Public Transportation - Denmark | Statista Market Forecast

Denmark's Public Transportation market is anticipated to witness a surge in revenue, with projections indicating an estimated US$1.92bn in 2024.
Further, the market is anticipated to showcase an annual growth rate (CAGR 2024-2029) of 1.70%, which is expected to result in a market volume of US$2.08bn by 2029.
As for the number of users in the Public Transportation market, it is expected to reach 4.26m users by 2029, while user penetration is projected to be 67.1% in 2024 and 70.0% by 2029.
The average revenue per user (ARPU) is expected to be US$480.60.
Additionally, it is anticipated that 35% of the total revenue in the Public Transportation market will be generated through online sales by 2029.
When compared globally, United States is predicted to generate the highest revenue of US$52bn in 2024.
Denmark's public transportation system is highly efficient, with a strong emphasis on sustainability and accessibility.

Definition:

Local public transportation is used to transport people in everyday traffic by road, water, railway tracks, and sometimes by air (cable car) for local and regional transportation. In this market, revenues generated by ticket sales from public transportation companies, such as BVG (Berlin Transport Company), TfL (Transport for London), or Toei (東京都交通局: Tokyo Metropolitan Bureau of Transportation) are considered. Most providers sell single and group tickets or time-limited tickets for up to one year. This market does not take long-distance public transportation with national travel offerings into consideration.

Additional Information:

The main performance indicators of the Flights market are revenues, average revenue per user (ARPU), user numbers and user penetration rates. Additionally, online and offline sales channel shares display the distribution of online and offline bookings. The ARPU refers to the average revenue one user generates per year while the revenue represents the total booking volume. Revenues are generated through both online and offline sales channels and include exclusively B2C revenues and users for the above-mentioned markets. User numbers show only those individuals who have made a reservation, independent of the number of travelers on the booking. Each user is only counted once per year. Additional definitions for each market can be found within the respective market pages.

The booking volume includes all booked rides made by users from the selected region, regardless of where the ride took place.

For further information on the data displayed, refer to the info button right next to each box.

Local and regional public transportation by road, water, rail, and air
Regular transportation by bus, train, tram, subway, suburban trains, ferries, cable car, and trolleybus
All online and offline bookings for public transportation tickets and subscriptions, irrespective of the sales channel
Time-limited subscriptions and single tickets

Tickets for long-distance public transportation with nationwide travel offers
Private transportation
Freight transportation

The Public Transportation market in Denmark has been experiencing significant growth in recent years. Customer preferences have shifted towards more sustainable modes of transportation, leading to increased demand for public transportation services. Additionally, local special circumstances and underlying macroeconomic factors have contributed to the development of the market.

Customer preferences: In Denmark, there has been a growing emphasis on sustainability and reducing carbon emissions. As a result, many customers are choosing public transportation over private vehicles. This shift in customer preferences is driven by a desire to reduce environmental impact and contribute to a more sustainable future. Additionally, the convenience and cost-effectiveness of public transportation services have also played a role in attracting customers.

Trends in the market: One of the key trends in the Public Transportation market in Denmark is the expansion of infrastructure. The government has invested heavily in improving and expanding public transportation networks, including the construction of new railway lines and the introduction of electric buses. These investments have not only improved the accessibility and efficiency of public transportation but also created new opportunities for market growth. Another trend in the market is the integration of technology. Public transportation providers in Denmark are adopting digital solutions to enhance the customer experience. This includes the introduction of mobile ticketing systems, real-time tracking of buses and trains, and the integration of payment options such as contactless payments. These technological advancements have made public transportation more convenient and user-friendly, further encouraging customers to choose this mode of transportation.

Local special circumstances: Denmark is known for its well-developed cycling infrastructure, and this has had an impact on the Public Transportation market. Many customers prefer to combine cycling with public transportation, using bicycles for short distances and public transportation for longer journeys. This unique combination of modes of transportation has led to the development of integrated systems that cater to the needs of cyclists, such as bike-sharing programs and bike racks at public transportation stations.

Underlying macroeconomic factors: The strong economy of Denmark has also contributed to the growth of the Public Transportation market. As the economy has prospered, more people have entered the workforce, leading to an increase in commuting and the demand for reliable transportation options. Public transportation has emerged as a viable and cost-effective solution for many individuals, especially in urban areas where traffic congestion and limited parking spaces are common. In conclusion, the Public Transportation market in Denmark is experiencing growth due to a shift in customer preferences towards sustainability and cost-effectiveness. The expansion of infrastructure, integration of technology, and the unique combination of cycling and public transportation have further fueled this growth. Additionally, the strong economy and increasing commuting needs have created a favorable environment for the development of the market.

Data coverage:

The data encompasses B2C enterprises. Figures are based on bookings, revenues, and online shares of public transportation.

Modeling approach:

Market sizes are determined through a bottom-up approach, building on a specific rationale for each market. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use financial reports, third-party studies and reports, federal statistical offices, industry associations, and price data. To estimate the number of users and bookings, we furthermore use data from the Statista Consumer Insigths Global survey. In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as demographic data, GDP, consumer spending, internet penetration, and device usage. This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the relevant market. For example, ARIMA, which allows time series forecasts, accounting for stationarity of data and enabling short-term estimates. Additionally, simple linear regression, Holt-Winters forecast, the S-curve function and exponential trend smoothing methods are applied.

Additional notes:

The data is modeled using current exchange rates. The market is updated twice a year in case market dynamics change.

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