Energy Product Derivatives - Poland

Poland

The nominal value in the Energy Product Derivatives market is projected to reach US$272.70bn in 2024.
It is expected to show an annual growth rate (CAGR 2024-2029) of 4.89% resulting in a projected total amount of US$346.20bn by 2029.
The average price per contract in the Energy Product Derivatives market amounts to US$0.37 in 2024.
From a global comparison perspective it is shown that the highest nominal value is reached in the United States (US$26,910.00bn in 2024).
In the Energy Product Derivatives market, the number of contracts is expected to amount to 0.83m by 2029.

Market

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Analyst Opinion

The Energy Product Derivatives market in Poland is experiencing a significant growth trajectory in recent years. Customer preferences in the Energy Product Derivatives market in Poland are shifting towards more diverse investment options and risk management strategies.

Investors are increasingly looking for opportunities to hedge against volatility in energy prices and capitalize on market fluctuations through derivative instruments. Trends in the market show a growing interest in renewable energy derivatives, reflecting Poland's efforts to transition towards a more sustainable energy sector. This trend is in line with global movements towards cleaner energy sources and aligns with the European Union's renewable energy targets.

Local special circumstances in Poland, such as the country's heavy reliance on coal for energy production, are influencing the development of the Energy Product Derivatives market. As Poland seeks to diversify its energy mix and reduce carbon emissions, there is a growing demand for derivatives linked to alternative energy sources. Underlying macroeconomic factors, including regulatory changes and government policies promoting renewable energy investments, are driving the growth of the Energy Product Derivatives market in Poland.

These factors create opportunities for market participants to engage in trading activities that support the country's energy transition objectives.

Methodology

Data coverage:

Figures are based on commodity derivatives, their notional value, the number of contracts traded, the open interest (outstanding contracts at the end of a year), and the average value of a contract.

Modeling approach / Market size:

Market sizes are determined by a Bottom-Up approach, based on a specific rationale for each market segment. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use market research & analysis, and data of World Bank, as well as the World Federation of Exchanges. Furthermore, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations and national data bureaus such as GDP, wealth per capita, and the online banking penetration rate. This data helps us to estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the particular market. In this market, we use the HOLT-damped Trend method to forecast future development. The main drivers are GDP per capita an the online banking penetration rate.

Additional Notes:

The market is updated twice per year in case market dynamics change.