Train Tickets - Nigeria | Statista Market Forecast

By 2024, the Train Tickets market in Nigeria is expected to generate a revenue of US$52.74m.
The projected market volume is estimated to reach US$78.49m by 2029, with an annual growth rate of 8.28%.
By 2029, the number of users in this market is expected to be 14.07m users, with a user penetration of 5.5%, up from 4.2% in 2024.
The average revenue per user (ARPU) is projected to be US$5.53.
It is expected that 17% of the total revenue in the Train Tickets market will be generated through online sales by 2029.
China is projected to generate the most revenue in the Train Tickets market globally, with a revenue of US$72bn by 2024.
Nigeria's railway sector is undergoing a transformation with the ongoing rehabilitation of existing lines and the construction of new ones, which is expected to improve transportation of both goods and people across the country.

Definition:

The Train tickets market consists of tickets for long-distance travel or cross-regional travel by train. This includes country-specific providers of passenger rail transport such as Deutsche Bahn, Amtrak or National Rail. As a rule, travel for single passengers and groups or time-limited subscription based travel can be booked up to a year in advance. Tickets for public transport, for within a city or other local travel are not included.

Additional Information:

The main performance indicators of the Train tickets market are revenues, average revenue per user (ARPU), user numbers and user penetration rates. Additionally, online and offline sales channel shares display the distribution of online and offline bookings. The ARPU refers to the average revenue one user generates per year while the revenue represents the total booking volume. Revenues are generated through both online and offline sales channels and include exclusively B2C revenues and users for the above-mentioned markets. User numbers show only those individuals who have made a reservation, independent of the number of travelers on the booking. Each user is only counted once per year. Additional definitions for each market can be found within the respective market pages.

The booking volume includes all booked rides made by users from the selected region, regardless of where the ride took place.

For further information on the data displayed, refer to the info button right next to each box.

Tickets for long-distance travel or cross-regional travel by train
Time-limited subscription based travel
Line service and regular train service
All online and offline booked long-distance bus tickets regardless of the purchase channel

Tickets for public transport, for within a city or other local travel

The Trains market in Nigeria is experiencing significant growth and development.

Customer preferences: Customers in Nigeria are increasingly opting for train travel due to its convenience, affordability, and reliability. Trains offer a faster and more efficient mode of transportation compared to other options such as road travel. This is particularly appealing to commuters who want to avoid traffic congestion and reduce travel time. Additionally, trains provide a comfortable and safe travel experience, which is an important factor for customers, especially for long-distance journeys.

Trends in the market: One of the key trends in the Nigerian Trains market is the expansion of railway networks across the country. The government has been investing heavily in infrastructure development to improve connectivity and promote economic growth. This includes the construction of new railway lines and the rehabilitation of existing ones. As a result, more regions and cities are being connected by trains, making it easier for people to travel within the country. Another trend in the market is the introduction of modern and high-speed trains. These trains offer faster travel times and enhanced comfort, attracting more customers. The introduction of high-speed trains is also in line with the government's efforts to modernize the transportation sector and improve the overall travel experience for passengers.

Local special circumstances: Nigeria's growing population and urbanization are driving the demand for efficient transportation options. With increasing congestion on roads, trains offer a viable solution to alleviate traffic and provide a more reliable mode of transportation. The government recognizes the importance of investing in the railway sector to meet the growing demand and support economic development.

Underlying macroeconomic factors: The Nigerian government's focus on infrastructure development and economic diversification has played a significant role in the growth of the Trains market. The government's commitment to improving transportation infrastructure has attracted both domestic and foreign investments in the sector. This has led to the expansion of railway networks and the introduction of modern trains. Additionally, Nigeria's economic growth and rising middle-class population have contributed to the increasing demand for train travel. As more people have disposable income, they are willing to spend on convenient and comfortable modes of transportation. The Trains market has capitalized on this trend by offering affordable and efficient travel options. In conclusion, the Trains market in Nigeria is experiencing growth and development due to customer preferences for convenience and reliability. The expansion of railway networks, introduction of modern trains, and government investments in infrastructure are driving this growth. With the country's growing population and urbanization, trains offer an efficient transportation solution and support economic development.

Data coverage:

The data encompasses B2C enterprises. Figures are based on bookings, revenues, and online shares of train tickets.

Modeling approach:

Market sizes are determined through a bottom-up approach, building on a specific rationale for each market. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use financial reports, third-party studies and reports, federal statistical offices, industry associations, and price data. To estimate the number of users and bookings, we furthermore use data from the Statista Consumer Insigths Global survey. In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as demographic data, GDP, consumer spending, internet penetration, and device usage. This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the relevant market. For example, ARIMA, which allows time series forecasts, accounting for stationarity of data and enabling short-term estimates. Additionally, simple linear regression, Holt-Winters forecast, the S-curve function and exponential trend smoothing methods are applied.

Additional notes:

The data is modeled using current exchange rates. The market is updated twice a year in case market dynamics change.

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