Ice Cream - Russia | Statista Market Forecast

Revenue in the Ice Cream market amounts to US$5.59bn in 2024. The market is expected to grow annually by 7.96% (CAGR 2024-2029).
In global comparison, most revenue is generated China (US$22bn in 2024).
In relation to total population figures, per person revenues of US$38.85 are generated in 2024.
In the Ice Cream market, volume is expected to amount to 1.18bn kg by 2029. The Ice Cream market is expected to show a volume growth of 2.7% in 2025.0.
The average volume per person in the Ice Cream market is expected to amount to 7.0kg in 2024.

Definition:

The Ice Cream market includes dairy ice cream, frozen yogurt, and sorbet. This market only considers products made via industrial production. Handmade ice cream is not included. The key producers in this market are Unilever, Nestlé, and General Mills.

Additional Information:

The market comprises revenue and average revenue per capita, volume and average volume per capita, price per unit (unit refers to kilogram). The market encompasses retail sales through both online and offline sales channels to private end customers (B2C). The market only covers at-home consumption; out-of-home consumption is not included.

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Hard ice cream
Soft serve
Gelato, granita
Snow cream
Sorbet, sherbet
Frozen yogurt, custard, ice milk
Ice cream sandwiches, ice cream bars, ice cream cakes, ice cream cups, push-up pops
Kulfi, mochi ice cream, dondurma, paletas
Low-fat ice cream, no sugar added ice cream, Lactose-free ice cream

Handcrafted ice cream
Ice cubes
Crushed ice
Out-of-home consumption

The Ice Cream market in Russia's Confectionery & Snacks market is experiencing subdued growth due to various factors like changing consumer preferences, economic challenges, and intense competition. Despite this, the convenience and indulgence offered by ice cream products continue to drive demand, resulting in slow but steady growth in the market.

Customer preferences: With the rising popularity of healthier food options, consumers in Russia are increasingly turning to plant-based ice cream varieties. This shift is driven by a growing awareness of the environmental and health benefits of plant-based diets, as well as a desire for more diverse flavor options. In addition, the millennial and Gen Z demographic, who are more socially and environmentally conscious, are a key driver of this trend. As a result, ice cream brands are incorporating more vegan and lactose-free options into their product lines to cater to this growing demand.

Trends in the market: In Russia, the Ice Cream market is experiencing a surge in demand for healthier and more natural options, as consumers become more health-conscious. This trend is driven by rising awareness of the negative impacts of excessive sugar and artificial ingredients. As a result, manufacturers are now offering sugar-free, dairy-free, and vegan ice cream options. Additionally, there is a growing trend of premiumization, with consumers willing to pay more for artisanal and gourmet ice cream varieties. This shift towards healthier and premium products presents opportunities for industry players to innovate and cater to changing consumer preferences.

Local special circumstances: In Russia, the Ice Cream Market in the Confectionery Market of the Confectionery & Snacks Market within The Food market is heavily influenced by the country's cold climate, leading to a high demand for rich, creamy ice cream. Additionally, the cultural tradition of consuming ice cream during celebrations and holidays has further boosted the market. Furthermore, strict regulations on imported dairy products have created a preference for locally produced ice cream, driving the growth of domestic brands.

Underlying macroeconomic factors: The Ice Cream Market in the Confectionery Market of the Confectionery & Snacks Market within The Food market in Russia is greatly impacted by macroeconomic factors. The country's economic health, government fiscal policies, and global economic trends all play a significant role in the performance of the ice cream market. For instance, a strong economy with rising consumer spending power can lead to increased demand for indulgent treats like ice cream. Additionally, favorable government policies and investments in the food industry can boost the production and distribution of ice cream, leading to market growth. On the other hand, a weak economy or restrictive fiscal policies can result in decreased consumer spending and hinder market growth. Moreover, fluctuations in global commodity prices, such as dairy and sugar, can also impact the cost of production and pricing of ice cream in the Russian market.

Data coverage:

The data encompasses B2C enterprises. Figures are based on the total consumer spending on food, which comprises all private household spending on food that is meant for at-home consumption (out-of-home consumption is not accounted for).

Modeling approach:

Market sizes are determined through a top-down approach, building on specific predefined factors for each market segment. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use resources from the Statista platform as well as in-house market research, national statistical offices, international institutions, trade associations, companies, the trade press, and the experience of our analysts. In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as GDP, consumer spending, and consumer price index. This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the relevant market. For example, the exponential trend smoothing is well suited for forecasting the Food market with a projected steady growth. The main drivers are GDP per capita and consumer spending per capita.

Additional notes:

The data is modeled using current exchange rates. The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and the Russia-Ukraine war are considered at a country-specific level. The market is updated twice a year.