Spirits - G7 | Statista Market Forecast

Revenue, at home (e.g., revenue generated in supermarkets and convenience stores) in the Spirits market amounts to US$130.1bn in 2024.
Revenue, out-of-home (e.g., revenue generated in restaurants and bars) amounts to US$84.4bn in 2024.
Revenue, combined amounts to US$214.5bn in 2024.
The revenue, at home is expected to grow annually by 1.43% (CAGR 2024-2029).
In global comparison, most revenue, at home is generated China (US$146bn in 2024).
In relation to total population figures, the average revenue per capita, at home of US$167.10 are generated in 2024.
In the Spirits market, volume, at home is expected to amount to 5.9bn L by 2024.
Volume, out-of-home is expected to amount to 993.7m L in 2024.
Volume, combined is expected to amount to 6.8bn L in 2024.
The Spirits market is expected to show a volume growth, at home of -0.8% in 2025.0.
The average volume per person, at home in the Spirits market is expected to amount to 7.52L in 2024.

Definition:

The Spirits market includes alcoholic beverages that have been produced through the distillation of wine, fermented fruits, or grains. Due to the distillation process, the alcohol content of spirits is much higher than that of most wines and beers, typically ranging from 20% to 50% alcohol by volume (ABV).

Structure:

The Spirits market is divided into 8 markets:

The Whisky market encompasses spirits on a grain basis that have been aged in wooden casks for a duration of at least three years.
The Vodka market encompasses spirits based on grain and/or potatoes.
The Rum market encompasses spirits based on sugar cane.
The Gin market encompasses spirits based on juniper berries.
The Brandy market encompasses spirits based on fermented fruit juice.
The Tequila market encompasses spirits made primarily from the blue agave plant (Agave tequilana) in Mexico.
The Soju market encompasses the Korean distilled beverage, Soju, which is traditionally made from rice, barley, or sweet potatoes.
The Liqueurs & Other Spirits market encompasses all other spirits not previously mentioned as well as Ready-to-Drink (RTD) cocktails.

Additional information:

The market comprises revenue and average revenue per capita, volume and average volume per capita, price per liter, as well as sales channels. Per capita figures refer to a country’s or region’s whole population.

At-home market data covers retail sales via super- and hypermarkets, eCommerce, convenience stores, and similar sales channels. Out-of-home market data includes all sales in hotels and restaurants, sales by catering companies, as well as sales in cafés, bars, and similar hospitality service establishments. Combined numbers encompass both the at-home market and the out-of-home market. All prices are valued at retail selling prices, including all sales and consumption taxes.

Key players include Diageo (e.g., Johnnie Walker, Smirnoff, and Tanqueray), Pernod Ricard, and Kweichow Moutai.

Whisky, such as Jack Daniel's Tenessee Whiskey
Vodka, such as Absolut Vodka
Rum, such as Bacardi Rum
Gin, such as Ginebra San Miguel
Brandy, such as Ararat Brandy

Wine, such as Red Wine
Beer, such as Budweiser
Non-Alcoholic Spirits, such as Tanqueray 0.0

The Spirits market in G7 countries has been experiencing significant growth in recent years. Customer preferences, trends in the market, local special circumstances, and underlying macroeconomic factors have all contributed to this development.

Customer preferences: Customers in G7 countries have shown a growing interest in premium and craft spirits. They are increasingly seeking unique and high-quality products, as well as brands with a strong story and heritage. This shift in preferences has led to a rise in demand for small-batch and artisanal spirits, as well as spirits made from locally sourced ingredients. Additionally, consumers are becoming more health-conscious and are opting for spirits that are lower in sugar and calories.

Trends in the market: One notable trend in the Spirits market in G7 countries is the rise of flavored spirits. Flavored vodka, rum, and gin have gained popularity among consumers, particularly millennials, who are attracted to the variety of flavors available. Another trend is the growing popularity of cocktails and mixology. Consumers are increasingly experimenting with different spirits and mixers to create their own unique cocktails at home. This trend has also led to an increased demand for premium mixers and garnishes.

Local special circumstances: Each G7 country has its own unique set of circumstances that have influenced the development of the Spirits market. For example, in the United States, the craft spirits movement has been driven by a desire for locally produced and artisanal products. In France, the tradition of wine-making has influenced the production of spirits, with many distilleries using wine as a base for their products. In Japan, the popularity of whisky has surged in recent years, with Japanese whiskies winning numerous international awards.

Underlying macroeconomic factors: Several macroeconomic factors have contributed to the growth of the Spirits market in G7 countries. These include rising disposable incomes, changing demographics, and increasing urbanization. As incomes rise, consumers have more discretionary income to spend on luxury goods, including premium spirits. Changing demographics, such as an aging population and the rise of millennials, have also influenced consumer preferences and purchasing behavior. Furthermore, increasing urbanization has led to a greater availability and accessibility of spirits, with more bars, restaurants, and retailers catering to the growing demand. In conclusion, the Spirits market in G7 countries is experiencing growth due to changing customer preferences, emerging market trends, local special circumstances, and underlying macroeconomic factors. As consumers seek unique and high-quality products, the market has responded with a wide range of premium and craft spirits. Flavored spirits and the popularity of cocktails have also contributed to the market's growth. Each G7 country has its own unique set of circumstances that have influenced the development of the market, while macroeconomic factors such as rising incomes and changing demographics have also played a role.

Data coverage:
The data encompasses B2C enterprises. The at-home market covers retail sales via super- and hypermarkets, eCommerce, convenience stores, or similar sales channels. The out-of-home data encompasses all sales to hotels, restaurants, catering, cafés, bars, and similar hospitality service establishments. Combined numbers encompass both the at-home market and the out-of-home market. Both the at-home and the out-of-home market are valued at retail selling prices including all sales and consumption taxes.

Modeling approach:
Market sizes are determined through a Top-Down approach, building on specific predefined factors for each market segment. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use resources from the Statista platform as well as in-house market research, national statistical offices, international institutions, trade associations, companies, the trade press, and the experience of our analysts. In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as GDP, consumer spending (e.g. consumer spending on alcoholic beverages, consumer spending at Hotels, Restaurants etc.), and price level index. This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:
In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the relevant market. For example, the exponential trend smoothing is well suited for forecasting the Alcoholic Drinks market with a projected steady growth. The main drivers are GDP per capita and consumer spending per capita.

Additional notes:
The data is modeled using current exchange rates. The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and the Russia-Ukraine war are considered at a country-specific level.

This report presents a comprehensive analysis and additional information on the Consumer market, in a PDF format.

The term “spirits” refers to an alcoholic beverage that has been distilled, contains no added sugar, and has at least 20 percent alcohol by volume. The term is derived from the medieval practice of alchemy and refers to the essential liquid element obtained from a substance through distillation, the “spirit” of the substance, so to speak. Popular spirits include whiskey, rum, vodka, tequila, and gin, among others.