Margarine - Gambia | Statista Market Forecast

Revenue in the Margarine market amounts to US$15.07m in 2024. The market is expected to grow annually by 9.48% (CAGR 2024-2029).
In global comparison, most revenue is generated China (US$5bn in 2024).
In relation to total population figures, per person revenues of US$5.30 are generated in 2024.
In the Margarine market, volume is expected to amount to 3.53m kg by 2029. The Margarine market is expected to show a volume growth of 6.8% in 2025.0.
The average volume per person in the Margarine market is expected to amount to 1.01kg in 2024.

Definition:

Margarine is a butter substitute made from vegetable oils and contains a minimum of 80% fat. Margarine is typically less expensive and has less saturated fat than butter.

Additional Information:

The market comprises revenue and average revenue per capita, volume and average volume per capita, price per unit (unit refers to kilogram), sales channels. The market encompasses retail sales through both online and offline sales channels to private end customers (B2C). The market only covers at-home consumption; out-of-home consumption is not included.

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Regular margarine
Light or reduced-fat margarine
Soft margarine
Non-hydrogenated margarine
Cholesterol-free margarine
Vanaspati

Butter
Vegetable oils
Animal fats (e.g. lard)
Peanut butter
Out-of-home consumption

The Margarine market within the Oils & Fats sector in Gambia is witnessing subdued growth, influenced by factors such as fluctuating raw material prices, shifting consumer preferences towards healthier options, and increased competition from alternative spreads.

Customer preferences: Consumers in Gambia are increasingly prioritizing health-conscious choices, which is influencing the margarine market within the Oils & Fats sector. A growing awareness of dietary fats and their impact on health is leading to a preference for margarine products that promote heart health and contain natural ingredients. Additionally, younger demographics are gravitating towards plant-based alternatives and spreads with added nutritional benefits, reflecting a broader global trend. This shift is further fueled by lifestyle changes, with busy urban professionals seeking convenient yet nutritious options for their meals.

Trends in the market: In Gambia, the margarine market within the Oils & Fats sector is experiencing a notable shift towards health-conscious products. Consumers are increasingly favoring margarine options that highlight heart health benefits and incorporate natural ingredients. This trend is particularly pronounced among younger demographics, who are leaning towards plant-based spreads enriched with nutritional advantages. As urban lifestyles evolve, there is a rising demand for convenient, yet wholesome, meal solutions. Industry stakeholders must adapt by innovating product lines and enhancing marketing strategies to align with these health-driven consumer preferences.

Local special circumstances: In Gambia, the margarine market within the Oils & Fats sector is shaped by unique local factors such as a diverse culinary heritage and a growing emphasis on health. Traditional Gambian diets often incorporate local ingredients, influencing margarine formulations that resonate with cultural preferences. Additionally, regulatory efforts aimed at promoting healthier food options are encouraging producers to innovate. The influx of international brands is also increasing competition, pushing local manufacturers to enhance quality and adapt to evolving health trends, ultimately benefiting consumers seeking nutritious choices.

Underlying macroeconomic factors: The margarine market in Gambia is influenced by macroeconomic factors such as national economic stability, trade policies, and global commodity prices. As the economy grows, rising disposable incomes enable consumers to explore diverse food options, including margarine. Favorable fiscal policies that support local agriculture can enhance the supply of raw materials, reducing production costs for manufacturers. Additionally, fluctuations in global oil prices impact margarine production costs, while international trade agreements can facilitate access to high-quality ingredients. These dynamics create a competitive landscape, ultimately benefiting consumers with improved product offerings and prices.

Data coverage:

The data encompasses B2C enterprises. Figures are based on the total consumer spending on food, which comprises all private household spending on food that is meant for at-home consumption (out-of-home consumption is not accounted for).

Modeling approach:

Market sizes are determined through a top-down approach, building on specific predefined factors for each market segment. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use resources from the Statista platform as well as in-house market research, national statistical offices, international institutions, trade associations, companies, the trade press, and the experience of our analysts. In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as GDP, consumer spending, and consumer price index. This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the relevant market. For example, the exponential trend smoothing is well suited for forecasting the Food market with a projected steady growth. The main drivers are GDP per capita and consumer spending per capita.

Additional notes:

The data is modeled using current exchange rates. The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and the Russia-Ukraine war are considered at a country-specific level. The market is updated twice a year.