Medium Cars - Kenya

  • Kenya
  • In Kenya, the revenue in the Medium Cars market is projected to reach US$16m in 2024.
  • Looking ahead, there is an expected annual growth rate (CAGR 2024-2028) of 14.74%, resulting in a projected market volume of US$28m by 2028.
  • It is anticipated that unit sales in the Medium Cars market will reach 1,227.0vehicles in 2028.
  • Furthermore, the volume weighted average price of Medium Cars market in 2024 is expected to amount to US$23k.
  • Taking an international perspective, it is evident that the highest revenue will be generated China, with an estimated value of US$90,060m in 2024.
  • Kenya's medium car market is experiencing a surge in demand due to the country's growing middle class and improved road infrastructure.

Key regions: India, United States, Germany, China, Europe

 
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Analyst Opinion

The Medium Cars market in Kenya has been experiencing significant growth in recent years.

Customer preferences:
Customers in Kenya have shown a strong preference for medium-sized cars due to their affordability and practicality. Medium cars provide a balance between fuel efficiency and spaciousness, making them ideal for both urban and rural areas. In addition, these cars are often equipped with modern features and technologies that appeal to the tech-savvy Kenyan consumers.

Trends in the market:
One of the key trends in the Medium Cars market in Kenya is the increasing demand for hybrid and electric vehicles. As the government of Kenya has been actively promoting green initiatives and providing incentives for eco-friendly vehicles, more consumers are opting for hybrid and electric cars. This trend is expected to continue as the country aims to reduce its carbon footprint and promote sustainable transportation solutions. Another trend in the market is the rise of online car sales platforms. With the increasing penetration of internet and smartphones in Kenya, consumers are now more comfortable buying cars online. Online platforms offer convenience, transparency, and a wide range of options for customers to choose from. This trend has also opened up opportunities for international car manufacturers to enter the Kenyan market and reach a larger customer base.

Local special circumstances:
One of the unique factors influencing the Medium Cars market in Kenya is the high import taxes and duties imposed on imported vehicles. This has led to a significant price difference between locally assembled cars and imported cars. As a result, many consumers prefer to purchase locally assembled cars, which are more affordable and readily available. This has also encouraged international car manufacturers to establish local assembly plants in Kenya to cater to the growing demand.

Underlying macroeconomic factors:
The growing middle class and increasing disposable income in Kenya have played a significant role in driving the growth of the Medium Cars market. As more Kenyans move up the income ladder, they are able to afford medium-sized cars, which were previously considered a luxury. This has led to a surge in demand for these vehicles, prompting car manufacturers to introduce new models and expand their presence in the Kenyan market. Additionally, the improving infrastructure in Kenya, particularly in urban areas, has made owning a car more attractive. The development of new roads, highways, and parking facilities has made commuting easier and more convenient, further driving the demand for medium-sized cars. In conclusion, the Medium Cars market in Kenya is experiencing growth due to the customer preference for affordable and practical vehicles, the increasing demand for hybrid and electric cars, the rise of online car sales platforms, the high import taxes and duties on imported vehicles, the growing middle class and increasing disposable income, and the improving infrastructure in the country. These factors have created a favorable environment for the growth and development of the Medium Cars market in Kenya.

Methodology

Data coverage:

The data encompasses B2C enterprises. Figures are based on the sales of new passenger cars. Data on the specifications of the sold vehicles is based on the base models of the respective makes.

Modeling approach:

Market sizes are determined through a bottom-up approach, building on specific predefined factors for each market segment. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use company reports and websites, vehicle registries, car dealers, and environment agencies among other sources. In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as GDP and car stock per capita. This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the relevant market. For example, we use the ARIMA model for the Passenger Cars market. The main drivers are GDP per capita and consumer spending per capita.

Additional notes:

The data is modeled using current exchange rates. The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and the Russia-Ukraine war are considered at a country-specific level. The market is updated twice a year. In some cases, the data is updated on an ad hoc basis (e.g., when new, relevant data has been released or significant changes within the market have an impact on the projected development).

Overview

  • Unit Sales
  • Analyst Opinion
  • Technical Specifications
  • Revenue
  • Price
  • Global Comparison
  • Methodology
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