Margarine - Portugal

  • Portugal
  • Revenue in the Margarine market amounts to US$119.10m in 2024. The market is expected to grow annually by 3.18% (CAGR 2024-2029).
  • In global comparison, most revenue is generated in China (US$4,720m in 2024).
  • In relation to total population figures, per person revenues of US$11.65 are generated in 2024.
  • In the Margarine market, volume is expected to amount to 23.84m kg by 2029. The Margarine market is expected to show a volume growth of 2.4% in 2025.
  • The average volume per person in the Margarine market is expected to amount to 2.16kg in 2024.

Key regions: Philippines, China, United States, South Korea, India

 
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Analyst Opinion

The Margarine Market within the Oils & Fats sector in Portugal is experiencing negligible growth, influenced by factors such as shifting consumer preferences towards healthier alternatives, increased competition from plant-based spreads, and economic constraints affecting spending.

Customer preferences:
Consumers in Portugal are increasingly gravitating towards healthier dietary options, leading to a decline in traditional margarine consumption. This shift is partly influenced by a growing awareness of the health implications of trans fats and a preference for natural ingredients. Additionally, younger demographics are more inclined to explore plant-based alternatives, reflecting broader global trends. As busy lifestyles evolve, demand for convenient, nutritious spreads is rising, prompting brands to innovate with clean-label products that align with these changing preferences.

Trends in the market:
In Portugal, the margarine market is experiencing a notable shift towards healthier, plant-based alternatives as consumers prioritize nutritional value and natural ingredients. This trend is fueled by increasing awareness of the adverse health effects associated with trans fats, resulting in a decline in traditional margarine consumption. Concurrently, younger consumers are exploring diverse plant-based spreads, mirroring global health movements. Industry stakeholders must adapt by innovating clean-label products that cater to the rising demand for convenience and transparency, positioning themselves favorably in an evolving market landscape.

Local special circumstances:
In Portugal, the margarine market is influenced by a strong Mediterranean diet culture that emphasizes fresh, natural ingredients, steering consumers towards healthier options. The country's agricultural diversity supports a robust range of local plant-based oils, enhancing the appeal of alternative spreads. Additionally, stringent EU regulations on food labeling and health claims promote transparency, pushing manufacturers to innovate clean-label products. This unique blend of cultural preferences and regulatory frameworks shapes consumer demands, driving a shift towards healthier, plant-based margarine in the market.

Underlying macroeconomic factors:
The Margarine Market in Portugal is significantly influenced by macroeconomic factors such as consumer spending trends, agricultural productivity, and trade policies. The nation's economic stability, characterized by moderate GDP growth and low unemployment rates, fosters higher disposable income, encouraging consumers to seek premium, healthier margarine options. Additionally, fluctuations in global oil prices impact the cost of raw materials, directly affecting pricing strategies for manufacturers. The EU's Common Agricultural Policy also plays a crucial role, supporting local producers and promoting sustainable practices that align with consumer preferences for natural ingredients. This combination of economic conditions and regulatory frameworks shapes the dynamics of the margarine market.

Methodology

Data coverage:

The data encompasses B2C enterprises. Figures are based on the total consumer spending on food, which comprises all private household spending on food that is meant for at-home consumption (out-of-home consumption is not accounted for).

Modeling approach:

Market sizes are determined through a top-down approach, building on specific predefined factors for each market segment. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use resources from the Statista platform as well as in-house market research, national statistical offices, international institutions, trade associations, companies, the trade press, and the experience of our analysts. In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as GDP, consumer spending, and consumer price index. This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the relevant market. For example, the exponential trend smoothing is well suited for forecasting the Food market with a projected steady growth. The main drivers are GDP per capita and consumer spending per capita.

Additional notes:

The data is modeled using current exchange rates. The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and the Russia-Ukraine war are considered at a country-specific level. The market is updated twice a year.

Overview

  • Revenue
  • Volume
  • Price
  • Sales Channels
  • Global Comparison
  • Analyst Opinion
  • Methodology
  • Key Market Indicators
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