Cinema - Southern Africa

  • Southern Africa
  • Revenue in the Cinema market is projected to reach US$185.10m in 2024.
  • Revenue is expected to show an annual growth rate (CAGR 2024-2029) of 4.59%, resulting in a projected market volume of US$231.70m by 2029.
  • In the Cinema market, the number of viewers is expected to amount to 6.7m users by 2029.
  • User penetration will be 8.4% in 2024 and is expected to hit 9.2% by 2029.
  • The average revenue per viewer is expected to amount to US$30.07.
  • In global comparison, most revenue will be generated in the United States (US$21,990.00m in 2024).

Key regions: Europe, France, Asia, United Kingdom, Germany

 
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Analyst Opinion

The Cinema market in Southern Africa has been experiencing significant growth in recent years. Customer preferences have shifted towards a more immersive and high-quality movie experience, leading to the rise of premium cinema offerings. Additionally, the region's unique cultural and social dynamics have contributed to the development of a vibrant and diverse cinema market.

Customer preferences:
In Southern Africa, customers have shown a strong preference for premium cinema experiences. This can be attributed to several factors. Firstly, there is a growing middle class in the region with increasing disposable income, allowing for greater spending on entertainment. As a result, customers are willing to pay a premium for a more immersive and luxurious movie experience.

Trends in the market:
One of the key trends in the cinema market in Southern Africa is the expansion of premium cinema offerings. This includes the introduction of luxury seating, state-of-the-art sound systems, and larger screens. These premium cinemas aim to provide customers with a more comfortable and enjoyable movie experience, attracting a wider audience. Another trend in the market is the rise of local content. Southern Africa has a rich and diverse cultural heritage, and customers are increasingly interested in watching movies that reflect their own experiences and stories. This has led to an increase in the production and distribution of local films, as well as the inclusion of local content in international film festivals.

Local special circumstances:
The cinema market in Southern Africa is influenced by the region's unique cultural and social dynamics. For example, South Africa has a strong film industry and is often referred to as the "Hollywood of Africa. " This has led to the establishment of world-class film studios and production companies, attracting international filmmakers and creating employment opportunities for local talent. Furthermore, the region's diverse population and languages have also contributed to the development of a vibrant cinema market. South Africa, for instance, has 11 official languages, and movies are often released in multiple languages to cater to different audiences. This linguistic diversity has helped to foster a sense of inclusivity and accessibility in the cinema industry.

Underlying macroeconomic factors:
The growth of the cinema market in Southern Africa is also influenced by underlying macroeconomic factors. Economic stability and a growing middle class have resulted in increased consumer spending on entertainment. Additionally, the region's favorable demographics, such as a young and growing population, provide a large customer base for the cinema industry. Furthermore, technological advancements have played a significant role in the development of the cinema market. The availability of digital projection systems and online ticketing platforms has made it easier for customers to access and enjoy movies. This has also facilitated the distribution of local films and the expansion of cinema chains in the region. In conclusion, the cinema market in Southern Africa is experiencing growth due to changing customer preferences, the rise of premium cinema offerings, the emphasis on local content, and the region's unique cultural and social dynamics. These factors, combined with underlying macroeconomic factors, have created a favorable environment for the development of a vibrant and diverse cinema industry in the region.

Methodology

Data coverage:

The data encompasses B2C enterprises. Figures are based on the Cinema market, which comprises revenues from box office, advertsing and concessions. The market includes both consumer and advertising spending. All monetary figures refer to consumer spending on tickets and concessions. This spending factors in discounts, margins, and taxes.

Modeling approach / market size:

The market size is determined through a bottom-up approach. We use annual financial reports of the market-leading companies and industry associations, third-party studies and reports, survey results from our primary research (e.g., Consumer Insights), as well as performance factors (e.g., user penetration, price per product, usage) to analyze the markets. To estimate the market size for each country individually, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific industry associations, such as various macroeconomic indicators, historical developments, current trends, and reported performance indicators of key market players. In particular, we consider average prices and annual purchase frequencies.

Forecasts:

We apply a variety of forecasting techniques, depending on the behavior of the relevant market. For instance, the S-curve function and exponential trend smoothing are well suited for forecasting digital products and services due to the non-linear growth of technology adoption. The main drivers are GDP per capita, consumer spending per capita, and 4G coverage.

Additional notes:

The data is modeled using current exchange rates. The market is updated twice a year in case market dynamics change. The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic is considered at a country-specific level. The data is modeled using current exchange rates. The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and the Russia-Ukraine war are considered at a country-specific level. The market is updated twice a year. In some cases, the data is updated on an ad hoc basis (e.g., when new, relevant data has been released or significant changes within the market have an impact on the projected development). Consumer Insights data is reweighted for representativeness.

Overview

  • Revenue
  • Analyst Opinion
  • Users
  • Global Comparison
  • Methodology
  • Key Market Indicators
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