Flights - Kenya

  • Kenya
  • By 2024, the projected revenue in the Flights market in Kenya is expected to reach US$312.90m.
  • Moreover, it is forecasted that the revenue will experience an annual growth rate (CAGR 2024-2029) of 9.08%, which will lead to a projected market volume of US$483.30m by 2029.
  • The number of users in the Flights market is expected to reach 4.29m users by 2029.
  • The user penetration rate in this market is also expected to increase from 5.0% in 2024 to 6.9% by 2029.
  • The average revenue per user (ARPU) is expected to be US$112.20.
  • Additionally, it is projected that 71% of the total revenue in the Flights market will be generated through online sales by 2029.
  • It is worth noting that in comparison to other countries, United States is expected to generate the most revenue in the Flights market with a projected revenue of US$143bn in 2024.
  • Kenya's domestic flight market is experiencing growth due to increased investment in airport infrastructure and a growing middle class.

Key regions: India, China, Europe, Indonesia, Thailand

 
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Analyst Opinion

The Flights market in Kenya has been experiencing significant growth in recent years. Customer preferences, trends in the market, local special circumstances, and underlying macroeconomic factors have all contributed to this development. Customer preferences in the Flights market in Kenya have shifted towards more affordable and convenient travel options. With the rise of low-cost carriers and online travel agencies, travelers in Kenya now have access to a wider range of flight options at competitive prices. This has led to an increase in the number of people choosing to fly rather than travel by other means. Trends in the market show that domestic travel within Kenya has become more popular. As the country's economy continues to grow, more Kenyan citizens are able to afford air travel for both business and leisure purposes. This has led to an increase in the number of domestic flights and the opening of new routes within the country. International travel to and from Kenya has also seen significant growth. The country has become a popular tourist destination, attracting visitors from all over the world. Additionally, Kenya's strategic location as a gateway to East Africa has made it an important hub for regional travel. This has led to an increase in the number of international flights operating in and out of Kenya. Local special circumstances have also contributed to the development of the Flights market in Kenya. The government has implemented policies aimed at promoting tourism and attracting foreign investment, which has resulted in increased air traffic to the country. Additionally, Kenya Airways, the national carrier, has undergone restructuring and expansion, which has further boosted the country's aviation industry. Underlying macroeconomic factors have played a significant role in the growth of the Flights market in Kenya. The country's strong economic growth, increasing middle-class population, and improved infrastructure have all contributed to the rise in air travel. Additionally, Kenya's favorable geographical location and political stability have made it an attractive destination for both business and leisure travelers. In conclusion, the Flights market in Kenya has experienced significant growth due to customer preferences, trends in the market, local special circumstances, and underlying macroeconomic factors. As more people in Kenya have access to affordable and convenient flight options, both domestic and international travel has increased. The government's policies to promote tourism and attract foreign investment, along with Kenya Airways' expansion, have also contributed to the growth of the market. With the country's strong economic growth and favorable location, the Flights market in Kenya is expected to continue developing in the coming years.

Methodology

Data coverage:

The data encompasses B2C enterprises. Figures are based on bookings, revenues, and online shares of flights.

Modeling approach:

Market sizes are determined through a bottom-up approach, building on a specific rationale for each market. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use financial reports, third-party studies and reports, federal statistical offices, industry associations, and price data. To estimate the number of users and bookings, we furthermore use data from the Statista Consumer Insigths Global survey. In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as demographic data, GDP, consumer spending, internet penetration, and device usage. This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the relevant market. For example, ARIMA, which allows time series forecasts, accounting for stationarity of data and enabling short-term estimates. Additionally, simple linear regression, Holt-Winters forecast, the S-curve function and exponential trend smoothing methods are applied.

Additional notes:

The data is modeled using current exchange rates. The market is updated twice a year in case market dynamics change.

Overview

  • Revenue
  • Key Players
  • Sales Channels
  • Analyst Opinion
  • Users
  • Global Comparison
  • Methodology
  • Key Market Indicators
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