Alcoholic Drinks - Ukraine

  • Ukraine
  • Revenue, at home (e.g., revenue generated in supermarkets and convenience stores) in the Alcoholic Drinks market amounts to US$4,860.0m in 2024.
  • Revenue, out-of-home (e.g., revenue generated in restaurants and bars) amounts to US$791.1m in 2024.
  • Revenue, combined amounts to US$5,651.0m in 2024.
  • The revenue, at home is expected to grow annually by -2.81% (CAGR 2024-2029).
  • In global comparison, most revenue, at home is generated in China (US$208bn in 2024).
  • In relation to total population figures, the average revenue per capita, at home of US$128.10 are generated in 2024.
  • In the Alcoholic Drinks market, volume, at home is expected to amount to 1,466.0m L by 2024.
  • Volume, out-of-home is expected to amount to 182.9m L in 2024.
  • Volume, combined is expected to amount to 1,649.0m L in 2024.
  • The Alcoholic Drinks market is expected to show a volume growth, at home of -9.0% in 2025.
  • The average volume per person, at home in the Alcoholic Drinks market is expected to amount to 38.64L in 2024.

Key regions: Worldwide, United States, Russia, United Kingdom, India

 
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Analyst Opinion

The Alcoholic Drinks market in Ukraine has been experiencing significant growth in recent years. Customer preferences have shifted towards premium and craft alcoholic beverages, leading to an increase in demand for high-quality products. Additionally, the market has been influenced by local special circumstances and underlying macroeconomic factors.

Customer preferences:
In Ukraine, customer preferences have been shifting towards premium and craft alcoholic beverages. Consumers are becoming more discerning in their choices and are willing to pay a premium for products that offer unique flavors and high-quality ingredients. This trend can be attributed to a growing middle class and an increasing appreciation for artisanal products. As a result, there has been a surge in the popularity of craft beers, small-batch spirits, and boutique wines.

Trends in the market:
One of the key trends in the Alcoholic Drinks market in Ukraine is the rise of craft beer. Craft breweries have been popping up across the country, offering a wide range of unique and flavorful beers. This trend is driven by the growing demand for variety and the desire for locally-produced beverages. Craft beer festivals and tasting events have also gained popularity, further promoting the growth of this segment. Another trend in the market is the increasing popularity of spirits, particularly whiskey and gin. Ukrainian consumers are developing a taste for these traditional spirits, which were previously less popular in the country. This trend can be attributed to the growing influence of Western culture and the desire to explore new flavors and experiences. As a result, whiskey bars and gin distilleries have been opening up in major cities, catering to the demand for these premium spirits.

Local special circumstances:
The Alcoholic Drinks market in Ukraine is also influenced by local special circumstances. One such circumstance is the country's rich tradition of vodka consumption. Vodka has long been the preferred alcoholic beverage in Ukraine, and it continues to hold a significant share of the market. However, there has been a shift towards higher-quality vodkas, with consumers opting for premium and craft varieties. Another local special circumstance is the presence of a large number of vineyards in Ukraine. The country has a long history of winemaking, and Ukrainian wines are gaining recognition both domestically and internationally. This has led to an increased focus on wine production and the development of wine tourism in the country. Wineries are now offering tours and tastings, attracting both local and international visitors.

Underlying macroeconomic factors:
The Alcoholic Drinks market in Ukraine is influenced by underlying macroeconomic factors. The country has experienced economic growth in recent years, leading to an increase in disposable income. This has resulted in higher consumer spending on discretionary items, including alcoholic beverages. Additionally, the growing middle class has led to a shift in consumer preferences towards premium and craft products, driving the demand for higher-quality alcoholic drinks. Furthermore, the increasing urbanization in Ukraine has also contributed to the growth of the Alcoholic Drinks market. Urban areas have a higher concentration of bars, restaurants, and retail outlets, providing consumers with more opportunities to explore different alcoholic beverages. This trend is expected to continue as urbanization rates in Ukraine continue to rise. In conclusion, the Alcoholic Drinks market in Ukraine is developing in response to changing customer preferences, local special circumstances, and underlying macroeconomic factors. The shift towards premium and craft beverages, the rise of craft beer and spirits, the country's tradition of vodka consumption, the presence of vineyards, and the growing middle class and urbanization rates are all contributing to the growth of the market. As consumer tastes continue to evolve and the economy continues to grow, the Alcoholic Drinks market in Ukraine is expected to further expand in the coming years.

Methodology

Data coverage:
The data encompasses B2C enterprises. The at-home market covers retail sales via super- and hypermarkets, eCommerce, convenience stores, or similar sales channels. The out-of-home data encompasses all sales to hotels, restaurants, catering, cafés, bars, and similar hospitality service establishments. Combined numbers encompass both the at-home market and the out-of-home market. Both the at-home and the out-of-home market are valued at retail selling prices including all sales and consumption taxes.

Modeling approach:
Market sizes are determined through a Top-Down approach, building on specific predefined factors for each market segment. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use resources from the Statista platform as well as in-house market research, national statistical offices, international institutions, trade associations, companies, the trade press, and the experience of our analysts. In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as GDP, consumer spending (e.g. consumer spending on alcoholic beverages, consumer spending at Hotels, Restaurants etc.), and price level index. This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:
In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the relevant market. For example, the exponential trend smoothing is well suited for forecasting the Alcoholic Drinks market with a projected steady growth. The main drivers are GDP per capita and consumer spending per capita.

Additional notes:
The data is modeled using current exchange rates. The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and the Russia-Ukraine war are considered at a country-specific level.

Overview

  • Revenue
  • Volume
  • Price
  • Sales Channels
  • Global Comparison
  • Analyst Opinion
  • Methodology
  • Key Market Indicators
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