Milk - Tajikistan

  • Tajikistan
  • Revenue in the Milk market amounts to US$87.39m in 2024. The market is expected to grow annually by 5.33% (CAGR 2024-2029).
  • In global comparison, most revenue is generated in India (US$71bn in 2024).
  • In relation to total population figures, per person revenues of US$8.25 are generated in 2024.
  • In the Milk market, volume is expected to amount to 99.02m kg by 2029. The Milk market is expected to show a volume growth of 0.1% in 2025.
  • The average volume per person in the Milk market is expected to amount to 9.3kg in 2024.

Key regions: Russia, India, Canada, Japan, South Korea

 
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Analyst Opinion

The Milk Market in Tajikistan has been slowly growing due to factors such as increased demand for dairy products, health consciousness among consumers, and the convenience of online services. Despite minimal growth, challenges such as limited access to technology and lack of infrastructure are impacting the market's growth rate.

Customer preferences:
The dairy market in Tajikistan has seen a rise in demand for organic and locally-sourced milk products, as consumers become more health-conscious and environmentally aware. There has also been a shift towards plant-based milk alternatives, driven by lactose intolerance and vegan diets. Furthermore, the growing middle class in Tajikistan has led to an increase in consumption of premium dairy products, such as artisanal cheeses and specialty yogurts. This trend is expected to continue as consumers prioritize quality and variety in their dairy choices.

Trends in the market:
In Tajikistan, the Milk Market of the Dairy Products & Eggs Market within The Food market is experiencing a shift towards organic and locally sourced milk products, driven by increasing consumer awareness and demand for healthier and more sustainable options. This trend is expected to continue, with potential implications for industry stakeholders such as dairy farmers and processors, who may need to adapt their production methods and distribution channels. Additionally, there is a growing market for lactose-free and plant-based milk alternatives, which could further impact the traditional milk market in Tajikistan. It is important for industry players to stay abreast of these trends and make strategic decisions to stay competitive in the evolving market.

Local special circumstances:
In Tajikistan, the Milk Market of the Dairy Products & Eggs Market within The Food market is heavily influenced by the country's topography, as the majority of the land is mountainous and unsuitable for large-scale agriculture. This has resulted in a fragmented dairy industry, with most dairy farms being small and family-owned. Additionally, the country's cultural and religious beliefs play a significant role in shaping the market, as dairy products are an integral part of the traditional Tajik diet. The government's strict regulations on milk production and distribution also impact market dynamics, making it challenging for foreign companies to enter the market.

Underlying macroeconomic factors:
The Milk Market of the Dairy Products & Eggs Market within The Food market in Tajikistan is affected by various macroeconomic factors, such as the country's economic stability, government policies, and global economic trends. In recent years, Tajikistan has experienced a steady economic growth, leading to an increase in purchasing power and disposable income of its citizens. This has resulted in a higher demand for dairy products and eggs, as they are considered essential food items in the Tajik diet. Moreover, the government's initiatives to promote dairy farming and improve milk production have positively impacted the milk market. However, the market is also influenced by global factors, such as fluctuations in commodity prices and trade policies, which can impact the cost of production and ultimately affect the market's performance. As Tajikistan continues to work towards economic development, the milk market is expected to experience steady growth, driven by increasing demand and government support.

Methodology

Data coverage:

The data encompasses B2C enterprises. Figures are based on the total consumer spending on food, which comprises all private household spending on food that is meant for at-home consumption (out-of-home consumption is not accounted for).

Modeling approach:

Market sizes are determined through a top-down approach, building on specific predefined factors for each market segment. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use resources from the Statista platform as well as in-house market research, national statistical offices, international institutions, trade associations, companies, the trade press, and the experience of our analysts. In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as GDP, consumer spending, and consumer price index. This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the relevant market. For example, the exponential trend smoothing is well suited for forecasting the Food market with a projected steady growth. The main drivers are GDP per capita and consumer spending per capita.

Additional notes:

The data is modeled using current exchange rates. The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and the Russia-Ukraine war are considered at a country-specific level. The market is updated twice a year.

Overview

  • Revenue
  • Volume
  • Price
  • Sales Channels
  • Global Comparison
  • Analyst Opinion
  • Methodology
  • Key Market Indicators
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