Passenger Cars - Southern Africa

  • Southern Africa
  • Revenue in the Passenger Cars market is projected to reach US$9,241.0m in 2024.
  • Revenue is expected to show an annual growth rate (CAGR 2024-2029) of -0.04%, resulting in a projected market volume of US$9,221.0m by 2029.
  • The market's largest segment is SUVs with a projected market volume of US$4,689.0m in 2024.
  • Passenger Cars market unit sales are expected to reach 320.40k vehicles in 2029.
  • The volume weighted average price of Passenger Cars market is expected to amount to US$28.40k in 2024.
  • With a vehicle unit sales share of 20.1% in 2024, Volkswagen is expected to have one of the highest market share in the selected region.
  • The value market share of the make Other in the selected region is expected to stand at 20.8% in 2024.
  • From an international perspective it is shown that the most revenue will be generated in the United States (US$605bn in 2024).

Key regions: United States, Germany, Europe, China, India

 
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Analyst Opinion

The Passenger Cars market in Southern Africa is experiencing significant growth and development due to various factors.

Customer preferences:
Customers in Southern Africa have shown a strong preference for passenger cars that are fuel-efficient and environmentally friendly. With rising concerns about climate change and the need for sustainable transportation options, there has been a shift towards electric and hybrid vehicles in the region. Additionally, customers also prioritize safety features and advanced technology in their vehicles, such as autonomous driving capabilities and connectivity options.

Trends in the market:
One of the key trends in the Southern African Passenger Cars market is the increasing demand for SUVs and crossover vehicles. These vehicles offer a combination of comfort, space, and versatility, making them popular among families and young professionals. The demand for SUVs is driven by the desire for a higher driving position, improved safety features, and the ability to handle various road conditions. Another trend in the market is the growing popularity of online car sales platforms. Customers in Southern Africa are increasingly turning to online platforms to research, compare, and purchase vehicles. This trend is driven by the convenience and transparency offered by online platforms, as well as the ability to access a wider range of vehicle options.

Local special circumstances:
One of the key factors influencing the Passenger Cars market in Southern Africa is the high import tariffs and taxes imposed on vehicles. These tariffs can significantly increase the cost of importing vehicles, making them more expensive for customers. As a result, many customers opt for locally manufactured vehicles, which are often more affordable due to lower production costs. This has led to the growth of the local automotive industry in Southern Africa.

Underlying macroeconomic factors:
The development of the Passenger Cars market in Southern Africa is also influenced by underlying macroeconomic factors. Economic growth, disposable income levels, and consumer confidence play a significant role in driving demand for passenger cars. As the economy in Southern Africa continues to grow, more individuals and households are able to afford passenger cars, leading to increased demand in the market. Additionally, favorable financing options and low interest rates also contribute to the growth of the market by making cars more affordable for customers. In conclusion, the Passenger Cars market in Southern Africa is experiencing growth and development driven by customer preferences for fuel-efficient and technologically advanced vehicles, as well as the increasing demand for SUVs and online car sales platforms. The high import tariffs and taxes on vehicles, along with underlying macroeconomic factors such as economic growth and disposable income levels, also contribute to the development of the market.

Methodology

Data coverage:

The data encompasses B2C enterprises. Figures are based on the sales of new passenger cars. Data on the specifications of the sold vehicles is based on the base models of the respective makes.

Modeling approach:

Market sizes are determined through a bottom-up approach, building on specific predefined factors for each market segment. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use company reports and websites, vehicle registries, car dealers, and environment agencies among other sources. In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as GDP and car stock per capita. This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the relevant market. For example, we use the ARIMA model for the Passenger Cars market. The main drivers are GDP per capita and consumer spending per capita.

Additional notes:

The data is modeled using current exchange rates. The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and the Russia-Ukraine war are considered at a country-specific level. The market is updated twice a year. In some cases, the data is updated on an ad hoc basis (e.g., when new, relevant data has been released or significant changes within the market have an impact on the projected development).

Overview

  • Unit Sales
  • Analyst Opinion
  • Technical Specifications
  • Revenue
  • Price
  • Global Comparison
  • Methodology
  • Key Market Indicators
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