Bicycles - Kenya

  • Kenya
  • Revenue in the Bicycles market is projected to reach US$15.81m in 2024.
  • Revenue is expected to show an annual growth rate (CAGR 2024-2029) of 1.91%, resulting in a projected market volume of US$17.38m by 2029.
  • Bicycles market unit sales are expected to reach 87.97k bicycles in 2029.
  • The volume weighted average price of Bicycles market in 2024 is expected to amount to US$155.40.
  • From an international perspective it is shown that the most revenue will be generated in China (US$12,370m in 2024).
 
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Analyst Opinion

The Bicycles Market in Kenya has been experiencing a slow growth rate due to factors such as low disposable income, lack of proper infrastructure, and limited availability of electric bicycles. However, the market is expected to see growth in the coming years with increasing awareness about health and fitness, government initiatives to promote cycling, and the convenience offered by online sales platforms.

Customer preferences:
In recent years, there has been a notable increase in the demand for eco-friendly and sustainable products in the Bicycles Market market in Kenya. This trend is largely driven by the growing awareness of the impact of climate change and the desire to reduce carbon footprint. As a result, consumers are increasingly opting for bicycles as a mode of transportation, leading to a rise in sales and production of environmentally friendly bicycles. Additionally, there is a growing preference for locally made bicycles, reflecting a shift towards supporting local businesses and promoting economic development.

Trends in the market:
In Kenya, the Bicycles Market is experiencing a surge in demand for electric bicycles, driven by the increasing need for eco-friendly and cost-effective transportation options. This trend is expected to continue as the government promotes sustainable mobility solutions and consumers become more environmentally conscious. The rise of e-commerce platforms and mobile payment options are also contributing to the growth of online bicycle sales. As a result, industry stakeholders such as manufacturers, retailers, and service providers are investing in digital platforms and partnerships to capitalize on this trend and cater to the evolving needs of consumers.

Local special circumstances:
In Kenya, the Bicycles Market is heavily influenced by the country's geography, with its diverse terrain and rural population. The demand for bicycles is high due to their affordability and practicality in navigating the challenging landscape. Additionally, the country's vibrant cycling culture and government initiatives promoting the use of bicycles as a sustainable mode of transportation have further contributed to the market's growth. This unique combination of factors sets the Kenyan Bicycles Market apart from others, driving its continuous expansion and innovation.

Underlying macroeconomic factors:
The Bicycles Market in Kenya is also impacted by macroeconomic factors such as infrastructure development, government policies, and consumer spending. With the growing economy and increasing disposable income, there is a rise in demand for bicycles as a mode of transportation and recreation. However, challenges such as inadequate road networks and limited access to credit can hinder market growth. Moreover, the government's efforts to promote cycling as a sustainable and eco-friendly means of transport are expected to boost the market in the coming years.

Methodology

Data coverage:

The data encompasses B2C enterprises. Figures are based on the sales of bicycles and the respective average prices for bicycles.

Modeling approach:

Market sizes are determined through a Bottom-Up approach, building on specific predefined factors for each market. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use publications of industry associations, expert blogs, and data provided by governments and scientific institutions. In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as GDP, population, and consumer spending per capita (based on current prices). This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the relevant market. For example, the ARIMA time series forecast and forecasts based on previous growth rates are well suited for forecasting the future demand for bicycles due to the brick and mortar nature of this market. The main drivers are GDP, consumer spending per capita, and population.

Additional notes:

The data is modeled using current exchange rates. The market is updated once a year. In some cases, the data is updated on an ad hoc basis (e.g., when new, relevant data has been released or significant changes within the market have an impact on the projected development).

Overview

  • Unit Sales
  • Analyst Opinion
  • Revenue
  • Price
  • Global Comparison
  • Methodology
  • Key Market Indicators
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