Bus Tickets - New Zealand | Statista Market Forecast

New Zealand is expected to witness a revenue of US$53.14m in 2024 in the Bus Tickets market.
The revenue is projected to increase with an annual growth rate (CAGR 2024-2029) of 2.70%, resulting in a projected market volume of US$60.70m by 2029.
By 2029, the number of users in this market is expected to reach 718.00k users.
The user penetration is estimated to be 12.1% in 2024 and 13.2% by 2029.
The average revenue per user (ARPU) is projected to be US$83.04.
Online sales are expected to account for 72% of the total revenue in the Bus Tickets market by 2029.
It is noteworthy that China is expected to generate the highest revenue (US$5bn in 2024) in comparison to other countries globally.
New Zealand's bus market is gradually transitioning towards electric vehicles, with operators like NZ Bus and Tranzit leading the charge.

Definition:

The Bus tickets market consists of tickets for long-distance travel or cross-regional travel by bus or coach. This includes country-specific providers of bus transport, e.g., Eurolines, National Express and Greyhound. As a rule, travel for single passengers and groups or time-limited subscription-based travel can be booked up to a year in advance. Tickets for public transport, for within a city or other local travel are not included.

Additional Information:

The main performance indicators of the Bus tickets market are revenues, average revenue per user (ARPU), user numbers and user penetration rates. Additionally, online and offline sales channel shares display the distribution of online and offline bookings. The ARPU refers to the average revenue one user generates per year while the revenue represents the total booking volume. Revenues are generated through both online and offline sales channels and include exclusively B2C revenues and users for the above-mentioned markets. User numbers show only those individuals who have made a reservation, independent of the number of travelers on the booking. Each user is only counted once per year. Additional definitions for each market can be found within the respective market pages.

The booking volume includes all booked rides made by users from the selected region, regardless of where the ride took place.

For further information on the data displayed, refer to the info button right next to each box.

Tickets for long-distance travel or cross-regional travel by bus or coach
Time-limited subscription based travel
Line service and regular, scheduled bus service
All online and offline booked long-distance bus tickets regardless of the purchase channel

Tickets for public transport, for within a city or other local travel
Bus trips that are organized as an excursion or specifically for a travel group

The Buses market in New Zealand has been experiencing steady growth in recent years, driven by several key factors.

Customer preferences: Customers in New Zealand have shown a growing preference for buses as a mode of transportation. This is due to several factors, including the increasing urbanization of the country and the need for efficient and sustainable public transportation options. Buses offer a cost-effective and environmentally friendly way for people to commute and travel within cities and between different regions.

Trends in the market: One of the key trends in the Buses market in New Zealand is the increasing demand for electric buses. As the country aims to reduce its carbon footprint and transition to a greener economy, there has been a strong push towards adopting electric vehicles, including buses. The government has introduced initiatives and incentives to encourage the adoption of electric buses, such as subsidies and grants for purchasing and operating these vehicles. This trend is expected to continue as the technology improves and the cost of electric buses becomes more competitive with traditional diesel buses. Another trend in the market is the rise of on-demand and flexible bus services. This is in response to changing customer preferences and the need for more personalized and convenient transportation options. On-demand bus services allow passengers to request a bus pickup and drop-off at their desired locations, providing flexibility and convenience. This trend is particularly popular in urban areas where there is a high demand for efficient and flexible transportation solutions.

Local special circumstances: New Zealand's unique geography and population distribution also play a role in the development of the Buses market. The country has a relatively small population spread across both urban and rural areas. This presents challenges in providing efficient and cost-effective bus services, particularly in sparsely populated regions. However, the government has implemented various initiatives to address these challenges, such as funding for regional bus services and partnerships with local communities to ensure accessibility for all residents.

Underlying macroeconomic factors: The Buses market in New Zealand is also influenced by underlying macroeconomic factors. The country has experienced steady economic growth in recent years, which has contributed to increased consumer spending and demand for transportation services. Additionally, the government's focus on infrastructure development and investment in public transportation has created opportunities for bus manufacturers and operators. In conclusion, the Buses market in New Zealand is experiencing growth due to customer preferences for efficient and sustainable transportation options, such as electric buses and on-demand services. The unique geography and population distribution of the country pose challenges, but the government's initiatives and investments are helping to overcome these obstacles. The underlying macroeconomic factors, including economic growth and infrastructure development, are also contributing to the growth of the market.

Data coverage:

The data encompasses B2C enterprises. Figures are based on bookings, revenues, and online shares of bus tickets.

Modeling approach:

Market sizes are determined through a bottom-up approach, building on a specific rationale for each market. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use financial reports, third-party studies and reports, federal statistical offices, industry associations, and price data. To estimate the number of users and bookings, we furthermore use data from the Statista Consumer Insigths Global survey. In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as demographic data, GDP, consumer spending, internet penetration, and device usage. This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the relevant market. For example, ARIMA, which allows time series forecasts, accounting for stationarity of data and enabling short-term estimates. Additionally, simple linear regression, Holt-Winters forecast, the S-curve function and exponential trend smoothing methods are applied.

Additional notes:

The data is modeled using current exchange rates. The market is updated twice a year in case market dynamics change.

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