eBooks - Southern Africa

  • Southern Africa
  • Revenue in the eBooks market is projected to reach US$25.01m in 2024.
  • Revenue is expected to show an annual growth rate (CAGR 2024-2029) of 0.63%, resulting in a projected market volume of US$25.81m by 2029.
  • In the eBooks market, the number of readers is expected to amount to 6.3m users by 2029.
  • User penetration will be 8.7% in 2024 and is expected to hit 8.6% by 2029.
  • The average revenue per user (ARPU) is expected to amount to US$4.12.
  • In global comparison, most revenue will be generated in the United States (US$5,336.00m in 2024).

Key regions: China, Japan, France, Asia, India

 
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Analyst Opinion

The eBooks market in Southern Africa has been experiencing significant growth in recent years. Customer preferences have shifted towards digital reading, leading to an increased demand for eBooks. This trend can be attributed to several factors, including convenience, affordability, and the proliferation of smartphones and other mobile devices.

Customer preferences:
Customers in Southern Africa are increasingly opting for eBooks over traditional print books. This shift can be attributed to the convenience that eBooks offer. With eBooks, readers can access a wide range of titles from the comfort of their own homes, without the need to visit a physical bookstore. Additionally, eBooks are often more affordable than their print counterparts, making them an attractive option for price-conscious consumers.

Trends in the market:
One of the key trends in the eBooks market in Southern Africa is the rising popularity of mobile reading. With the increasing penetration of smartphones and other mobile devices in the region, more people have access to digital reading platforms. This has led to a surge in eBook sales, as readers can easily download and read books on their devices. Another trend in the market is the growth of local eBook publishing. Southern Africa has a rich literary tradition, and local authors are increasingly embracing digital publishing platforms to reach a wider audience. This has not only contributed to the growth of the eBooks market but has also provided a platform for emerging writers to showcase their work.

Local special circumstances:
One of the unique challenges in the Southern African market is the limited access to physical bookstores in some areas. In rural areas, for example, there may be a lack of bookstores, making it difficult for readers to access a wide range of titles. eBooks provide a solution to this problem, as they can be easily downloaded and read on mobile devices, even in areas with limited physical infrastructure.

Underlying macroeconomic factors:
The growth of the eBooks market in Southern Africa can be attributed to several underlying macroeconomic factors. Firstly, the region has experienced significant economic growth in recent years, leading to an increase in disposable income. This has allowed more people to afford smartphones and other mobile devices, which in turn has contributed to the growth of the eBooks market. Furthermore, the increasing internet penetration in Southern Africa has also played a role in the growth of the eBooks market. As more people gain access to the internet, they are able to download and read eBooks on their devices. This has opened up new opportunities for publishers and authors to reach a wider audience. In conclusion, the eBooks market in Southern Africa is experiencing significant growth due to changing customer preferences, including the convenience and affordability of digital reading. The increasing penetration of smartphones and other mobile devices, along with the growth of local eBook publishing, has contributed to this trend. Additionally, underlying macroeconomic factors such as economic growth and increasing internet penetration have also played a role in the development of the market.

Methodology

Data coverage:

The data encompasses B2C enterprises. Figures are based on the Books market, which covers paid publications in printed form and in the form of digital replicas (eBooks). Revenues from the consumer (of general interest), academic (for educational purposes), and professional (on specialized topics) markets are included here. All monetary figures refer to consumer spending on digital goods or subscriptions in the respective market. This spending factors in discounts, margins, and taxes.

Modeling approach / market size:

The market size is determined through a bottom-up approach. We use annual financial reports of the market-leading companies and industry associations, third-party studies and reports, survey results from our primary research (e.g., Consumer Insights), as well as performance factors (e.g., user penetration, price per product, usage) to analyze the markets. To estimate the market size for each country individually, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific industry associations, such as various macroeconomic indicators, historical developments, current trends, and reported performance indicators of key market players. In particular, we consider average prices and annual purchase frequencies.

Forecasts:

We apply a variety of forecasting techniques, depending on the behavior of the relevant market. For instance, the S-curve function and exponential trend smoothing are well suited for forecasting digital products and services due to the non-linear growth of technology adoption. The main drivers are GDP per capita, consumer spending per capita, and 4G coverage.

Additional notes:

The data is modeled using current exchange rates. The market is updated twice a year in case market dynamics change. The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic is considered at a country-specific level. The data is modeled using current exchange rates. The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and the Russia-Ukraine war are considered at a country-specific level. The market is updated twice a year. In some cases, the data is updated on an ad hoc basis (e.g., when new, relevant data has been released or significant changes within the market have an impact on the projected development). Consumer Insights data is reweighted for representativeness.

Overview

  • Revenue
  • Analyst Opinion
  • Users
  • Global Comparison
  • Methodology
  • Key Market Indicators
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