Confectionery - Tajikistan | Statista Market Forecast

Revenue in the Confectionery market amounts to US$222.10m in 2024. The market is expected to grow annually by 7.62% (CAGR 2024-2029).
In global comparison, most revenue is generated China (US$84bn in 2024).
In relation to total population figures, per person revenues of US$21.49 are generated in 2024.
In the Confectionery market, volume is expected to amount to 52.53m kg by 2029. The Confectionery market is expected to show a volume growth of 2.7% in 2025.0.
The average volume per person in the Confectionery market is expected to amount to 4.5kg in 2024.

Definition:

The Confectionery market covers food items with a relatively high sugar. Confectionery has a variety of flavorings, colorings, and other components that give them their distinct taste, texture, and appearance. This market is divided into four submarkets: chocolate confectionery, ice cream, preserved pastry goods and cakes and sugar confectionery.

Additional Information:

The market comprises revenue and average revenue per capita, volume and average volume per capita, price per unit (unit refers to kilogram), sales channels. The market encompasses retail sales through both online and offline sales channels to private end customers (B2C). The market only covers at-home consumption; out-of-home consumption is not included.

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Chocolate products
Sugar confectionery
Ice Cream
Preserved Pastry Goods & Cakes

Nuts
Dried fruit snacks
Chocolate spreads
Desserts
Jams
Out-of-home consumption

The Confectionery market in Tajikistan is experiencing minimal growth, influenced by factors such as consumer preferences for traditional snacks, limited distribution channels, and low disposable income. However, the demand for healthier and premium confectionery products is increasing, driven by rising health concerns and changing consumer tastes. The market is also impacted by the growing popularity of online shopping and the convenience it offers.

Customer preferences: As the economy in Tajikistan continues to grow, consumers are increasingly opting for premium and healthier confectionery options. This trend is fueled by the rising health consciousness and disposable income of the younger generation, leading to a demand for organic, sugar-free, and functional snacks. Additionally, there is a growing preference for locally sourced and traditional confectionery, reflecting a desire for cultural authenticity and supporting local businesses.

Trends in the market: In Tajikistan, the Confectionery Market of the Confectionery & Snacks Market within The Food market is experiencing a shift towards healthier options, with an increasing demand for organic and natural ingredients. This trend is driven by a growing awareness of health and wellness among consumers. Additionally, there is a rise in demand for premium and indulgent confectionery products, as consumers seek to treat themselves. This presents opportunities for industry players to innovate and cater to the changing preferences of consumers. However, it also poses challenges in terms of production costs and marketing strategies.

Local special circumstances: 'In Tajikistan, the Confectionery market is heavily influenced by the country's agricultural sector, with a large portion of the population involved in the production of fruits and nuts. This has led to a wide variety of locally sourced ingredients being used in confectionery products, creating a unique flavor profile. Additionally, the country's conservative Muslim population has influenced the types of confectionery products available, with a focus on halal and vegetarian options. Strict regulations on imported products also play a role in shaping the market, as domestic brands have an advantage in terms of pricing and availability.

Underlying macroeconomic factors: The Confectionery Market of the Confectionery & Snacks Market within The Food market is heavily influenced by macroeconomic factors such as consumer spending, inflation rates, and income levels. In Tajikistan, economic growth has been driven by the country's agricultural sector, which is a major contributor to the GDP. However, rising inflation rates and a large informal economy have hindered consumer spending, impacting the demand for confectionery products. Additionally, the country's fiscal policies and trade agreements with neighboring countries can also affect the availability and affordability of imported ingredients used in the production of confectionery products. These factors play a significant role in shaping the performance of the Confectionery Market in Tajikistan.

Data coverage:

The data encompasses B2C enterprises. Figures are based on the total consumer spending on food, which comprises all private household spending on food that is meant for at-home consumption (out-of-home consumption is not accounted for).

Modeling approach:

Market sizes are determined through a top-down approach, building on specific predefined factors for each market segment. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use resources from the Statista platform as well as in-house market research, national statistical offices, international institutions, trade associations, companies, the trade press, and the experience of our analysts. In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as GDP, consumer spending, and consumer price index. This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the relevant market. For example, the exponential trend smoothing is well suited for forecasting the Food market with a projected steady growth. The main drivers are GDP per capita and consumer spending per capita.

Additional notes:

The data is modeled using current exchange rates. The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and the Russia-Ukraine war are considered at a country-specific level. The market is updated twice a year.