Tomato Ketchup - Worldwide

  • Worldwide
  • Revenue in the Tomato Ketchup market amounts to US$37.67bn in 2024. The market is expected to grow annually by 5.45% (CAGR 2024-2029).
  • In global comparison, most revenue is generated in the United States (US$6,072m in 2024).
  • In relation to total population figures, per person revenues of US$4.86 are generated in 2024.
  • In the Tomato Ketchup market, volume is expected to amount to 16.38bn kg by 2029. The Tomato Ketchup market is expected to show a volume growth of 2.3% in 2025.
  • The average volume per person in the Tomato Ketchup market is expected to amount to 1.9kg in 2024.

Key regions: United States, United Kingdom, Japan, South Korea, Canada

 
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Analyst Opinion

The Tomato Ketchup Market in the Sauces & Spices Market within The Food market Worldwide is experiencing minimal growth, due to various factors such as changing consumer preferences, increasing health consciousness, and the convenience of online shopping. Despite the slow growth rate, the market is expected to see steady growth in the coming years.

Customer preferences:
Consumers are becoming more health-conscious and are seeking healthier options in their food choices, leading to a rise in demand for organic and all-natural tomato ketchup. Additionally, the trend of plant-based diets and alternative protein sources is also influencing the tomato ketchup market, with brands introducing vegan and gluten-free options to cater to this growing segment. This shift is driven by cultural shifts towards sustainable and ethical food consumption and a growing awareness of the impact of food on our health and the environment.

Trends in the market:
In the worldwide Tomato Ketchup market, there is a growing demand for healthier and more natural options, leading to an increase in organic and low-sugar ketchup products. This trend is driven by consumer preferences for clean label and transparent ingredients. Additionally, there is a rising demand for convenient and on-the-go packaging formats, such as single-serve packets and squeezable bottles. These trends have significant implications for industry stakeholders, as they must adapt their product offerings and marketing strategies to cater to changing consumer preferences. Furthermore, this shift towards healthier options and convenience packaging has the potential to drive innovation and competition in the market.

Local special circumstances:
In the United States, the Tomato Ketchup market is heavily influenced by the cultural preference for ketchup as a condiment for various foods. This demand is also driven by the extensive availability of tomato-based dishes in American cuisine. Additionally, the strict regulations on food safety and labeling play a significant role in shaping the market, ensuring the quality and standardization of ketchup products. In contrast, in countries like India and China, the market is driven by the growing popularity of fast-food chains and the increasing demand for western-style condiments. These factors have contributed to the rising consumption of Tomato Ketchup in these regions.

Underlying macroeconomic factors:
The Tomato Ketchup Market of the Sauces & Spices Market within The Food market is affected by macroeconomic factors such as consumer spending, population growth, and government policies. Countries with stable economic conditions and high consumer spending are likely to see a higher demand for tomato ketchup. In addition, favorable government policies promoting healthy eating and increasing investments in food industry infrastructure can also contribute to market growth. However, regions with economic instability and low consumer spending may experience slower market growth due to limited demand and lower purchasing power.

Methodology

Data coverage:

The data encompasses B2C enterprises. Figures are based on the total consumer spending on food, which comprises all private household spending on food that is meant for at-home consumption (out-of-home consumption is not accounted for).

Modeling approach:

Market sizes are determined through a top-down approach, building on specific predefined factors for each market segment. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use resources from the Statista platform as well as in-house market research, national statistical offices, international institutions, trade associations, companies, the trade press, and the experience of our analysts. In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as GDP, consumer spending, and consumer price index. This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the relevant market. For example, the exponential trend smoothing is well suited for forecasting the Food market with a projected steady growth. The main drivers are GDP per capita and consumer spending per capita.

Additional notes:

The data is modeled using current exchange rates. The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and the Russia-Ukraine war are considered at a country-specific level. The market is updated twice a year.

Overview

  • Revenue
  • Volume
  • Price
  • Sales Channels
  • Global Comparison
  • Analyst Opinion
  • Methodology
  • Key Market Indicators
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