Margarine - Ukraine

  • Ukraine
  • Revenue in the Margarine market amounts to US$169.90m in 2024. The market is expected to grow annually by 9.92% (CAGR 2024-2029).
  • In global comparison, most revenue is generated in China (US$4,720m in 2024).
  • In relation to total population figures, per person revenues of US$4.48 are generated in 2024.
  • In the Margarine market, volume is expected to amount to 41.48m kg by 2029. The Margarine market is expected to show a volume growth of 4.6% in 2025.
  • The average volume per person in the Margarine market is expected to amount to 0.89kg in 2024.

Key regions: Philippines, China, United States, South Korea, India

 
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Analyst Opinion

The Margarine Market within the Oils & Fats sector in Ukraine is experiencing subdued growth, influenced by factors such as shifting consumer preferences towards healthier alternatives, economic challenges, and competition from other spreads and butter products.

Customer preferences:
Consumers in Ukraine are gravitating towards plant-based and healthier fat alternatives, reflecting a growing awareness of nutritional value and wellness. This trend is particularly evident among younger demographics who prioritize clean-label products and sustainable sourcing. Additionally, urbanization is influencing lifestyle choices, as busy professionals seek convenient solutions that align with their health goals. The cultural shift towards home cooking and baking during economic uncertainties has also revived interest in versatile spreads, positioning margarine as a practical ingredient in modern diets.

Trends in the market:
In Ukraine, the Margarine Market within the Oils & Fats segment is experiencing a notable shift towards plant-based and health-conscious products, driven by consumer awareness of nutritional benefits. Younger consumers are increasingly favoring clean-label and sustainably sourced options, aligning with global wellness trends. Urban lifestyles are further influencing this shift, as busy professionals seek convenient yet healthy cooking solutions. Additionally, the rise in home cooking, spurred by economic challenges, has enhanced the popularity of margarine as a versatile ingredient, presenting significant opportunities for industry stakeholders to innovate and cater to evolving consumer preferences.

Local special circumstances:
In Ukraine, the Margarine Market within the Oils & Fats segment is shaped by unique local factors, including the country's agricultural landscape and rich culinary traditions. The availability of diverse plant oils, such as sunflower and rapeseed, supports the growing demand for locally sourced margarine alternatives. Culturally, traditional Ukrainian dishes often incorporate margarine, making it a staple in households. Regulatory changes promoting healthier food options also encourage product reformulation, driving innovation in plant-based and low-trans fat margarines, ultimately aligning with consumer preferences for health and sustainability.

Underlying macroeconomic factors:
The Margarine Market within the Oils & Fats segment in Ukraine is significantly influenced by macroeconomic factors such as agricultural productivity, consumer spending, and trade policies. The country’s robust agricultural sector, particularly in sunflower oil production, supports the availability of key raw materials, fostering a competitive pricing environment. Additionally, national economic health, characterized by GDP growth and inflation rates, impacts consumer purchasing power and demand for margarine products. Fiscal policies promoting local food production and import tariffs on foreign oils further shape market dynamics, encouraging investment in innovative, healthier margarine alternatives aligned with evolving consumer preferences.

Methodology

Data coverage:

The data encompasses B2C enterprises. Figures are based on the total consumer spending on food, which comprises all private household spending on food that is meant for at-home consumption (out-of-home consumption is not accounted for).

Modeling approach:

Market sizes are determined through a top-down approach, building on specific predefined factors for each market segment. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use resources from the Statista platform as well as in-house market research, national statistical offices, international institutions, trade associations, companies, the trade press, and the experience of our analysts. In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as GDP, consumer spending, and consumer price index. This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the relevant market. For example, the exponential trend smoothing is well suited for forecasting the Food market with a projected steady growth. The main drivers are GDP per capita and consumer spending per capita.

Additional notes:

The data is modeled using current exchange rates. The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and the Russia-Ukraine war are considered at a country-specific level. The market is updated twice a year.

Overview

  • Revenue
  • Volume
  • Price
  • Sales Channels
  • Global Comparison
  • Analyst Opinion
  • Methodology
  • Key Market Indicators
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