Train Tickets - Denmark | Statista Market Forecast

In Denmark, the Train Tickets market is expected to reach a revenue of US$163.60m by 2024.
Furthermore, there is a projected annual growth rate (CAGR 2024-2029) of 1.67%, resulting in a market volume of US$177.70m by 2029.
The number of users in this market is expected to amount to 1.10m users by 2029, with a user penetration projected to be 17.4% in 2024 and 18.1% by 2029.
The average revenue per user (ARPU) is expected to amount to US$158.50.
By 2029, 79% of total revenue is anticipated to be generated through online sales.
It is noteworthy that in a global comparison, the highest revenue will be generated in China, with a projected revenue of US$72bn in 2024.
Denmark's train market is dominated by state-owned DSB, but private companies like Arriva and FirstRail are gaining traction.

Definition:

The Train tickets market consists of tickets for long-distance travel or cross-regional travel by train. This includes country-specific providers of passenger rail transport such as Deutsche Bahn, Amtrak or National Rail. As a rule, travel for single passengers and groups or time-limited subscription based travel can be booked up to a year in advance. Tickets for public transport, for within a city or other local travel are not included.

Additional Information:

The main performance indicators of the Train tickets market are revenues, average revenue per user (ARPU), user numbers and user penetration rates. Additionally, online and offline sales channel shares display the distribution of online and offline bookings. The ARPU refers to the average revenue one user generates per year while the revenue represents the total booking volume. Revenues are generated through both online and offline sales channels and include exclusively B2C revenues and users for the above-mentioned markets. User numbers show only those individuals who have made a reservation, independent of the number of travelers on the booking. Each user is only counted once per year. Additional definitions for each market can be found within the respective market pages.

The booking volume includes all booked rides made by users from the selected region, regardless of where the ride took place.

For further information on the data displayed, refer to the info button right next to each box.

Tickets for long-distance travel or cross-regional travel by train
Time-limited subscription based travel
Line service and regular train service
All online and offline booked long-distance bus tickets regardless of the purchase channel

Tickets for public transport, for within a city or other local travel

The Trains market in Denmark has been experiencing steady growth over the past few years.

Customer preferences: Customers in Denmark have shown a strong preference for trains as a mode of transportation. This is due to the country's well-developed railway infrastructure, which offers a convenient and reliable way to travel within and between cities. Trains are also considered to be environmentally friendly, aligning with the Danish population's focus on sustainability and reducing carbon emissions. Additionally, trains are often seen as a comfortable and efficient means of transport, with amenities such as spacious seating, onboard Wi-Fi, and catering services.

Trends in the market: One of the key trends in the Danish Trains market is the increasing demand for high-speed trains. This trend is driven by the need for faster and more efficient travel options, especially for longer distances. High-speed trains offer reduced travel times, allowing passengers to reach their destinations more quickly. This trend is particularly evident in routes connecting major cities, where there is a higher demand for fast and convenient transportation. Another trend in the market is the integration of technology in train services. Danish train operators have been investing in digitalization and automation to enhance the overall passenger experience. This includes features such as online ticket booking, real-time travel updates, and mobile apps for easy navigation and access to information. These technological advancements not only improve convenience for passengers but also contribute to the overall efficiency and reliability of train services.

Local special circumstances: Denmark's geographic location and relatively small size make trains an ideal mode of transportation. The country's flat terrain and well-connected railway network allow for efficient train travel across the entire country. Additionally, Denmark has a strong culture of cycling, and train stations are often equipped with bicycle parking facilities, making it easy for commuters to combine train travel with cycling for a seamless door-to-door journey.

Underlying macroeconomic factors: The growth in the Danish Trains market can be attributed to several underlying macroeconomic factors. Denmark has a stable economy with a high standard of living, which enables people to afford train travel for both leisure and business purposes. The government has also been investing in the development and maintenance of railway infrastructure, ensuring that the train network remains efficient and reliable. Furthermore, Denmark's commitment to sustainability and reducing carbon emissions has led to increased support for public transportation, including trains. In conclusion, the Trains market in Denmark is experiencing steady growth due to customer preferences for convenient and sustainable transportation options. The demand for high-speed trains and the integration of technology in train services are key trends driving this market. Denmark's geographic location, strong cycling culture, stable economy, and government investments in railway infrastructure are the local special circumstances and underlying macroeconomic factors that contribute to the development of the Trains market in Denmark.

Data coverage:

The data encompasses B2C enterprises. Figures are based on bookings, revenues, and online shares of train tickets.

Modeling approach:

Market sizes are determined through a bottom-up approach, building on a specific rationale for each market. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use financial reports, third-party studies and reports, federal statistical offices, industry associations, and price data. To estimate the number of users and bookings, we furthermore use data from the Statista Consumer Insigths Global survey. In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as demographic data, GDP, consumer spending, internet penetration, and device usage. This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the relevant market. For example, ARIMA, which allows time series forecasts, accounting for stationarity of data and enabling short-term estimates. Additionally, simple linear regression, Holt-Winters forecast, the S-curve function and exponential trend smoothing methods are applied.

Additional notes:

The data is modeled using current exchange rates. The market is updated twice a year in case market dynamics change.

This report presents a comprehensive analysis and additional information on the Mobility market, in a PDF format.