Bread - NAFTA | Statista Market Forecast

Bread - NAFTA

NAFTA

Highlights

Revenue in the Bread market amounts to US$48.57bn in 2024. The market is expected to grow annually by 4.02% (CAGR 2024-2029).
In global comparison, most revenue is generated China (US$80bn in 2024).
In relation to total population figures, per person revenues of US$95.19 are generated in 2024.
In the Bread market, volume is expected to amount to 13.69bn kg by 2029. The Bread market is expected to show a volume growth of 2.2% in 2025.0.
The average volume per person in the Bread market is expected to amount to 25.0kg in 2024.

Key regions:

Market definitionIn-Scope/Out-of-scopeMarket structureMethodology

The Bread Market in NAFTA is currently experiencing minimal growth, due to factors such as increasing competition, changing consumer preferences, and the availability of alternative options. Despite this, the convenience and affordability of bread products continue to drive demand in the region's food market.

Customer preferences: With the implementation of NAFTA, the Bread Market of the Bread & Cereal Products Market within The Food market has seen a growing demand for artisanal and specialty breads. This can be attributed to an increase in consumer preferences for healthier and more high-quality options, as well as a rise in the popularity of international cuisine. Additionally, there has been a shift towards plant-based and gluten-free bread options, reflecting evolving lifestyle factors and dietary restrictions among consumers.

Trends in the market: In the Bread & Cereal Products Market within The Food market, the trend towards healthier and more diverse bread options has been on the rise. Consumers are increasingly seeking out gluten-free, whole grain, and artisanal breads, which has led to an increase in demand for these products. In addition, there has been a growing interest in plant-based alternatives, such as bread made from alternative flours like almond or coconut. These trends have significant implications for industry stakeholders, as they must adapt to changing consumer preferences and invest in new product offerings to remain competitive in the market.

Local special circumstances: In Mexico, the Bread Market within the Bread & Cereal Products Market is heavily influenced by the country's rich culinary culture and the strong preference for freshly baked goods. This has led to the dominance of traditional bakeries over packaged bread brands. Additionally, the country's geographical proximity to the United States has resulted in a significant presence of American bread brands in the market. Mexico's strong ties to the US also play a role in the import and export regulations for bread products, impacting market dynamics.

Underlying macroeconomic factors: The Bread Market of the Bread & Cereal Products Market within The Food market is greatly influenced by macroeconomic factors such as changing consumer preferences, evolving dietary patterns, and competitive pricing strategies. Countries with stable economic conditions and favorable trade agreements, such as in NAFTA, are experiencing higher market growth compared to regions with economic instability and trade barriers. Additionally, government initiatives promoting healthy eating habits and increasing disposable income levels are contributing to the expansion of the Bread Market in these countries.

Data coverage:

The data encompasses B2C enterprises. Figures are based on the total consumer spending on food, which comprises all private household spending on food that is meant for at-home consumption (out-of-home consumption is not accounted for).

Modeling approach:

Market sizes are determined through a top-down approach, building on specific predefined factors for each market segment. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use resources from the Statista platform as well as in-house market research, national statistical offices, international institutions, trade associations, companies, the trade press, and the experience of our analysts. In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as GDP, consumer spending, and consumer price index. This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the relevant market. For example, the exponential trend smoothing is well suited for forecasting the Food market with a projected steady growth. The main drivers are GDP per capita and consumer spending per capita.

Additional notes:

The data is modeled using current exchange rates. The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and the Russia-Ukraine war are considered at a country-specific level. The market is updated twice a year.