Oils & Fats - Ukraine

  • Ukraine
  • Revenue in the Oils & Fats market amounts to US$1.81bn in 2024. The market is expected to grow annually by 10.11% (CAGR 2024-2029).
  • In global comparison, most revenue is generated in India (US$46bn in 2024).
  • In relation to total population figures, per person revenues of US$47.67 are generated in 2024.
  • In the Oils & Fats market, volume is expected to amount to 216.40m kg by 2029. The Oils & Fats market is expected to show a volume growth of 4.3% in 2025.
  • The average volume per person in the Oils & Fats market is expected to amount to 4.6kg in 2024.

Key regions: Canada, India, Spain, Philippines, South Korea

 
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Analyst Opinion

The Oils & Fats market in Ukraine is experiencing minimal growth, influenced by factors such as shifting consumer preferences towards healthier options, price volatility of raw materials, and increased competition among local and international brands.

Customer preferences:
Consumers in Ukraine are increasingly prioritizing health-conscious choices, which is reshaping the Oils & Fats market. There is a notable shift towards plant-based oils and organic products, driven by a growing awareness of nutrition and wellness. Additionally, younger demographics are gravitating towards sustainable and ethically sourced options, reflecting a broader cultural trend emphasizing environmental responsibility. This evolving lifestyle, combined with urbanization, has led to heightened demand for convenient packaging and ready-to-use cooking solutions, influencing product offerings across the market.

Trends in the market:
In Ukraine, the Oils & Fats market is experiencing a significant shift toward health-oriented products, with consumers increasingly favoring plant-based oils and organic options. This trend is driven by heightened awareness of nutrition, prompting brands to innovate with healthier formulations. Additionally, younger consumers are prioritizing sustainable and ethically sourced products, reflecting a commitment to environmental responsibility. As urbanization continues, there is a growing demand for convenient packaging and ready-to-use cooking solutions, compelling industry stakeholders to adapt their offerings to meet evolving consumer preferences and capitalize on these emerging market opportunities.

Local special circumstances:
In Ukraine, the Oils & Fats market is uniquely influenced by the country's rich agricultural heritage, with a strong emphasis on sunflower oil production due to favorable climatic conditions. Traditional culinary practices favor local oils, creating a preference for familiar flavors among consumers. Additionally, the ongoing geopolitical situation has heightened interest in self-sufficiency and local sourcing, prompting brands to emphasize domestic products. Regulatory support for organic farming is also fostering innovation in healthier oil options, aligning with consumer trends towards sustainability and health consciousness.

Underlying macroeconomic factors:
The Oils & Fats market in Ukraine is significantly shaped by macroeconomic factors such as agricultural productivity, international trade dynamics, and currency fluctuations. The country's reliance on sunflower oil exports is influenced by global demand, particularly from the EU and Asia, which affects pricing and market stability. National economic health, characterized by GDP growth and inflation rates, impacts consumer purchasing power and expenditure on food products. Additionally, fiscal policies that support local farmers and promote sustainable practices are fostering innovation within the sector. Furthermore, geopolitical tensions contribute to supply chain uncertainties, prompting consumers to lean towards domestically sourced oils, thereby enhancing local market resilience.

Methodology

Data coverage:

The data encompasses B2C enterprises. Figures are based on the total consumer spending on food, which comprises all private household spending on food that is meant for at-home consumption (out-of-home consumption is not accounted for).

Modeling approach:

Market sizes are determined through a top-down approach, building on specific predefined factors for each market segment. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use resources from the Statista platform as well as in-house market research, national statistical offices, international institutions, trade associations, companies, the trade press, and the experience of our analysts. In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as GDP, consumer spending, and consumer price index. This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the relevant market. For example, the exponential trend smoothing is well suited for forecasting the Food market with a projected steady growth. The main drivers are GDP per capita and consumer spending per capita.

Additional notes:

The data is modeled using current exchange rates. The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and the Russia-Ukraine war are considered at a country-specific level. The market is updated twice a year.

Overview

  • Revenue
  • Volume
  • Price
  • Sales Channels
  • Global Comparison
  • Analyst Opinion
  • Methodology
  • Key Market Indicators
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