Flights - New Zealand

  • New Zealand
  • New Zealand is projected to witness a revenue of US$1.54bn in the Flights market by 2024.
  • The market is expected to grow annually at a rate of 3.40% during 2024-2029, resulting in a market volume of US$1.82bn by 2029.
  • Furthermore, the number of users is expected to reach 2.47m users by 2029, with a user penetration of 40.2% in 2024 and 45.2% by 2029.
  • The average revenue per user (ARPU) is estimated to be US$0.73k.
  • It is projected that online sales will contribute 93% of the total revenue in the Flights market by 2029.
  • In terms of global comparison, United States is expected to generate the highest revenue of US$143bn in 2024.
  • New Zealand's domestic flight market is experiencing an increase in demand due to the country's successful management of the COVID-19 pandemic.

Key regions: India, China, Europe, Indonesia, Thailand

 
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Analyst Opinion

The Flights market in New Zealand has been experiencing significant growth in recent years, driven by various factors such as increasing customer preferences for travel and tourism, emerging trends in the market, local special circumstances, and underlying macroeconomic factors.

Customer preferences:
Customers in New Zealand have shown a strong preference for travel and tourism, both domestically and internationally. This is due to several factors, including the country's stunning natural landscapes, diverse cultural experiences, and the increasing affordability of air travel. Additionally, the rise of social media and online travel platforms has made it easier for customers to research and book flights, further fueling their desire to explore new destinations.

Trends in the market:
One noticeable trend in the Flights market in New Zealand is the increasing popularity of budget airlines. These low-cost carriers have gained traction among price-sensitive travelers, offering competitive fares and flexible travel options. This trend has not only made air travel more accessible to a wider range of customers but has also stimulated market competition, leading to lower prices and more flight options. Another trend in the market is the growing demand for sustainable travel. Customers in New Zealand are becoming more conscious of their environmental impact and are seeking airlines that prioritize sustainability. This has led to the emergence of eco-friendly airlines and initiatives, such as carbon offset programs and the use of biofuels. Airlines that align with these preferences are likely to attract a larger customer base and gain a competitive edge.

Local special circumstances:
New Zealand's geographical location and relatively small population size contribute to unique circumstances in the Flights market. The country is isolated from major travel hubs, making air travel the most convenient and efficient mode of transportation for both domestic and international travel. Additionally, the small population size means that airlines have to carefully manage their routes and capacity to ensure profitability. This has led to the development of strategic partnerships and alliances between airlines to optimize operations and offer more comprehensive flight networks.

Underlying macroeconomic factors:
The Flights market in New Zealand is also influenced by underlying macroeconomic factors. The country's stable economy and strong tourism industry have contributed to the growth of the market. With a robust economy, consumers have more disposable income to spend on travel, leading to increased demand for flights. Furthermore, the government's efforts to promote tourism and attract international visitors through marketing campaigns and visa facilitation have also played a role in driving the growth of the Flights market. In conclusion, the Flights market in New Zealand is experiencing significant growth due to increasing customer preferences for travel and tourism, emerging trends such as the popularity of budget airlines and sustainable travel, local special circumstances such as the country's geographical location and small population size, and underlying macroeconomic factors including a stable economy and government support for tourism. These factors collectively contribute to the development and expansion of the Flights market in New Zealand.

Methodology

Data coverage:

The data encompasses B2C enterprises. Figures are based on bookings, revenues, and online shares of flights.

Modeling approach:

Market sizes are determined through a bottom-up approach, building on a specific rationale for each market. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use financial reports, third-party studies and reports, federal statistical offices, industry associations, and price data. To estimate the number of users and bookings, we furthermore use data from the Statista Consumer Insigths Global survey. In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as demographic data, GDP, consumer spending, internet penetration, and device usage. This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the relevant market. For example, ARIMA, which allows time series forecasts, accounting for stationarity of data and enabling short-term estimates. Additionally, simple linear regression, Holt-Winters forecast, the S-curve function and exponential trend smoothing methods are applied.

Additional notes:

The data is modeled using current exchange rates. The market is updated twice a year in case market dynamics change.

Overview

  • Revenue
  • Key Players
  • Sales Channels
  • Analyst Opinion
  • Users
  • Global Comparison
  • Methodology
  • Key Market Indicators
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