Bus Tickets - Poland | Statista Market Forecast

Poland is projected to witness a revenue of US$432.60m in the Bus Tickets market by 2024.
Furthermore, it is expected to experience an annual growth rate (CAGR 2024-2029) of 3.51%, which will result in a projected market volume of US$514.00m by 2029.
Additionally, the number of users in the Bus Tickets market is predicted to amount to 5.86m users by 2029.
The user penetration rate is also expected to increase from 13.3% in 2024 to 15.1% by 2029.
Notably, the average revenue per user (ARPU) is forecasted to be US$80.63.
Moreover, in the Bus Tickets market, 71% of the total revenue is projected to come from online sales by 2029.
Lastly, in global comparison, China is expected to generate the most revenue, with US$5bn in 2024.
Poland's bus market is shifting towards electric buses, with major cities like Warsaw and Krakow aiming for full electrification by 2030.

Definition:

The Bus tickets market consists of tickets for long-distance travel or cross-regional travel by bus or coach. This includes country-specific providers of bus transport, e.g., Eurolines, National Express and Greyhound. As a rule, travel for single passengers and groups or time-limited subscription-based travel can be booked up to a year in advance. Tickets for public transport, for within a city or other local travel are not included.

Additional Information:

The main performance indicators of the Bus tickets market are revenues, average revenue per user (ARPU), user numbers and user penetration rates. Additionally, online and offline sales channel shares display the distribution of online and offline bookings. The ARPU refers to the average revenue one user generates per year while the revenue represents the total booking volume. Revenues are generated through both online and offline sales channels and include exclusively B2C revenues and users for the above-mentioned markets. User numbers show only those individuals who have made a reservation, independent of the number of travelers on the booking. Each user is only counted once per year. Additional definitions for each market can be found within the respective market pages.

The booking volume includes all booked rides made by users from the selected region, regardless of where the ride took place.

For further information on the data displayed, refer to the info button right next to each box.

Tickets for long-distance travel or cross-regional travel by bus or coach
Time-limited subscription based travel
Line service and regular, scheduled bus service
All online and offline booked long-distance bus tickets regardless of the purchase channel

Tickets for public transport, for within a city or other local travel
Bus trips that are organized as an excursion or specifically for a travel group

The Buses market in Poland has been experiencing significant growth in recent years. Customer preferences have shifted towards more eco-friendly and fuel-efficient buses, leading to an increase in the demand for electric and hybrid buses. Additionally, the government's focus on improving public transportation infrastructure and reducing carbon emissions has also contributed to the growth of the market.

Customer preferences: Customers in Poland are increasingly concerned about the environmental impact of transportation. As a result, there has been a growing demand for electric and hybrid buses, which offer lower emissions and reduced fuel consumption compared to traditional diesel buses. This shift in customer preferences is driven by both environmental awareness and the desire for cost savings in the long run.

Trends in the market: One of the key trends in the Buses market in Poland is the adoption of electric buses. This trend is in line with the global push towards sustainable transportation solutions. Electric buses offer several advantages, including lower operational costs and reduced noise pollution. As a result, many cities in Poland are investing in electric bus fleets to improve the quality of public transportation and reduce air pollution. Another trend in the market is the integration of smart technologies in buses. This includes features such as real-time tracking, passenger information systems, and connectivity options. These technologies enhance the overall passenger experience and improve the efficiency of bus operations. Customers are increasingly expecting these features in buses, and manufacturers are responding by incorporating smart technologies into their products.

Local special circumstances: Poland has a well-developed public transportation system, with buses playing a crucial role in connecting different parts of the country. The government has been actively investing in the expansion and improvement of public transportation infrastructure, which has created a favorable environment for the growth of the Buses market. Additionally, the rising urbanization and increasing population in cities have also contributed to the demand for buses.

Underlying macroeconomic factors: The growth of the Buses market in Poland is also influenced by macroeconomic factors. The country has experienced steady economic growth in recent years, which has increased the purchasing power of consumers. This, coupled with government subsidies and incentives for the purchase of electric buses, has further stimulated the market. Additionally, the government's focus on reducing carbon emissions and improving air quality has created a favorable regulatory environment for the adoption of electric and hybrid buses. In conclusion, the Buses market in Poland is experiencing growth due to customer preferences for eco-friendly and fuel-efficient buses, as well as the government's focus on improving public transportation infrastructure and reducing carbon emissions. The adoption of electric and hybrid buses, along with the integration of smart technologies, are key trends in the market. The local special circumstances, such as the well-developed public transportation system and rising urbanization, further contribute to the growth of the market. Overall, the underlying macroeconomic factors, including steady economic growth and government incentives, are driving the development of the Buses market in Poland.

Data coverage:

The data encompasses B2C enterprises. Figures are based on bookings, revenues, and online shares of bus tickets.

Modeling approach:

Market sizes are determined through a bottom-up approach, building on a specific rationale for each market. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use financial reports, third-party studies and reports, federal statistical offices, industry associations, and price data. To estimate the number of users and bookings, we furthermore use data from the Statista Consumer Insigths Global survey. In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as demographic data, GDP, consumer spending, internet penetration, and device usage. This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the relevant market. For example, ARIMA, which allows time series forecasts, accounting for stationarity of data and enabling short-term estimates. Additionally, simple linear regression, Holt-Winters forecast, the S-curve function and exponential trend smoothing methods are applied.

Additional notes:

The data is modeled using current exchange rates. The market is updated twice a year in case market dynamics change.

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