. Fiscal policies that support agricultural development and investment in infrastructure are crucial, as they can enhance local production capabilities and reduce dependency on imports, ultimately stabilizing prices and ensuring supply reliability.

Data coverage:

The data encompasses B2C enterprises. Figures are based on the total consumer spending on food, which comprises all private household spending on food that is meant for at-home consumption (out-of-home consumption is not accounted for).

Modeling approach:

Market sizes are determined through a top-down approach, building on specific predefined factors for each market segment. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use resources from the Statista platform as well as in-house market research, national statistical offices, international institutions, trade associations, companies, the trade press, and the experience of our analysts. In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as GDP, consumer spending, and consumer price index. This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the relevant market. For example, the exponential trend smoothing is well suited for forecasting the Food market with a projected steady growth. The main drivers are GDP per capita and consumer spending per capita.

Additional notes:

The data is modeled using current exchange rates. The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and the Russia-Ukraine war are considered at a country-specific level. The market is updated twice a year.