Public Transportation - Southern Africa

Southern Africa is expected to witness a surge in its Public Transportation market revenue, projected to reach US$1.16bn by 2024.
The market is expected to grow annually at a rate of 3.00%, contributing to a projected market volume of US$1.35bn by 2029.
Furthermore, the number of users in this market is expected to reach 34.14m users by 2029, with a projected user penetration rate of 46.3% by the same year.
The average revenue per user is expected to be US$39.11.
Online sales are also expected to contribute to the revenue, accounting for 21% of the total revenue by 2029.
When compared globally, United States is anticipated to generate the highest revenue of US$52bn in 2024.
South Africa's public transportation sector is struggling to keep up with demand, leading to overcrowding and safety concerns.

Definition:

Local public transportation is used to transport people in everyday traffic by road, water, railway tracks, and sometimes by air (cable car) for local and regional transportation. In this market, revenues generated by ticket sales from public transportation companies, such as BVG (Berlin Transport Company), TfL (Transport for London), or Toei (東京都交通局: Tokyo Metropolitan Bureau of Transportation) are considered. Most providers sell single and group tickets or time-limited tickets for up to one year. This market does not take long-distance public transportation with national travel offerings into consideration.

Additional Information:

The main performance indicators of the Flights market are revenues, average revenue per user (ARPU), user numbers and user penetration rates. Additionally, online and offline sales channel shares display the distribution of online and offline bookings. The ARPU refers to the average revenue one user generates per year while the revenue represents the total booking volume. Revenues are generated through both online and offline sales channels and include exclusively B2C revenues and users for the above-mentioned markets. User numbers show only those individuals who have made a reservation, independent of the number of travelers on the booking. Each user is only counted once per year. Additional definitions for each market can be found within the respective market pages.

The booking volume includes all booked rides made by users from the selected region, regardless of where the ride took place.

For further information on the data displayed, refer to the info button right next to each box.

Local and regional public transportation by road, water, rail, and air
Regular transportation by bus, train, tram, subway, suburban trains, ferries, cable car, and trolleybus
All online and offline bookings for public transportation tickets and subscriptions, irrespective of the sales channel
Time-limited subscriptions and single tickets

Tickets for long-distance public transportation with nationwide travel offers
Private transportation
Freight transportation

The Public Transportation market in Southern Africa is experiencing significant growth and development.

Customer preferences: Customers in Southern Africa are increasingly opting for public transportation due to several factors. Firstly, the rising urban population and congestion in major cities have made private vehicle ownership and usage less attractive. Additionally, the cost of fuel and maintenance for private vehicles has also increased, making public transportation a more cost-effective option for many individuals. Furthermore, the growing awareness of environmental issues has led to a shift towards more sustainable modes of transportation, with public transportation being a key component of this trend.

Trends in the market: One of the major trends in the public transportation market in Southern Africa is the expansion and modernization of existing transportation systems. Governments and transportation authorities are investing in the improvement of infrastructure, including the construction of new roads, railways, and bus lanes. This expansion is aimed at increasing the capacity and efficiency of public transportation, as well as reducing travel times and congestion. Another trend in the market is the integration of technology into public transportation systems. This includes the implementation of smart ticketing systems, real-time passenger information systems, and mobile applications for trip planning and payment. These technological advancements are enhancing the overall user experience and making public transportation more convenient and accessible for customers.

Local special circumstances: Southern Africa is a diverse region with varying levels of economic development and infrastructure. In some countries, such as South Africa and Botswana, public transportation systems are relatively well-established and efficient. However, in other countries, particularly those with lower levels of economic development, public transportation infrastructure is still underdeveloped and inadequate.

Underlying macroeconomic factors: The development of the public transportation market in Southern Africa is influenced by several macroeconomic factors. Economic growth and urbanization are key drivers of the market, as they lead to increased demand for transportation services. Additionally, government policies and regulations play a crucial role in shaping the market. Governments are implementing measures to promote public transportation and reduce reliance on private vehicles, such as the introduction of congestion charges and the expansion of public transportation networks. In conclusion, the Public Transportation market in Southern Africa is experiencing growth and development due to customer preferences for cost-effective and sustainable transportation options. The expansion and modernization of existing transportation systems, as well as the integration of technology, are key trends in the market. However, there are local special circumstances and underlying macroeconomic factors that influence the development of the market in different countries within the region.

Data coverage:

The data encompasses B2C enterprises. Figures are based on bookings, revenues, and online shares of public transportation.

Modeling approach:

Market sizes are determined through a bottom-up approach, building on a specific rationale for each market. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use financial reports, third-party studies and reports, federal statistical offices, industry associations, and price data. To estimate the number of users and bookings, we furthermore use data from the Statista Consumer Insigths Global survey. In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as demographic data, GDP, consumer spending, internet penetration, and device usage. This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the relevant market. For example, ARIMA, which allows time series forecasts, accounting for stationarity of data and enabling short-term estimates. Additionally, simple linear regression, Holt-Winters forecast, the S-curve function and exponential trend smoothing methods are applied.

Additional notes:

The data is modeled using current exchange rates. The market is updated twice a year in case market dynamics change.

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