Precious Metal Derivatives - Poland

Poland

The nominal value in the Precious Metal Derivatives market is projected to reach US$79.30bn in 2024.
It is expected to show an annual growth rate (CAGR 2024-2029) of 5.61% resulting in a projected total amount of US$104.20bn by 2029.
The average price per contract in the Precious Metal Derivatives market amounts to US$0.09 in 2024.
From a global comparison perspective it is shown that the highest nominal value is reached in the United States (US$11,920.00bn in 2024).
In the Precious Metal Derivatives market, the number of contracts is expected to amount to 913.00k by 2029.

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Analyst Opinion

The Precious Metal Derivatives market in Poland is experiencing a notable shift in recent years, reflecting changing customer preferences and local special circumstances.

Customer preferences: Investors in Poland are increasingly turning to Precious Metal Derivatives as a way to diversify their portfolios and hedge against market volatility. The allure of these derivatives lies in their potential for high returns and as a safe haven investment during uncertain economic times.

Trends in the market: One prominent trend in the Precious Metal Derivatives market in Poland is the growing interest in gold and silver derivatives. With geopolitical tensions and economic uncertainty on the rise, investors are seeking refuge in these precious metals, driving up the demand for related derivatives. Additionally, the introduction of innovative derivative products tailored to the preferences of Polish investors is further fueling market growth.

Local special circumstances: Poland's strong industrial sector, particularly in automotive and electronics manufacturing, creates a unique demand for platinum and palladium derivatives. These metals are essential in catalytic converters, which are widely used in the production of vehicles. As a result, the Precious Metal Derivatives market in Poland is influenced by the performance of these industries and their corresponding metal requirements.

Underlying macroeconomic factors: The performance of the Polish economy, including factors such as GDP growth, inflation rates, and interest rates, plays a significant role in shaping the Precious Metal Derivatives market. Economic stability and growth prospects impact investor confidence and risk appetite, thereby influencing the demand for these derivatives. Additionally, currency fluctuations and global market trends also contribute to the overall dynamics of the Precious Metal Derivatives market in Poland.

Methodology

Data coverage:

Figures are based on commodity derivatives, their notional value, the number of contracts traded, the open interest (outstanding contracts at the end of a year), and the average value of a contract.

Modeling approach / Market size:

Market sizes are determined by a Bottom-Up approach, based on a specific rationale for each market segment. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use market research & analysis, and data of World Bank, as well as the World Federation of Exchanges. Furthermore, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations and national data bureaus such as GDP, wealth per capita, and the online banking penetration rate. This data helps us to estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the particular market. In this market, we use the HOLT-damped Trend method to forecast future development. The main drivers are GDP per capita an the online banking penetration rate.

Additional Notes:

The market is updated twice per year in case market dynamics change.