Tomato Ketchup - United States | Statista Market Forecast

Revenue in the Tomato Ketchup market amounts to US$6.07bn in 2024. The market is expected to grow annually by 2.36% (CAGR 2024-2029).
In global comparison, most revenue is generated United States (US$6bn in 2024).
In relation to total population figures, per person revenues of US$17.76 are generated in 2024.
In the Tomato Ketchup market, volume is expected to amount to 1.76bn kg by 2029. The Tomato Ketchup market is expected to show a volume growth of 0.2% in 2025.0.
The average volume per person in the Tomato Ketchup market is expected to amount to 5.1kg in 2024.

Definition:

The Tomato Ketchup market covers sauces that are largely derived from tomatoes. It is frequently used as the foundation for other sauces as well as a topping or component in many different types of food, including pasta, pizza, and soups.

Additional Information:

The market comprises revenue and average revenue per capita, volume and average volume per capita, price per unit (unit refers to kilogram), sales channels. The market encompasses retail sales through both online and offline sales channels to private end customers (B2C). The market only covers at-home consumption; out-of-home consumption is not included.

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Tomato ketchup
Tomato-based sauces similar to ketchup
Tomato sauces
Sieved tomatoes
No added sugar tomato ketchup, flavored tomato ketchup

Other sauces (e.g. chutneys, soya sauce, mayonnaise, mustard)
Out-of-home consumption

The Tomato Ketchup Market in the United States is experiencing minimal growth, influenced by factors such as stagnant consumer demand and saturation in the market. However, the convenience of online purchasing and an increasing focus on healthy eating habits are expected to drive growth in the future.

Customer preferences: Consumers in the United States are increasingly gravitating towards healthier and more natural options in the Tomato Ketchup Market of the Sauces & Spices Market within The Food market. This trend is influenced by a growing awareness of the negative health impacts of artificial ingredients and preservatives. As a result, there has been a rise in demand for organic and all-natural ketchup varieties, with some brands even offering sugar-free options to cater to the growing number of health-conscious consumers. This shift towards healthier options is also driven by the desire for transparency and authenticity in food products.

Trends in the market: In the United States, the demand for healthier and organic food options is on the rise, leading to a growth in the Tomato Ketchup Market of the Sauces & Spices Market within The Food market. This trend is driven by consumers' increasing awareness and concerns about the health and environmental impacts of processed foods. As a result, companies are investing in clean label and natural ketchup alternatives to cater to this demand. This shift towards healthier options is significant as it reflects a change in consumer behavior and preferences, which could potentially impact the market share of traditional ketchup brands. Additionally, this trend opens up opportunities for industry stakeholders to innovate and develop new products to meet the evolving consumer demands.

Local special circumstances: In the United States, the Tomato Ketchup market is heavily influenced by consumer preferences and dietary trends. The increasing demand for healthier and organic options has led to the introduction of low-sugar and all-natural ketchup products. Additionally, the country's strict food safety regulations have resulted in a high level of quality control and safety standards in the production of ketchup. These factors have shaped the market dynamics, making it more competitive and diverse compared to other markets.

Underlying macroeconomic factors: The Tomato Ketchup Market of the Sauces & Spices Market within The Food market in the United States is greatly impacted by macroeconomic factors such as consumer spending, inflation rates, and government policies. The overall economic health of the country plays a significant role in determining the demand for tomato ketchup, as consumers tend to purchase this condiment more often during times of economic stability. Additionally, government policies related to tariffs and trade agreements can also affect the availability and cost of ketchup, ultimately impacting market performance. As the United States continues to recover from the global pandemic, fluctuations in economic indicators may have a direct impact on the Tomato Ketchup Market.

Data coverage:

The data encompasses B2C enterprises. Figures are based on the total consumer spending on food, which comprises all private household spending on food that is meant for at-home consumption (out-of-home consumption is not accounted for).

Modeling approach:

Market sizes are determined through a top-down approach, building on specific predefined factors for each market segment. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use resources from the Statista platform as well as in-house market research, national statistical offices, international institutions, trade associations, companies, the trade press, and the experience of our analysts. In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as GDP, consumer spending, and consumer price index. This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the relevant market. For example, the exponential trend smoothing is well suited for forecasting the Food market with a projected steady growth. The main drivers are GDP per capita and consumer spending per capita.

Additional notes:

The data is modeled using current exchange rates. The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and the Russia-Ukraine war are considered at a country-specific level. The market is updated twice a year.