Cheese - NAFTA | Statista Market Forecast

Cheese - NAFTA

NAFTA

Highlights

Revenue in the Cheese market amounts to US$47.21bn in 2024. The market is expected to grow annually by 5.30% (CAGR 2024-2029).
In global comparison, most revenue is generated United States (US$32bn in 2024).
In relation to total population figures, per person revenues of US$92.51 are generated in 2024.
In the Cheese market, volume is expected to amount to 4.36bn kg by 2029. The Cheese market is expected to show a volume growth of 1.5% in 2025.0.
The average volume per person in the Cheese market is expected to amount to 7.9kg in 2024.

Key regions:

Market definitionIn-Scope/Out-of-scopeMarket structureMethodology

The Cheese Market in NAFTA has seen minimal growth due to factors such as changing consumer preferences, fluctuating milk prices, and the emergence of vegan alternatives. Despite this, the market is expected to continue its steady growth driven by the increasing demand for specialty and artisanal cheeses.

Customer preferences: As a result of the implementation of NAFTA, the Cheese Market of the Dairy Products & Eggs Market within The Food market has experienced significant growth and innovation. With an increase in cross-border trade, consumers now have access to a wider variety of cheese options, including artisanal and specialty cheeses. This has led to a shift in consumer preferences towards unique and exotic flavors, as well as a growing demand for organic and sustainably sourced cheese. Additionally, with a rise in health consciousness, there has been a shift towards healthier cheese options, such as low-fat and lactose-free cheese, catering to different dietary needs and preferences. As consumers become more culturally aware and seek out diverse culinary experiences, the Cheese Market is expected to continue to evolve and adapt to changing consumer preferences.

Trends in the market: In the NAFTA region, the Cheese Market of the Dairy Products & Eggs Market within The Food market is experiencing an increase in demand for artisanal and organic cheese varieties. This trend is driven by consumer preferences for healthier and more sustainably produced food options. The trajectory of this trend is expected to continue, as more consumers prioritize ethical and environmentally-friendly food choices. This presents opportunities for industry stakeholders to tap into this growing market segment and differentiate themselves from traditional cheese producers. However, it also poses challenges in terms of production and distribution, as small-scale and specialized production methods may not be as efficient as mass production. As such, companies may need to find a balance between meeting consumer demands and maintaining profitability.

Local special circumstances: In the Cheese Market of the Dairy Products & Eggs Market within The Food market, the unique local factors play a significant role in shaping market dynamics. For instance, in Mexico, the market is heavily influenced by the country's strong dairy culture, with cheese being a staple in many traditional dishes. This has led to a high demand for authentic and locally produced cheese, creating a niche market for artisanal cheese makers. In Canada, the market is highly regulated, with strict labeling and production standards, resulting in a smaller but high-quality cheese market.

Underlying macroeconomic factors: The Cheese Market of the Dairy Products & Eggs Market within The Food market is impacted by macroeconomic factors such as trade agreements, economic stability, and government policies. With the implementation of NAFTA, the market has experienced increased competition and access to new markets. Additionally, the health of the national economy and fiscal policies can influence consumer spending power and demand for dairy products. Other financial indicators, such as inflation rates and exchange rates, can also impact market performance. Furthermore, global economic trends, such as changing consumer preferences and shifts in supply and demand, can also affect the cheese market. Overall, a stable and supportive macroeconomic environment can contribute to the growth of the cheese market, while economic challenges can hinder its performance.

Data coverage:

The data encompasses B2C enterprises. Figures are based on the total consumer spending on food, which comprises all private household spending on food that is meant for at-home consumption (out-of-home consumption is not accounted for).

Modeling approach:

Market sizes are determined through a top-down approach, building on specific predefined factors for each market segment. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use resources from the Statista platform as well as in-house market research, national statistical offices, international institutions, trade associations, companies, the trade press, and the experience of our analysts. In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as GDP, consumer spending, and consumer price index. This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the relevant market. For example, the exponential trend smoothing is well suited for forecasting the Food market with a projected steady growth. The main drivers are GDP per capita and consumer spending per capita.

Additional notes:

The data is modeled using current exchange rates. The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and the Russia-Ukraine war are considered at a country-specific level. The market is updated twice a year.