Public Transportation - Uganda

  • Uganda
  • The Public Transportation market in Uganda is expected to generate a revenue of US$87.27m by 2024.
  • This revenue is projected to increase at an annual growth rate of 5.30%, resulting in a market volume of US$113.00m by 2029.
  • Additionally, the number of users in this market is expected to reach 19.17m users by 2029, with user penetration projected to be 27.9% in 2024 and 33.7% by 2029.
  • The average revenue per user (ARPU) in this market is anticipated to be US$6.26.
  • It is also projected that 15% of the total revenue in the Public Transportation market will be generated through online sales by 2029.
  • When compared to other countries, United States is expected to generate the most revenue in this market, with a projected revenue of US$52bn in 2024.
  • Uganda's public transportation system is undergoing a transformation with the introduction of new buses and improved infrastructure.

Key regions: South America, Malaysia, China, Thailand, United States

 
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Analyst Opinion

The Public Transportation market in Uganda is experiencing significant growth and development in recent years.

Customer preferences:
Customers in Uganda are increasingly opting for public transportation due to various reasons. One of the main reasons is the cost-effectiveness of using public transportation compared to private vehicles. With rising fuel prices and maintenance costs, many individuals find it more economical to use public transportation for their daily commute. Additionally, public transportation offers a convenient and hassle-free way to travel, especially in congested urban areas where parking and traffic can be major challenges. Moreover, public transportation provides a sustainable mode of transportation, reducing carbon emissions and contributing to a cleaner environment.

Trends in the market:
One of the key trends in the public transportation market in Uganda is the expansion and improvement of existing infrastructure. The government has been investing in the construction of new roads, bridges, and bus terminals to enhance connectivity and efficiency. This has led to improved accessibility and reduced travel times for commuters. Additionally, there has been a shift towards modernizing the public transportation fleet by introducing newer and more fuel-efficient vehicles. This not only improves the overall experience for passengers but also reduces operating costs for transportation companies.

Local special circumstances:
Uganda has a rapidly growing population, especially in urban areas, which has led to increased demand for public transportation. With more people moving to cities in search of better job opportunities, the need for reliable and efficient transportation options has become crucial. Furthermore, the presence of a large informal sector in Uganda has also contributed to the growth of the public transportation market. Many individuals rely on public transportation to commute to work and transport goods for their businesses.

Underlying macroeconomic factors:
The economic growth in Uganda has had a positive impact on the public transportation market. As the economy expands, more people are able to afford public transportation services, leading to increased demand. Additionally, the government's efforts to improve infrastructure and promote urban development have created opportunities for the public transportation sector to grow. Furthermore, the rising urbanization rate in Uganda has also contributed to the growth of the market, as more people are moving to cities and relying on public transportation for their daily commute. In conclusion, the Public Transportation market in Uganda is witnessing significant growth and development due to customer preferences for cost-effective and convenient transportation options. The expansion and improvement of infrastructure, along with the modernization of the public transportation fleet, are key trends in the market. The growing population, presence of a large informal sector, and underlying macroeconomic factors such as economic growth and urbanization are driving the growth of the market.

Methodology

Data coverage:

The data encompasses B2C enterprises. Figures are based on bookings, revenues, and online shares of public transportation.

Modeling approach:

Market sizes are determined through a bottom-up approach, building on a specific rationale for each market. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use financial reports, third-party studies and reports, federal statistical offices, industry associations, and price data. To estimate the number of users and bookings, we furthermore use data from the Statista Consumer Insigths Global survey. In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as demographic data, GDP, consumer spending, internet penetration, and device usage. This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the relevant market. For example, ARIMA, which allows time series forecasts, accounting for stationarity of data and enabling short-term estimates. Additionally, simple linear regression, Holt-Winters forecast, the S-curve function and exponential trend smoothing methods are applied.

Additional notes:

The data is modeled using current exchange rates. The market is updated twice a year in case market dynamics change.

Overview

  • Revenue
  • Sales Channels
  • Analyst Opinion
  • Users
  • Global Comparison
  • Methodology
  • Key Market Indicators
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