Commodities

The nominal value in the Commodities market is projected to reach US$880.60bn in 2024.
It is expected to show an annual growth rate (CAGR 2024-2029) of 3.55% resulting in a projected total amount of US$1.05tn by 2029.
The average price per contract in the Commodities market amounts to US$0.37 in 2024.
From a global comparison perspective it is shown that the highest nominal value is reached United States (US$53.69tn in 2024).
In the Commodities market, the number of contracts is expected to amount to 2.59m by 2029.

Definition:

The commodities market refers to derivatives of commodities. These include financial vehicles such as options and futures. Derivatives allow investors to profit from a commodity’s value development without owning the physical commodity (e.g. instead of owning a unit of Gold, an investor could own a derivative of Gold). Therefore, physical commodities are out of scope in this analysis.

Structure:

The commodities market comprises derivatives of precious metals, industrial metals, energy products, agricultural products & the Emission Trade System. The segments of precious metals, industrial metals, energy products, and agricultural products are also providing price data of popular specific derivatives. The segment data of the Emission Trade System (ETS) is only provided for countries where an ETS is in place (therefore the number of countries where data is shown is reduced in comparison to other segments).

Additional information:

The market contains the following KPIs: annual notional value, the number of traded contracts, the open interest (number of outstanding contracts at the end of a year) as well as the average notional value per contract. Furthermore, the share of futures and options is provided for these KPIs to display even more insights into this market.

Options & Futures
Precious Metal Derivatives
Industry Metal Derivatives
Energy Product Derivatives
Agricultural Product Derivatives
Emission Trading System

Physical commodities
Other Derivative types
other Commodity Types

The Commodities market in Poland has been experiencing significant growth and development in recent years. Customer preferences in the Commodities market in Poland are shifting towards more diverse investment options, with a growing interest in alternative investment products.

Investors are increasingly looking for ways to diversify their portfolios and manage risk, leading to a rise in demand for commodities as a financial instrument. Trends in the market indicate a growing awareness and adoption of Commodities trading among retail investors in Poland. This trend is driven by the ease of access to online trading platforms and the availability of information on global market trends.

Additionally, the increasing volatility in traditional financial markets has led investors to seek out alternative investment opportunities, further fueling the growth of the Commodities market. Local special circumstances in Poland, such as a strong agricultural sector and a history of commodity trading, have contributed to the development of the Commodities market. The country's strategic location as a gateway between Eastern and Western Europe also plays a role in attracting investors looking to capitalize on market opportunities in the region.

Underlying macroeconomic factors, including inflation rates, currency fluctuations, and geopolitical events, impact the performance of the Commodities market in Poland. Investors closely monitor these factors to make informed trading decisions and hedge against market risks. Additionally, government policies and regulations play a crucial role in shaping the overall market dynamics and investor sentiment in the Commodities market.

Data coverage:

Figures are based on commodity derivatives, their notional value, the number of contracts traded, the open interest (outstanding contracts at the end of a year), and the average value of a contract.

Modeling approach / Market size:

Market sizes are determined by a Bottom-Up approach, based on a specific rationale for each market segment. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use market research & analysis, and data of World Bank, as well as the World Federation of Exchanges. Furthermore, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations and national data bureaus such as GDP, wealth per capita, and the online banking penetration rate. This data helps us to estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the particular market. In this market, we use the HOLT-damped Trend method to forecast future development. The main drivers are GDP per capita an the online banking penetration rate.

Additional Notes:

The market is updated twice per year in case market dynamics change.

This report presents a comprehensive analysis and additional information on the Financial market, in a PDF format.