Flights - Nigeria | Statista Market Forecast

The projected revenue for the Flights market in Nigeria is expected to reach US$1.55bn1 by 2024.
This is projected to grow annually at a rate of 10.62%, ultimately resulting in a market volume of US$2.58bn by 2029.
As for the number of users in the Flights market, it is estimated to reach 25.73m users by 2029.
The projected user penetration for 2024 is 6.8% and is expected to grow to 10.0% by 2029.
The average revenue per user (ARPU) is expected to be US$100.30.
By 2029, 85% of the total revenue generated in the Flights market is expected to come from online sales.
In terms of global comparison, United States is expected to generate the most revenue, with a projected revenue of US$143bn by 2024.
Despite the challenges in the aviation industry, Nigeria's flight market is showing resilience with the emergence of low-cost carriers and increased competition.

Definition:

The Flights market contains air travel bookings regardless of the purchase channel, such as an airline's website or a travel agency.

Additional Information:

The main performance indicators of the Flights market are revenues, average revenue per user (ARPU), user numbers and user penetration rates. Additionally, online and offline sales channel shares display the distribution of online and offline bookings. The ARPU refers to the average revenue one user generates per year while the revenue represents the total booking volume. Revenues are generated through both online and offline sales channels and include exclusively B2C revenues and users for the above-mentioned markets. User numbers show only those individuals who have made a reservation, independent of the number of travelers on the booking. Each user is only counted once per year. Additional definitions for each market can be found within the respective market pages.

The booking volume includes all booked flights made by users from the selected region, independent of the departure and arrival airports relating to the booked flights.

For further information on the data displayed, refer to the info button right next to each box.

Air travel booked over the internet or offline (e.g. in a travel agency or at the airport)
All bookings made by users from the selected region, independent of the departure and arrival airports

Non-commercial air traffic

The Flights market in Nigeria has been experiencing significant growth in recent years. Customer preferences, trends in the market, local special circumstances, and underlying macroeconomic factors have all contributed to this development. Customer preferences in Nigeria have shifted towards air travel due to its convenience and time-saving benefits. As the country's population continues to grow, so does the demand for domestic and international flights. Nigerians are increasingly choosing to travel by air for both business and leisure purposes, leading to a rise in the number of flights and passengers. Trends in the market indicate that low-cost carriers have gained popularity in Nigeria. These airlines offer affordable fares, making air travel more accessible to a wider range of customers. Additionally, the introduction of new routes and destinations has expanded the options available to travelers, further driving the growth of the Flights market. Local special circumstances also play a role in the development of the Flights market in Nigeria. The country's vast size and limited infrastructure make air travel a more practical option for long-distance journeys. Additionally, Nigeria's growing middle class has led to an increase in disposable income, allowing more people to afford air travel. As a result, airlines have been able to fill their planes and increase their profitability. Underlying macroeconomic factors have also contributed to the growth of the Flights market in Nigeria. The country's economy has been expanding, leading to higher levels of income and consumer spending. This has created a favorable environment for airlines, as more people have the means to travel by air. Furthermore, Nigeria's strategic location in West Africa has made it a hub for regional travel, attracting both domestic and international airlines to operate in the country. In conclusion, the Flights market in Nigeria is experiencing significant growth due to several factors. Customer preferences for air travel, the rise of low-cost carriers, local special circumstances, and underlying macroeconomic factors have all contributed to this development. As the country continues to develop and its economy expands, the Flights market is expected to further grow and evolve to meet the needs of its increasingly mobile population.

Data coverage:

The data encompasses B2C enterprises. Figures are based on bookings, revenues, and online shares of flights.

Modeling approach:

Market sizes are determined through a bottom-up approach, building on a specific rationale for each market. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use financial reports, third-party studies and reports, federal statistical offices, industry associations, and price data. To estimate the number of users and bookings, we furthermore use data from the Statista Consumer Insigths Global survey. In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as demographic data, GDP, consumer spending, internet penetration, and device usage. This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the relevant market. For example, ARIMA, which allows time series forecasts, accounting for stationarity of data and enabling short-term estimates. Additionally, simple linear regression, Holt-Winters forecast, the S-curve function and exponential trend smoothing methods are applied.

Additional notes:

The data is modeled using current exchange rates. The market is updated twice a year in case market dynamics change.

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