Security - Eastern Africa

  • Eastern Africa
  • Revenue in the Security market is projected to reach US$88.5m in 2024.
  • Revenue is expected to show an annual growth rate (CAGR 2024-2028) of 15.88%, resulting in a projected market volume of US$159.5m by 2028.
  • In the Security market, the number of active households is expected to amount to 3.7m users by 2028.
  • Household penetration will be 1.8% in 2024 and is expected to hit 3.4% by 2028.
  • The average revenue per installed Smart Home currently is expected to amount to US$52.48.
 
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Analyst Opinion

The Security market in Eastern Africa is experiencing significant growth and development in recent years.

Customer preferences:
Customers in Eastern Africa are increasingly prioritizing their safety and security, leading to a rising demand for security products and services. This trend is driven by several factors, including the growing population and urbanization in the region, which has resulted in an increase in crime rates and security concerns. Additionally, the rise of terrorism and political instability in some countries has further heightened the need for robust security measures. As a result, customers are seeking advanced security solutions, such as surveillance systems, access control systems, and alarm systems, to protect their homes, businesses, and public spaces.

Trends in the market:
One of the key trends in the security market in Eastern Africa is the adoption of technology-based security solutions. Customers are increasingly embracing digital and smart security systems that offer enhanced features and capabilities. For example, the use of CCTV cameras with advanced video analytics enables real-time monitoring and detection of suspicious activities. Similarly, the integration of access control systems with biometric authentication provides a higher level of security and convenience. This shift towards technology-driven solutions is driven by the desire for more effective and efficient security measures. Another trend in the market is the growing demand for private security services. As the region continues to experience economic growth and development, businesses and individuals are increasingly seeking professional security services to protect their assets and ensure the safety of their employees and families. Private security firms offer a wide range of services, including manned guarding, mobile patrol, and event security, catering to the diverse security needs of their clients. This trend is expected to continue as the security market in Eastern Africa matures and customers become more aware of the benefits of outsourcing their security needs.

Local special circumstances:
The security market in Eastern Africa is shaped by several local special circumstances. One of the key factors is the high prevalence of informal settlements and slums in urban areas. These areas are often characterized by poor infrastructure, limited access to basic services, and high levels of crime. As a result, there is a significant demand for affordable and effective security solutions that can address the unique challenges of these environments. Companies operating in the security market in Eastern Africa need to develop innovative products and services that are tailored to the needs of customers in informal settlements.

Underlying macroeconomic factors:
The development of the security market in Eastern Africa is influenced by several underlying macroeconomic factors. Economic growth and increasing disposable incomes have contributed to the rising demand for security products and services. As individuals and businesses become wealthier, they are willing to invest in security measures to protect their assets and ensure their well-being. Furthermore, the region's growing middle class is driving the demand for more sophisticated security solutions, such as home automation systems that integrate security features. Political stability and government initiatives also play a crucial role in shaping the security market in Eastern Africa. Countries with stable political environments and strong governance structures are more attractive to investors and businesses, leading to increased demand for security solutions. Additionally, governments in the region are recognizing the importance of security and are implementing policies and regulations to promote the growth of the security industry. This supportive regulatory environment encourages investment and innovation in the security market. In conclusion, the security market in Eastern Africa is experiencing significant growth and development due to increasing customer preferences for safety and security. The adoption of technology-based solutions and the demand for private security services are key trends driving the market. Local special circumstances, such as the prevalence of informal settlements, and underlying macroeconomic factors, including economic growth and political stability, also contribute to the development of the market.

Methodology

Data coverage:

The data encompasses B2C enterprises. Figures are based on the sales of smart home products, excluding taxes.

Modeling approach:

Market sizes are determined through a bottom-up approach, building on a specific rationale for each market category. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use the Statista Global Consumer Survey, market data from independent databases and third-party sources, and Statista interviews with market experts. In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as household internet penetration and consumer spending for households. This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the relevant market. For example, the S-curve function and exponential trend smoothing are well suited for forecasting innovative products due to the non-linear growth of technology adoption. The main drivers are GDP/capita, level of digitization, and consumer attitudes toward smart home integration.

Additional notes:

The data is modeled using current exchange rates. The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and the Russia-Ukraine war are considered at a country-specific level. The market is updated once a year, in case market dynamics change we do more frequent updates.

Overview

  • Revenue
  • Key Players
  • Product Types
  • Global Comparison
  • Analyst Opinion
  • Methodology
  • Key Market Indicators
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