Alcoholic Drinks - Tajikistan | Statista Market Forecast

Revenue, at home (e.g., revenue generated in supermarkets and convenience stores) in the Alcoholic Drinks market amounts to US$106.7m in 2024.
Revenue, out-of-home (e.g., revenue generated in restaurants and bars) amounts to US$21.4m in 2024.
Revenue, combined amounts to US$128.1m in 2024.
The revenue, at home is expected to grow annually by 6.26% (CAGR 2024-2029).
In global comparison, most revenue, at home is generated China (US$208bn in 2024).
In relation to total population figures, the average revenue per capita, at home of US$10.33 are generated in 2024.
In the Alcoholic Drinks market, volume, at home is expected to amount to 49.8m L by 2024.
Volume, out-of-home is expected to amount to 7.9m L in 2024.
Volume, combined is expected to amount to 57.7m L in 2024.
The Alcoholic Drinks market is expected to show a volume growth, at home of -0.5% in 2025.0.
The average volume per person, at home in the Alcoholic Drinks market is expected to amount to 4.82L in 2024.

Definition:

The Alcoholic Drinks market includes all alcoholic beverages that are produced by fermentation or distillation.

Structure:

The Alcoholic Drinks market is divided into 5 markets:

The Beer market encompasses fermented beverages based on malt. The Beer market is further divided into the markets Alcoholic Beer and Non-Alcoholic Beer.
The Spirits market encompasses alcoholic beverages that are produced through the distillation of wine, fermented fruits, or grains. It contains the Whisky, Vodka, Rum, Gin, Brandy, Soju, Tequila, and Liqueurs & Other Spirits markets.
The Wine market encompasses all fermented juices made from grapes. The Wine market is further divided into Still Wine (Red Wine, White Wine, and Rosé Wine), Sparkling Wine, and Fortified Wine.
The Cider, Perry & Rice Wine market encompass all wines made from fruits other than grapes, grains, or other plants.
The Hard Seltzer market encompasses alcoholic beverages made with carbonated water, alcohol, and often fruit flavoring.

Additional information:

The market comprises revenue and average revenue per capita, volume and average volume per capita, price per liter, as well as sales channels. Per capita figures refer to a country’s or region’s whole population.

At-home market data covers retail sales via super- and hypermarkets, eCommerce, convenience stores, and similar sales channels. Out-of-home market data includes all sales in hotels and restaurants, sales by catering companies, as well as sales in cafés, bars, and similar hospitality service establishments. Combined numbers encompass both the at-home market and the out-of-home market. All prices are valued at retail selling prices, including all sales and consumption taxes.

Key players include Anheuser-Busch InBev (e.g., Corona, Bud Light, and Michelob), Diageo (e.g., Johnnie Walker, Guinness, and Tanqueray), Heineken, and Molson Coors.

Alcoholic & Non-Alcoholic Beer
Wine
Spirits
Cider, Perry and Rice Wines
Hard Seltzer

Non-Alcoholic Beverages derived from Wine or Spirits

The Alcoholic Drinks market in Tajikistan is experiencing steady growth due to changing customer preferences, emerging trends, and local special circumstances. Customer preferences in Tajikistan have shifted towards the consumption of alcoholic drinks, driven by the increasing disposable income and changing social norms. The younger generation is embracing a more Westernized lifestyle, which includes the consumption of alcoholic beverages as a social activity. Additionally, there is a growing interest in premium and imported alcoholic drinks, as consumers seek higher quality and unique products. Trends in the market indicate a rise in the popularity of craft beers and spirits in Tajikistan. Craft beer breweries have emerged, offering a wide range of unique and artisanal beers that cater to the evolving tastes of consumers. This trend is influenced by global preferences for craft beverages and the desire for more diverse and flavorful options. Similarly, the demand for premium spirits, such as whiskey and vodka, has increased, reflecting a desire for high-quality and sophisticated alcoholic beverages. Local special circumstances play a significant role in the development of the Alcoholic Drinks market in Tajikistan. The country's cultural and religious background, with a predominantly Muslim population, has traditionally discouraged alcohol consumption. However, Tajikistan has seen a gradual shift in attitudes towards alcohol, with a growing acceptance and consumption of alcoholic beverages. This change is influenced by factors such as urbanization, exposure to Western culture, and the influence of tourism. Underlying macroeconomic factors also contribute to the growth of the Alcoholic Drinks market in Tajikistan. The country's improving economic conditions, driven by increased investment and infrastructure development, have resulted in higher disposable incomes. This allows consumers to spend more on discretionary items such as alcoholic beverages. Furthermore, the government's efforts to promote tourism and attract foreign investment have created opportunities for the expansion of the Alcoholic Drinks market. In conclusion, the Alcoholic Drinks market in Tajikistan is experiencing growth due to changing customer preferences, emerging trends, local special circumstances, and underlying macroeconomic factors. As consumer attitudes towards alcohol continue to evolve and the economy develops, the market is likely to expand further, offering opportunities for both domestic and international players in the industry.

Data coverage:
The data encompasses B2C enterprises. The at-home market covers retail sales via super- and hypermarkets, eCommerce, convenience stores, or similar sales channels. The out-of-home data encompasses all sales to hotels, restaurants, catering, cafés, bars, and similar hospitality service establishments. Combined numbers encompass both the at-home market and the out-of-home market. Both the at-home and the out-of-home market are valued at retail selling prices including all sales and consumption taxes.

Modeling approach:
Market sizes are determined through a Top-Down approach, building on specific predefined factors for each market segment. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use resources from the Statista platform as well as in-house market research, national statistical offices, international institutions, trade associations, companies, the trade press, and the experience of our analysts. In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as GDP, consumer spending (e.g. consumer spending on alcoholic beverages, consumer spending at Hotels, Restaurants etc.), and price level index. This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:
In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the relevant market. For example, the exponential trend smoothing is well suited for forecasting the Alcoholic Drinks market with a projected steady growth. The main drivers are GDP per capita and consumer spending per capita.

Additional notes:
The data is modeled using current exchange rates. The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and the Russia-Ukraine war are considered at a country-specific level.

This report presents a comprehensive analysis and additional information on the Consumer market, in a PDF format.

The alcoholic beverage market is recovering after several years of downturn. Larger forces like the COVID-19 pandemic, the Russian invasion of Ukraine and the ensuing inflation have either been resolved or accepted as part of the current market environment. Regional conditions vary as consumers in some areas of the world are changing their alcohol preferences while other regions are continuing to feel the effects of less discretionary spending from consumers.