Bus Tickets - Nigeria | Statista Market Forecast

The Bus Tickets market in Nigeria is expected to generate a revenue of US$22.74m in 2024.
According to the projections, the revenue will grow annually at a rate of 7.58%, resulting in a market volume of US$32.77m by 2029.
The number of users in this market is expected to reach 4.69m users by 2029, while user penetration is projected to decrease from 1.4% in 2024 to 1.8% by 2029.
The average revenue per user (ARPU) is expected to be US$6.85.
Interestingly, 23% of the total revenue in this market is expected to come from online sales by 2029.
It is noteworthy that in a global comparison, China is projected to generate the highest revenue in this market, amounting to US$5bn in 2024.
The Nigerian bus market is experiencing a shift towards modern, air-conditioned vehicles to cater to the growing demand for comfortable and reliable transportation.

Definition:

The Bus tickets market consists of tickets for long-distance travel or cross-regional travel by bus or coach. This includes country-specific providers of bus transport, e.g., Eurolines, National Express and Greyhound. As a rule, travel for single passengers and groups or time-limited subscription-based travel can be booked up to a year in advance. Tickets for public transport, for within a city or other local travel are not included.

Additional Information:

The main performance indicators of the Bus tickets market are revenues, average revenue per user (ARPU), user numbers and user penetration rates. Additionally, online and offline sales channel shares display the distribution of online and offline bookings. The ARPU refers to the average revenue one user generates per year while the revenue represents the total booking volume. Revenues are generated through both online and offline sales channels and include exclusively B2C revenues and users for the above-mentioned markets. User numbers show only those individuals who have made a reservation, independent of the number of travelers on the booking. Each user is only counted once per year. Additional definitions for each market can be found within the respective market pages.

The booking volume includes all booked rides made by users from the selected region, regardless of where the ride took place.

For further information on the data displayed, refer to the info button right next to each box.

Tickets for long-distance travel or cross-regional travel by bus or coach
Time-limited subscription based travel
Line service and regular, scheduled bus service
All online and offline booked long-distance bus tickets regardless of the purchase channel

Tickets for public transport, for within a city or other local travel
Bus trips that are organized as an excursion or specifically for a travel group

The Buses market in Nigeria has been experiencing significant growth in recent years.

Customer preferences: Customers in Nigeria have shown a strong preference for buses as a mode of transportation. This is mainly due to the country's inadequate infrastructure for private vehicles, as well as the high cost of fuel. Buses provide a more affordable and convenient option for many Nigerians, especially those living in urban areas. Additionally, buses are often seen as a safer mode of transportation compared to motorcycles or taxis.

Trends in the market: One of the key trends in the Nigerian bus market is the increasing demand for modern and comfortable buses. As the middle class continues to grow in Nigeria, there is a rising demand for higher quality transportation options. This has led to an increase in the sales of buses with features such as air conditioning, comfortable seating, and entertainment systems. Bus manufacturers and operators are responding to this trend by introducing more modern and luxurious buses into the market. Another trend in the Nigerian bus market is the shift towards greener and more sustainable buses. With growing concerns about climate change and air pollution, there is a growing demand for buses that run on alternative fuels such as compressed natural gas (CNG) or electricity. Bus manufacturers are investing in research and development to produce more environmentally friendly buses that meet the needs of the Nigerian market.

Local special circumstances: One of the unique challenges in the Nigerian bus market is the poor state of the country's road infrastructure. Many roads in Nigeria are in a state of disrepair, which can pose challenges for bus operators. This has led to an increased demand for buses that are durable and can withstand rough road conditions. Bus manufacturers are adapting to this special circumstance by producing buses with stronger suspension systems and reinforced chassis.

Underlying macroeconomic factors: The growth in the Nigerian bus market can be attributed to several underlying macroeconomic factors. Nigeria has a large population, with a significant portion living in urban areas. This creates a high demand for public transportation, which is driving the growth of the bus market. Additionally, the Nigerian government has implemented policies to encourage local manufacturing and production, which has led to the growth of the domestic bus manufacturing industry. The government has also provided incentives for the purchase of buses, such as tax breaks and subsidies, which has further stimulated the market. In conclusion, the Buses market in Nigeria is experiencing significant growth due to customer preferences for affordable and convenient transportation options, as well as the increasing demand for modern and sustainable buses. The unique challenges of Nigeria's road infrastructure and the underlying macroeconomic factors of population growth and government policies have also contributed to the growth of the market.

Data coverage:

The data encompasses B2C enterprises. Figures are based on bookings, revenues, and online shares of bus tickets.

Modeling approach:

Market sizes are determined through a bottom-up approach, building on a specific rationale for each market. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use financial reports, third-party studies and reports, federal statistical offices, industry associations, and price data. To estimate the number of users and bookings, we furthermore use data from the Statista Consumer Insigths Global survey. In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as demographic data, GDP, consumer spending, internet penetration, and device usage. This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the relevant market. For example, ARIMA, which allows time series forecasts, accounting for stationarity of data and enabling short-term estimates. Additionally, simple linear regression, Holt-Winters forecast, the S-curve function and exponential trend smoothing methods are applied.

Additional notes:

The data is modeled using current exchange rates. The market is updated twice a year in case market dynamics change.

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