Public Transportation - Poland | Statista Market Forecast

Poland is expected to reach a revenue of US$4.23bn in the Public Transportation market by 2024.
The revenue is projected to grow annually at a rate of 2.50%, resulting in a market volume of US$4.78bn by 2029.
Moreover, the number of users in the Public Transportation market is expected to reach 28.30m users in Poland by 2029.
The user penetration rate is anticipated to rise from 68.5% in 2024 to 72.9% by 2029.
The average revenue per user (ARPU) is estimated to be US$153.50.
Additionally, online sales are projected to contribute 29% of the total revenue in the Public Transportation market by 2029.
It is noteworthy that United States is the country that generates the highest revenue in the global comparison, with a projected revenue of US$52bn in 2024.
Poland's public transportation system has undergone significant modernization efforts, with the introduction of new trams, buses, and metro lines in major cities.

Definition:

Local public transportation is used to transport people in everyday traffic by road, water, railway tracks, and sometimes by air (cable car) for local and regional transportation. In this market, revenues generated by ticket sales from public transportation companies, such as BVG (Berlin Transport Company), TfL (Transport for London), or Toei (東京都交通局: Tokyo Metropolitan Bureau of Transportation) are considered. Most providers sell single and group tickets or time-limited tickets for up to one year. This market does not take long-distance public transportation with national travel offerings into consideration.

Additional Information:

The main performance indicators of the Flights market are revenues, average revenue per user (ARPU), user numbers and user penetration rates. Additionally, online and offline sales channel shares display the distribution of online and offline bookings. The ARPU refers to the average revenue one user generates per year while the revenue represents the total booking volume. Revenues are generated through both online and offline sales channels and include exclusively B2C revenues and users for the above-mentioned markets. User numbers show only those individuals who have made a reservation, independent of the number of travelers on the booking. Each user is only counted once per year. Additional definitions for each market can be found within the respective market pages.

The booking volume includes all booked rides made by users from the selected region, regardless of where the ride took place.

For further information on the data displayed, refer to the info button right next to each box.

Local and regional public transportation by road, water, rail, and air
Regular transportation by bus, train, tram, subway, suburban trains, ferries, cable car, and trolleybus
All online and offline bookings for public transportation tickets and subscriptions, irrespective of the sales channel
Time-limited subscriptions and single tickets

Tickets for long-distance public transportation with nationwide travel offers
Private transportation
Freight transportation

The Public Transportation market in Poland has been experiencing significant growth in recent years, driven by various factors including changing customer preferences, emerging trends in the market, local special circumstances, and underlying macroeconomic factors.

Customer preferences: In Poland, there has been a shift in customer preferences towards more sustainable and environmentally friendly modes of transportation. With increasing awareness about the negative impacts of private car usage on the environment, more people are opting for public transportation as a greener alternative. Additionally, the convenience and cost-effectiveness of public transportation have also contributed to its popularity among customers.

Trends in the market: One of the key trends in the Public Transportation market in Poland is the integration of different modes of transportation. This includes the integration of buses, trams, trains, and metro systems to provide seamless and efficient travel options for commuters. This trend has been driven by the need to improve connectivity and reduce congestion in urban areas. As a result, there has been an increase in the number of intermodal transportation hubs and the implementation of smart ticketing systems to facilitate easy transfers between different modes of transportation. Another trend in the market is the adoption of technology to enhance the customer experience. This includes the introduction of mobile ticketing apps, real-time information systems, and smart transportation solutions. These technological advancements have made it easier for customers to plan their journeys, track the arrival and departure of vehicles, and make payments. Furthermore, the use of electric and hybrid vehicles in public transportation has also gained traction, contributing to the overall sustainability of the market.

Local special circumstances: Poland has a well-developed public transportation infrastructure, particularly in major cities such as Warsaw, Krakow, and Wroclaw. The availability of a comprehensive network of buses, trams, and metro systems has made public transportation a convenient and reliable option for commuters. Additionally, the government has been actively investing in the modernization and expansion of public transportation infrastructure to meet the growing demand and improve the overall quality of service.

Underlying macroeconomic factors: The growth of the Public Transportation market in Poland is also influenced by underlying macroeconomic factors. The country's stable economic growth, rising urbanization, and increasing disposable income have contributed to the growing demand for public transportation services. Furthermore, government initiatives to promote sustainable transportation and reduce air pollution have also played a significant role in driving the market growth. In conclusion, the Public Transportation market in Poland is witnessing growth due to changing customer preferences, emerging trends in the market, local special circumstances, and underlying macroeconomic factors. The shift towards more sustainable modes of transportation, integration of different modes of transportation, adoption of technology, and government investments in infrastructure are key drivers of this growth. As the market continues to evolve, it is expected to further expand and improve the overall mobility options for customers in Poland.

Data coverage:

The data encompasses B2C enterprises. Figures are based on bookings, revenues, and online shares of public transportation.

Modeling approach:

Market sizes are determined through a bottom-up approach, building on a specific rationale for each market. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use financial reports, third-party studies and reports, federal statistical offices, industry associations, and price data. To estimate the number of users and bookings, we furthermore use data from the Statista Consumer Insigths Global survey. In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as demographic data, GDP, consumer spending, internet penetration, and device usage. This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the relevant market. For example, ARIMA, which allows time series forecasts, accounting for stationarity of data and enabling short-term estimates. Additionally, simple linear regression, Holt-Winters forecast, the S-curve function and exponential trend smoothing methods are applied.

Additional notes:

The data is modeled using current exchange rates. The market is updated twice a year in case market dynamics change.

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