Margarine - Latvia | Statista Market Forecast

Revenue in the Margarine market amounts to US$25.99m in 2024. The market is expected to grow annually by 3.96% (CAGR 2024-2029).
In global comparison, most revenue is generated China (US$5bn in 2024).
In relation to total population figures, per person revenues of US$14.36 are generated in 2024.
In the Margarine market, volume is expected to amount to 4.73m kg by 2029. The Margarine market is expected to show a volume growth of 1.8% in 2025.0.
The average volume per person in the Margarine market is expected to amount to 2.46kg in 2024.

Definition:

Margarine is a butter substitute made from vegetable oils and contains a minimum of 80% fat. Margarine is typically less expensive and has less saturated fat than butter.

Additional Information:

The market comprises revenue and average revenue per capita, volume and average volume per capita, price per unit (unit refers to kilogram), sales channels. The market encompasses retail sales through both online and offline sales channels to private end customers (B2C). The market only covers at-home consumption; out-of-home consumption is not included.

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Regular margarine
Light or reduced-fat margarine
Soft margarine
Non-hydrogenated margarine
Cholesterol-free margarine
Vanaspati

Butter
Vegetable oils
Animal fats (e.g. lard)
Peanut butter
Out-of-home consumption

The Margarine Market in Latvia is experiencing minimal growth, influenced by factors such as shifting consumer preferences towards healthier options, increased competition from butter alternatives, and economic fluctuations affecting purchasing power.

Customer preferences: Consumers in Latvia are increasingly prioritizing health-conscious dietary choices, resulting in a notable shift towards natural and organic spreads over traditional margarine. This trend is amplified by a growing awareness of the impact of trans fats and artificial additives on health, particularly among younger demographics advocating for clean eating. Additionally, the rise of plant-based diets is pushing consumers towards alternatives made from nuts and avocados, reflecting a broader cultural shift towards sustainability and holistic wellness. This evolving landscape poses challenges for the margarine market as it adapts to changing tastes and values.

Trends in the market: In Latvia, the margarine market is experiencing a significant shift as consumers increasingly favor health-oriented options, leading to a decline in traditional margarine sales. The growing preference for natural and organic spreads is driven by heightened awareness of health risks associated with trans fats and artificial ingredients. Furthermore, the rise of plant-based diets is steering consumers towards nut and avocado-based alternatives, reflecting a cultural movement towards sustainability and wellness. This evolving consumer mindset presents challenges for margarine producers, compelling them to innovate and adapt to meet changing demands while potentially reshaping their product offerings and marketing strategies.

Local special circumstances: In Latvia, the margarine market is shaped by local culinary traditions that emphasize butter-based spreads, leading to a slower adoption of margarine alternatives. The country's cold climate also influences consumer preferences, with a focus on spreads that perform well in colder temperatures. Additionally, strict EU regulations on food labeling and health claims drive transparency, encouraging manufacturers to offer clean-label products. This regulatory environment, combined with a cultural shift towards sustainability, compels producers to innovate their offerings to align with the growing demand for health-conscious and environmentally friendly options.

Underlying macroeconomic factors: The margarine market in Latvia is significantly influenced by macroeconomic factors such as consumer income levels, economic stability, and global commodity prices. As the national economy shows signs of growth, disposable income increases, enabling consumers to explore a wider range of food options, including margarine. Fluctuations in global oil prices impact production costs, affecting retail prices and consumer buying behavior. Furthermore, national fiscal policies aimed at promoting healthy eating habits and sustainable agriculture encourage innovation in margarine formulations, aligning with the rising demand for health-conscious and eco-friendly products. This dynamic interplay of economic factors shapes the market landscape.

Data coverage:

The data encompasses B2C enterprises. Figures are based on the total consumer spending on food, which comprises all private household spending on food that is meant for at-home consumption (out-of-home consumption is not accounted for).

Modeling approach:

Market sizes are determined through a top-down approach, building on specific predefined factors for each market segment. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use resources from the Statista platform as well as in-house market research, national statistical offices, international institutions, trade associations, companies, the trade press, and the experience of our analysts. In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as GDP, consumer spending, and consumer price index. This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the relevant market. For example, the exponential trend smoothing is well suited for forecasting the Food market with a projected steady growth. The main drivers are GDP per capita and consumer spending per capita.

Additional notes:

The data is modeled using current exchange rates. The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and the Russia-Ukraine war are considered at a country-specific level. The market is updated twice a year.