Bread - Iceland | Statista Market Forecast

Bread - Iceland

Iceland

Highlights

Revenue in the Bread market amounts to US$103.40m in 2024. The market is expected to grow annually by 3.35% (CAGR 2024-2029).
In global comparison, most revenue is generated China (US$80bn in 2024).
In relation to total population figures, per person revenues of US$273.80 are generated in 2024.
In the Bread market, volume is expected to amount to 18.28m kg by 2029. The Bread market is expected to show a volume growth of 1.1% in 2025.0.
The average volume per person in the Bread market is expected to amount to 46.8kg in 2024.

Key regions:

Market definitionIn-Scope/Out-of-scopeMarket structureMethodology

The bread market in Iceland is facing negligible growth, influenced by factors such as changing consumer preferences, fluctuating prices, and increasing competition from other food categories. Despite this, the bread and cereal products market within the larger food market continues to thrive, driven by the convenience and health benefits offered by these products.

Customer preferences: With the growing demand for healthy and convenient food options, there has been an increase in demand for gluten-free and organic bread products in Iceland. This trend is driven by the rising health consciousness among consumers, as well as the increasing prevalence of celiac disease and other gluten-related disorders. Additionally, there has been a shift towards locally sourced ingredients, as consumers become more aware of the environmental impact of food production and the benefits of supporting local businesses.

Trends in the market: In Iceland, the Bread Market is experiencing an increasing demand for healthier bread options, such as gluten-free and whole grain varieties. This trend is driven by a growing awareness of the benefits of a nutritious diet and a shift towards healthier eating habits. As a result, bread manufacturers are investing in research and development to offer more diverse and healthier options to consumers. This trend is expected to continue, with consumers becoming more health-conscious and seeking out products that align with their dietary preferences and needs. Industry stakeholders should focus on innovation and product differentiation to capitalize on this trend and cater to the evolving consumer demands.

Local special circumstances: In Iceland, the Bread Market is influenced by the country's unique geographical circumstances. With a cold and harsh climate, Iceland imports a large portion of its wheat and grain products, making it more expensive for local bakeries to produce bread. This, in turn, has led to a higher price point for bread in the market. Additionally, Iceland's strong cultural emphasis on preserving traditional foods and recipes has limited the introduction of new bread products, creating a more niche market for local bakeries. These factors contribute to the dynamics of the Bread Market in Iceland, setting it apart from other markets in the Bread & Cereal Products Market within The Food market.

Underlying macroeconomic factors: The Bread Market of the Bread & Cereal Products Market within The Food market is also affected by macroeconomic factors such as global economic trends, national economic health, fiscal policies, and financial indicators. For instance, countries with a stable economic climate and supportive fiscal policies are likely to experience higher demand for bread products, as consumers have more disposable income to spend on food. Additionally, fluctuations in global wheat and grain prices can impact the overall profitability of the bread market. Furthermore, changing consumer preferences, such as the increasing demand for healthier and organic bread options, can also influence market growth.

Data coverage:

The data encompasses B2C enterprises. Figures are based on the total consumer spending on food, which comprises all private household spending on food that is meant for at-home consumption (out-of-home consumption is not accounted for).

Modeling approach:

Market sizes are determined through a top-down approach, building on specific predefined factors for each market segment. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use resources from the Statista platform as well as in-house market research, national statistical offices, international institutions, trade associations, companies, the trade press, and the experience of our analysts. In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as GDP, consumer spending, and consumer price index. This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the relevant market. For example, the exponential trend smoothing is well suited for forecasting the Food market with a projected steady growth. The main drivers are GDP per capita and consumer spending per capita.

Additional notes:

The data is modeled using current exchange rates. The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and the Russia-Ukraine war are considered at a country-specific level. The market is updated twice a year.