Edible Oils - NAFTA | Statista Market Forecast

Revenue in the Edible Oils market amounts to US$12.60bn in 2024. The market is expected to grow annually by 3.92% (CAGR 2024-2029).
In global comparison, most revenue is generated India (US$35bn in 2024).
In relation to total population figures, per person revenues of US$24.69 are generated in 2024.
In the Edible Oils market, volume is expected to amount to 3.83bn kg by 2029. The Edible Oils market is expected to show a volume growth of 2.1% in 2025.0.
The average volume per person in the Edible Oils market is expected to amount to 6.98kg in 2024.

Definition:

The Edible Oils market covers any type of oil that is extracted from plants and nuts and is used for cooking and food preparation.

Additional Information:

The market comprises revenue and average revenue per capita, volume and average volume per capita, price per unit (unit refers to kilogram), sales channels. The market encompasses retail sales through both online and offline sales channels to private end customers (B2C). The market only covers at-home consumption; out-of-home consumption is not included.

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Olive oil
Sunflower oil
Other edible oils (e.g. palm, soybean, coconut oil, canola oil, rapeseed oil, sesame oil, soybean oil)
Cooking oil blends

Butter
Margarine
Animal fats (e.g. lard)
Out-of-home consumption

The Edible Oils Market within the Oils & Fats sector in NAFTA is witnessing negligible growth, influenced by factors such as market saturation, health trends promoting alternative fats, and fluctuating commodity prices affecting consumer purchasing decisions.

Customer preferences: Consumers in the NAFTA region are increasingly prioritizing health-conscious choices when it comes to edible oils, leading to a rise in demand for organic and non-GMO options. As awareness of heart health and dietary fats grows, younger demographics are gravitating towards oils rich in omega-3s and plant-based alternatives. Additionally, cultural influences are driving interest in ethnic oils, such as avocado and coconut, reflecting a desire for diverse culinary experiences. This shift is reshaping purchasing habits and prompting brands to innovate with healthier, sustainable products.

Trends in the market: In the NAFTA region, the Edible Oils market is experiencing a notable shift towards health-oriented products, with consumers increasingly opting for organic, non-GMO oils. The demand for oils high in omega-3 fatty acids and plant-based alternatives is on the rise, particularly among younger generations who prioritize nutritional benefits. Concurrently, there is a growing interest in ethnic oils like avocado and coconut, driven by cultural influences and a desire for diverse culinary experiences. This trend is prompting manufacturers to innovate and adapt their product offerings, emphasizing sustainable and healthier options to meet evolving consumer preferences.

Local special circumstances: In the NAFTA region, the Edible Oils market is shaped by distinct local factors such as diverse agricultural practices and cultural culinary preferences. The United States benefits from its vast farmland, allowing for the cultivation of a variety of oilseeds, while Canada’s regulatory frameworks promote organic farming, enhancing the appeal of non-GMO oils. Additionally, Mexico's rich culinary heritage fosters demand for traditional oils like avocado, driving innovation in product offerings. These unique geographical and cultural elements significantly influence consumer choices, steering manufacturers towards healthier and more diverse options.

Underlying macroeconomic factors: The Edible Oils market in the NAFTA region is significantly influenced by macroeconomic factors such as global commodity prices, trade policies, and currency fluctuations. The stability of agricultural output in the U.S. enhances supply, while Canada's focus on sustainability and organic standards attracts premium pricing for non-GMO oils. Mexico's economic growth, coupled with rising disposable incomes, fuels demand for diverse oil options, particularly traditional varieties. Furthermore, trade agreements and tariffs impact import/export dynamics, shaping product availability and competitive pricing in the region, ultimately steering consumer preferences towards healthier and innovative edible oil solutions.

Data coverage:

The data encompasses B2C enterprises. Figures are based on the total consumer spending on food, which comprises all private household spending on food that is meant for at-home consumption (out-of-home consumption is not accounted for).

Modeling approach:

Market sizes are determined through a top-down approach, building on specific predefined factors for each market segment. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use resources from the Statista platform as well as in-house market research, national statistical offices, international institutions, trade associations, companies, the trade press, and the experience of our analysts. In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as GDP, consumer spending, and consumer price index. This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the relevant market. For example, the exponential trend smoothing is well suited for forecasting the Food market with a projected steady growth. The main drivers are GDP per capita and consumer spending per capita.

Additional notes:

The data is modeled using current exchange rates. The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and the Russia-Ukraine war are considered at a country-specific level. The market is updated twice a year.