Fresh Fish - Tajikistan | Statista Market Forecast

Revenue in the Fresh Fish market amounts to US$521.80m in 2024. The market is expected to grow annually by 8.70% (CAGR 2024-2029).
In global comparison, most revenue is generated China (US$57bn in 2024).
In relation to total population figures, per person revenues of US$50.51 are generated in 2024.
In the Fresh Fish market, volume is expected to amount to 24.15m kg by 2029. The Fresh Fish market is expected to show a volume growth of 2.7% in 2025.0.
The average volume per person in the Fresh Fish market is expected to amount to 2.1kg in 2024.

Definition:

The Fresh Fish market covers all types of products made from fishes that have not been cooked, heated, dried, cured by brine, or processed in any way other than boning, cutting, comminuting, or freezing. Fresh, chilled, or frozen fish that have been farmed or harvested from freshwater or the ocean are included in the market.

Additional Information:

The market comprises revenue and average revenue per capita, volume and average volume per capita, price per unit (unit refers to kilogram), sales channels. The market encompasses retail sales through both online and offline sales channels to private end customers (B2C). The market only covers at-home consumption; out-of-home consumption is not included.

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Fresh and frozen pelagic fishes (e.g. mackerels, tuna, herring, salmon)
Fresh and frozen demersal fish (e.g. Flounder, halibut, cod, sole, plaice)
Fresh, chilled and frozen fish fillets, minced

Dried, canned, and processed fish
Fresh or processed seafood
Seaweed and other aquatic plants
Sushi-grade fish
Out-of-home consumption

The Fresh Fish Market in Tajikistan is experiencing subdued growth due to factors such as limited resources and infrastructure. Despite this, the market is still growing as more consumers become aware of the benefits of consuming fresh seafood and the convenience of purchasing it from online platforms.

Customer preferences: As the demand for healthier food options continues to rise, consumers in Tajikistan are increasingly turning towards fresh fish and seafood in the market. This trend is driven by a growing awareness of the health benefits of a diet rich in seafood, as well as a shift towards more sustainable and locally-sourced food options. Additionally, the rising disposable income and changing lifestyles of the younger generation are contributing to the popularity of seafood in the market.

Trends in the market: In Tajikistan, the Fresh Fish Market of the Fish & Seafood Market within The Food market is experiencing a growing demand for sustainably-sourced fish products. This trend is driven by increased awareness among consumers about environmental and health concerns related to fish consumption. Industry stakeholders are responding by implementing sustainable fishing practices and introducing labeling initiatives to help consumers make informed choices. This trend is expected to continue, with potential implications for the industry including the need for increased transparency and traceability in the supply chain. Additionally, there is a growing interest in alternative seafood options, such as plant-based seafood, which may disrupt traditional fish markets in the future.

Local special circumstances: In Tajikistan, the Fresh Fish Market of the Fish & Seafood Market within The Food market is heavily influenced by the country's mountainous terrain and landlocked location, limiting access to fresh seafood. However, the demand for seafood remains high due to the traditional diet and cultural preferences of the Tajik people. This has led to a reliance on imported seafood, which is regulated by the government to ensure food safety. Additionally, the market is influenced by the country's economic situation, with fluctuations in currency value and purchasing power affecting prices and availability of seafood.

Underlying macroeconomic factors: The Fresh Fish Market in Tajikistan is influenced by various macroeconomic factors such as global economic trends, national economic health, fiscal policies, and other relevant financial indicators. The country's economic growth and stability play a significant role in the performance of the market, as it affects consumer spending and demand for seafood products. Additionally, favorable government policies and investments in the fishing industry, as well as improvements in transportation infrastructure, can also have a positive impact on the market. However, challenges such as fluctuating exchange rates and trade restrictions can hinder market growth. Furthermore, the rising health consciousness and demand for healthy protein sources among consumers can also drive the demand for fresh fish in the country's seafood market.

Data coverage:

The data encompasses B2C enterprises. Figures are based on the total consumer spending on food, which comprises all private household spending on food that is meant for at-home consumption (out-of-home consumption is not accounted for).

Modeling approach:

Market sizes are determined through a top-down approach, building on specific predefined factors for each market segment. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use resources from the Statista platform as well as in-house market research, national statistical offices, international institutions, trade associations, companies, the trade press, and the experience of our analysts. In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as GDP, consumer spending, and consumer price index. This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the relevant market. For example, the exponential trend smoothing is well suited for forecasting the Food market with a projected steady growth. The main drivers are GDP per capita and consumer spending per capita.

Additional notes:

The data is modeled using current exchange rates. The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and the Russia-Ukraine war are considered at a country-specific level. The market is updated twice a year.