Margarine - Nigeria

  • Nigeria
  • Revenue in the Margarine market amounts to US$0.51bn in 2024. The market is expected to grow annually by 10.23% (CAGR 2024-2029).
  • In global comparison, most revenue is generated in China (US$4,720m in 2024).
  • In relation to total population figures, per person revenues of US$2.18 are generated in 2024.
  • In the Margarine market, volume is expected to amount to 86.62m kg by 2029. The Margarine market is expected to show a volume growth of 2.2% in 2025.
  • The average volume per person in the Margarine market is expected to amount to 0.34kg in 2024.

Key regions: Philippines, China, United States, South Korea, India

 
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Analyst Opinion

The Margarine market in Nigeria is experiencing subdued growth, influenced by factors such as fluctuating raw material prices, consumer preference shifts towards healthier fats, and increasing competition from alternative spreads and natural butter products.

Customer preferences:
Consumers in Nigeria are increasingly prioritizing health and wellness, leading to a notable shift towards plant-based and natural products in the margarine market. This trend is influenced by rising awareness of the benefits of healthier fats, particularly among younger demographics who are more health-conscious and informed. Additionally, urbanization and busy lifestyles are driving demand for convenient, ready-to-use spreads that align with quick meal preparations. Cultural preferences for traditional cooking methods also play a role, as consumers seek alternatives that complement local cuisines without compromising on taste or health.

Trends in the market:
In Nigeria, the margarine market is experiencing a significant shift towards plant-based alternatives, driven by a growing consumer focus on health and wellness. This trend is particularly pronounced among younger, health-conscious individuals who seek products that offer better nutritional profiles. Additionally, the rise of urban lifestyles is fueling demand for convenient, ready-to-use spreads that cater to fast meal preparation. The integration of local flavors and traditional cooking practices into margarine formulations is becoming essential, as brands aim to meet cultural preferences while promoting healthier options, presenting a unique opportunity for industry stakeholders to innovate and capture market share.

Local special circumstances:
In Nigeria, the margarine market is shaped by a rich tapestry of cultural traditions and regional culinary preferences, influencing consumer choices and product development. The country's diverse geography fosters a variety of local ingredients, prompting brands to incorporate indigenous flavors into their margarine offerings. Additionally, regulatory frameworks aimed at promoting healthier food options are steering manufacturers towards reducing trans fats and enhancing nutritional content. As urbanization accelerates, the demand for affordable, convenient spreads that align with traditional dishes is driving innovation, creating opportunities for localized brands to thrive in a competitive landscape.

Underlying macroeconomic factors:
The Margarine Market in Nigeria is significantly influenced by macroeconomic factors such as fluctuating oil prices, inflation rates, and currency stability. Global economic trends, particularly the volatility of raw material costs, affect production expenses and, consequently, retail prices. The national economic health, characterized by GDP growth and consumer spending power, plays a crucial role in determining market demand for margarine. Fiscal policies promoting agricultural development can enhance local sourcing of ingredients, while trade policies impact import tariffs on competing products. In an increasingly urbanized society, rising disposable incomes are fostering a shift towards premium margarine products that align with evolving consumer preferences for health and convenience.

Methodology

Data coverage:

The data encompasses B2C enterprises. Figures are based on the total consumer spending on food, which comprises all private household spending on food that is meant for at-home consumption (out-of-home consumption is not accounted for).

Modeling approach:

Market sizes are determined through a top-down approach, building on specific predefined factors for each market segment. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use resources from the Statista platform as well as in-house market research, national statistical offices, international institutions, trade associations, companies, the trade press, and the experience of our analysts. In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as GDP, consumer spending, and consumer price index. This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the relevant market. For example, the exponential trend smoothing is well suited for forecasting the Food market with a projected steady growth. The main drivers are GDP per capita and consumer spending per capita.

Additional notes:

The data is modeled using current exchange rates. The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and the Russia-Ukraine war are considered at a country-specific level. The market is updated twice a year.

Overview

  • Revenue
  • Volume
  • Price
  • Sales Channels
  • Global Comparison
  • Analyst Opinion
  • Methodology
  • Key Market Indicators
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