Pasta - Nigeria | Statista Market Forecast

Revenue in the Pasta market amounts to US$5.18bn in 2024. The market is expected to grow annually by 10.96% (CAGR 2024-2029).
In global comparison, most revenue is generated China (US$28bn in 2024).
In relation to total population figures, per person revenues of US$22.60 are generated in 2024.
In the Pasta market, volume is expected to amount to 1.63bn kg by 2029. The Pasta market is expected to show a volume growth of 2.8% in 2025.0.
The average volume per person in the Pasta market is expected to amount to 6.3kg in 2024.

Definition:

The Pasta market covers all types of food made from a mixture of flour and water that is formed into various shapes. This market covers fresh and dried pasta and noodles made from cereals that are usually used as part of a main meal.

Additional Information:

The market comprises revenue and average revenue per capita, volume and average volume per capita, price per unit (unit refers to kilogram), sales channels. The market encompasses retail sales through both online and offline sales channels to private end customers (B2C). The market only covers at-home consumption; out-of-home consumption is not included.

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Pasta: Spaghetti, Linguine, Fettuccine, Capellini, Vermicelli, Penne, Farfalle, Fusilli, Rotini, Ravioli, Strozzapreti, Lentil pasta
Noodles: egg noodles, ramen noodles, Soba noodles, rice noodles, bean thread noodles, glass noodles, fideo noodles
Macaroni
Fresh and dried pasta

Filled or prepared pasta
Ready-to-eat meals containing stuffed pasta
Out-of-home consumption

The Pasta Market in Nigeria is facing subdued growth due to factors such as high inflation rates, economic instability, and low purchasing power of consumers. Despite these challenges, the market is expected to witness steady growth in the coming years due to increasing demand for convenience and affordable food options.

Customer preferences: As the Nigerian population becomes more health-conscious, there has been a growing demand for healthier options in the Pasta Market of the Bread & Cereal Products Market within The Food market. This has led to a rise in the popularity of whole wheat and gluten-free pasta, as well as plant-based alternatives. Additionally, with the increase in busy lifestyles, there has been a rise in demand for ready-to-cook and instant pasta options, catering to the on-the-go consumer.

Trends in the market: In Nigeria, the Pasta market is seeing a rise in demand for healthier options, with consumers becoming more health-conscious. This trend is expected to continue as the population becomes more educated about the benefits of a balanced diet. In the Bread & Cereal Products Market, there is a growing demand for gluten-free and organic options, reflecting the global trend towards healthier eating. This presents opportunities for industry stakeholders to tap into this market and cater to the changing preferences of consumers. Additionally, with the increasing use of e-commerce and online shopping in Nigeria, there is a potential for growth in the online sales of pasta and other bread and cereal products, providing convenience to consumers and boosting overall market growth.

Local special circumstances: In Nigeria, the Pasta Market of the Bread & Cereal Products Market within The Food market is heavily influenced by the country's diverse cultural landscape. With a population of over 200 million, there is a wide range of preferences for pasta dishes, leading to a varied market. Additionally, the country's tropical climate and abundant farmland make it a prime location for wheat production, a key ingredient in pasta. However, regulatory barriers, such as high import tariffs on wheat, can limit market growth.

Underlying macroeconomic factors: The Pasta Market in Nigeria is heavily influenced by macroeconomic factors such as economic stability, government policies, and consumer purchasing power. The country's growing population and increasing urbanization are driving the demand for convenience foods, including pasta. Additionally, rising disposable incomes and changing dietary preferences towards Western-style diets are fueling the growth of the pasta market. However, the market is also affected by global economic trends, such as fluctuating commodity prices and currency exchange rates, which can impact the cost of raw materials and production. Furthermore, government policies, such as import tariffs and trade agreements, can also have a significant impact on the pasta market in Nigeria. Overall, the market's performance is heavily dependent on the country's economic health and policies, as well as global economic factors.

Data coverage:

The data encompasses B2C enterprises. Figures are based on the total consumer spending on food, which comprises all private household spending on food that is meant for at-home consumption (out-of-home consumption is not accounted for).

Modeling approach:

Market sizes are determined through a top-down approach, building on specific predefined factors for each market segment. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use resources from the Statista platform as well as in-house market research, national statistical offices, international institutions, trade associations, companies, the trade press, and the experience of our analysts. In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as GDP, consumer spending, and consumer price index. This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the relevant market. For example, the exponential trend smoothing is well suited for forecasting the Food market with a projected steady growth. The main drivers are GDP per capita and consumer spending per capita.

Additional notes:

The data is modeled using current exchange rates. The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and the Russia-Ukraine war are considered at a country-specific level. The market is updated twice a year.