Milk Substitutes - South America

South America

Highlights

Revenue in the Milk Substitutes market amounts to US$796.90m in 2024. The market is expected to grow annually by 11.01% (CAGR 2024-2029).
In global comparison, most revenue is generated China (US$10bn in 2024).
In relation to total population figures, per person revenues of US$1.93 are generated in 2024.
In the Milk Substitutes market, volume is expected to amount to 291.50m kg by 2029. The Milk Substitutes market is expected to show a volume growth of 9.1% in 2025.0.
The average volume per person in the Milk Substitutes market is expected to amount to 0.5kg in 2024.

Key regions:

Market definitionIn-Scope/Out-of-scopeMarket structureMethodology

The Milk Substitutes market in South America is experiencing subdued growth due to factors such as changing consumer preferences and increasing health concerns. This trend is expected to continue in the coming years, with the market being driven by the convenience of online shopping and the rising adoption of alternative dairy products. Despite the slow growth rate, the market shows potential for expansion as more consumers become health-conscious and seek out healthier options.

Customer preferences: As health and wellness become increasingly prioritized, there is a growing demand for plant-based milk substitutes in South America. This shift is driven by concerns over animal welfare and environmental sustainability. Furthermore, as plant-based diets gain popularity, consumers are looking for more options in the dairy market, leading to an increase in sales of milk substitutes. Additionally, health-conscious consumers are opting for alternative milk options such as almond, soy, and coconut milk due to their perceived health benefits.

Trends in the market: In South America, there is a rising demand for plant-based milk substitutes, driven by health and environmental concerns. This trend is expected to continue as consumers become more health-conscious and seek alternatives to traditional dairy products. Additionally, the use of plant-based milk substitutes is gaining popularity in the region due to the increasing availability of a variety of options, such as almond, soy, and coconut milk. This trend has significant implications for industry stakeholders, including dairy companies, as they may need to adapt their product offerings to meet the changing preferences of consumers. Furthermore, this trend presents an opportunity for new entrants to enter the market and compete with established dairy companies. Overall, the trajectory of this trend indicates a shift towards a more plant-based and sustainable approach to food consumption in South America.

Local special circumstances: In South America, the Milk Substitutes Market of the Dairy Products & Eggs Market within The Food market has been growing due to the increasing demand for dairy-free alternatives among health-conscious consumers. However, each country has its own unique factors driving this market. For example, in Brazil, the market is influenced by the growing vegan population and the availability of plant-based options. In Colombia, the market is driven by lactose intolerance and the popularity of soy and almond milk. In Argentina, the market is shaped by the cultural preference for dairy-free drinks like horchata and coconut milk. These local factors play a significant role in shaping the dynamics of the Milk Substitutes Market in South America.

Underlying macroeconomic factors: The growth of the Milk Substitutes Market in South America is heavily influenced by macroeconomic factors such as national economic health, fiscal policies, and global economic trends. Countries with stable economies and favorable fiscal policies are experiencing faster market growth compared to regions with economic instability and unfavorable policies. Additionally, the increasing prevalence of lactose intolerance and the rising demand for plant-based alternatives are driving the growth of the Milk Substitutes Market in South America. Furthermore, the growing health and wellness trend, along with increasing awareness about the environmental impact of traditional dairy production, is also contributing to the market's growth.

Data coverage:

The data encompasses B2C enterprises. Figures are based on the total consumer spending on food, which comprises all private household spending on food that is meant for at-home consumption (out-of-home consumption is not accounted for).

Modeling approach:

Market sizes are determined through a top-down approach, building on specific predefined factors for each market segment. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use resources from the Statista platform as well as in-house market research, national statistical offices, international institutions, trade associations, companies, the trade press, and the experience of our analysts. In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as GDP, consumer spending, and consumer price index. This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the relevant market. For example, the exponential trend smoothing is well suited for forecasting the Food market with a projected steady growth. The main drivers are GDP per capita and consumer spending per capita.

Additional notes:

The data is modeled using current exchange rates. The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and the Russia-Ukraine war are considered at a country-specific level. The market is updated twice a year.