Train Tickets - New Zealand | Statista Market Forecast

New Zealand is expected to see revenue in the Train Tickets market reach US$79.53m by 2024, with an anticipated annual growth rate of 4.41% from 2024 to 2029, resulting in a projected market volume of US$98.69m by 2029.
The number of Train Tickets market users in New Zealand is projected to reach 566.50k users by 2029, with a user penetration of 8.6% in 2024 and 10.4% by 2029.
The average revenue per user (ARPU) in New Zealand is expected to be US$176.10.
By 2029, 62% of total revenue in the Train Tickets market in New Zealand will be generated through online sales.
In global comparison, China is expected to generate the highest revenue in the Train Tickets market, with US$72bn projected in 2024.
New Zealand's railway network is primarily used for freight and scenic tourism, with limited passenger services available.

Definition:

The Train tickets market consists of tickets for long-distance travel or cross-regional travel by train. This includes country-specific providers of passenger rail transport such as Deutsche Bahn, Amtrak or National Rail. As a rule, travel for single passengers and groups or time-limited subscription based travel can be booked up to a year in advance. Tickets for public transport, for within a city or other local travel are not included.

Additional Information:

The main performance indicators of the Train tickets market are revenues, average revenue per user (ARPU), user numbers and user penetration rates. Additionally, online and offline sales channel shares display the distribution of online and offline bookings. The ARPU refers to the average revenue one user generates per year while the revenue represents the total booking volume. Revenues are generated through both online and offline sales channels and include exclusively B2C revenues and users for the above-mentioned markets. User numbers show only those individuals who have made a reservation, independent of the number of travelers on the booking. Each user is only counted once per year. Additional definitions for each market can be found within the respective market pages.

The booking volume includes all booked rides made by users from the selected region, regardless of where the ride took place.

For further information on the data displayed, refer to the info button right next to each box.

Tickets for long-distance travel or cross-regional travel by train
Time-limited subscription based travel
Line service and regular train service
All online and offline booked long-distance bus tickets regardless of the purchase channel

Tickets for public transport, for within a city or other local travel

The Trains market in New Zealand is experiencing steady growth due to a combination of customer preferences, trends in the market, local special circumstances, and underlying macroeconomic factors.

Customer preferences: Customers in New Zealand have shown a growing preference for trains as a mode of transportation. Trains offer a convenient and efficient way to travel between cities and towns, especially for longer distances. They provide a comfortable and spacious environment for passengers, with amenities such as Wi-Fi and power outlets. Additionally, trains are considered a more environmentally friendly option compared to cars or airplanes, which aligns with the increasing focus on sustainability among consumers.

Trends in the market: One of the key trends in the Trains market in New Zealand is the expansion of rail networks and infrastructure. The government has been investing in upgrading existing rail lines and building new ones to improve connectivity across the country. This expansion has led to an increase in the number of train services available, making it more convenient for people to choose trains as their preferred mode of transportation. Another trend in the market is the introduction of modern and technologically advanced trains. New Zealand has seen the introduction of trains with improved comfort features, such as reclining seats, on-board entertainment systems, and enhanced accessibility for passengers with disabilities. These advancements in train technology have further enhanced the overall passenger experience and attracted more people to choose trains over other modes of transport.

Local special circumstances: New Zealand's geography and population distribution also contribute to the development of the Trains market. The country has a relatively small population spread across both urban and rural areas. Trains provide an efficient means of connecting these different regions, allowing for easier travel and transportation of goods. Additionally, New Zealand's scenic landscapes make train travel a popular choice for tourists, further driving the demand for train services.

Underlying macroeconomic factors: The Trains market in New Zealand is supported by favorable macroeconomic factors. The country has experienced steady economic growth in recent years, leading to increased disposable income among consumers. This has resulted in a higher demand for travel and leisure activities, including train travel. Furthermore, the government's investment in rail infrastructure creates job opportunities and stimulates economic activity in the construction and manufacturing sectors. In conclusion, the Trains market in New Zealand is growing due to customer preferences for convenience and sustainability, the expansion of rail networks, the introduction of advanced train technology, the country's unique geography and population distribution, and favorable macroeconomic factors. These factors combined make trains an attractive and viable mode of transportation for both domestic and international travelers in New Zealand.

Data coverage:

The data encompasses B2C enterprises. Figures are based on bookings, revenues, and online shares of train tickets.

Modeling approach:

Market sizes are determined through a bottom-up approach, building on a specific rationale for each market. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use financial reports, third-party studies and reports, federal statistical offices, industry associations, and price data. To estimate the number of users and bookings, we furthermore use data from the Statista Consumer Insigths Global survey. In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as demographic data, GDP, consumer spending, internet penetration, and device usage. This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the relevant market. For example, ARIMA, which allows time series forecasts, accounting for stationarity of data and enabling short-term estimates. Additionally, simple linear regression, Holt-Winters forecast, the S-curve function and exponential trend smoothing methods are applied.

Additional notes:

The data is modeled using current exchange rates. The market is updated twice a year in case market dynamics change.

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