Flights - Uganda

  • Uganda
  • The projected revenue for the Flights market in Uganda is expected to amount to US$105.50m by 2024.
  • The market volume is anticipated to increase to US$135.90m by 2029, reflecting an annual growth rate of 5.19%.
  • Additionally, the number of users in this market is projected to reach 2.06m users by 2029.
  • As for user penetration, it is expected to rise from 3.1% in 2024 to 3.6% by 2029.
  • The average revenue per user (ARPU) is forecasted to be US$68.28.
  • Furthermore, it is projected that 77% of the total revenue generated by the Flights market in Uganda will result from online sales by 2029.
  • It is interesting to note that among all countries, United States is expected to generate the most revenue in this market, with the projected revenue of US$143bn in 2024.
  • Uganda's flight market is expanding rapidly, with new airlines and routes being introduced to meet the growing demand for domestic and international travel.

Key regions: India, China, Europe, Indonesia, Thailand

 
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Analyst Opinion

The Flights market in Uganda has been experiencing steady growth in recent years, driven by increasing customer preferences for air travel, emerging trends in the market, and local special circumstances.

Customer preferences:
Customers in Uganda are increasingly choosing air travel as their preferred mode of transportation. This can be attributed to several factors, including the convenience and time-saving benefits of flying. With the expansion of airlines and routes, customers have more options to choose from, making air travel a more accessible and attractive option. Additionally, the growing middle class in Uganda has led to an increase in disposable income, allowing more people to afford air travel.

Trends in the market:
One of the key trends in the Flights market in Uganda is the increasing demand for domestic flights. As the country's infrastructure improves, more airlines are offering domestic routes, making it easier for Ugandans to travel within the country. This trend is also driven by the desire to explore Uganda's diverse landscapes, including national parks, lakes, and mountains. Domestic tourism is on the rise, and this has contributed to the growth of the domestic flights market. Another trend in the market is the emergence of low-cost carriers. These airlines offer affordable fares, attracting price-sensitive customers who may have previously been unable to afford air travel. The presence of low-cost carriers has increased competition in the market, leading to lower fares and more options for customers.

Local special circumstances:
Uganda is known for its rich wildlife and natural beauty, attracting tourists from around the world. The country is home to several national parks, including Bwindi Impenetrable National Park, known for its population of mountain gorillas. This has created a demand for international flights, as tourists from different countries visit Uganda to experience its unique wildlife and landscapes.

Underlying macroeconomic factors:
The growth of the Flights market in Uganda can also be attributed to underlying macroeconomic factors. The country's economy has been growing steadily, with improvements in infrastructure and increased foreign investment. This has led to the development of airports and the expansion of airlines, making air travel more accessible to a larger population. In conclusion, the Flights market in Uganda is developing due to increasing customer preferences for air travel, emerging trends such as the demand for domestic flights and the emergence of low-cost carriers, local special circumstances such as the country's rich wildlife, and underlying macroeconomic factors including economic growth and infrastructure development.

Methodology

Data coverage:

The data encompasses B2C enterprises. Figures are based on bookings, revenues, and online shares of flights.

Modeling approach:

Market sizes are determined through a bottom-up approach, building on a specific rationale for each market. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use financial reports, third-party studies and reports, federal statistical offices, industry associations, and price data. To estimate the number of users and bookings, we furthermore use data from the Statista Consumer Insigths Global survey. In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as demographic data, GDP, consumer spending, internet penetration, and device usage. This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the relevant market. For example, ARIMA, which allows time series forecasts, accounting for stationarity of data and enabling short-term estimates. Additionally, simple linear regression, Holt-Winters forecast, the S-curve function and exponential trend smoothing methods are applied.

Additional notes:

The data is modeled using current exchange rates. The market is updated twice a year in case market dynamics change.

Overview

  • Revenue
  • Key Players
  • Sales Channels
  • Analyst Opinion
  • Users
  • Global Comparison
  • Methodology
  • Key Market Indicators
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