Retail Delivery - Bulgaria

Bulgaria

Highlights

The Reail Delivery market in Bulgaria is expected to see a significant increase in revenue in the coming years.
By 2024, the projected revenue is estimated to reach US$227.10m.
This growth is expected to continue at an annual rate of 11.28%, resulting in a projected market volume of US$387.50m by 2029.
In terms of user numbers, the Reail Delivery market is expected to have 1.4m users users by 2029.
The user penetration rate, which indicates the percentage of the population using Reail Delivery market services, is projected to rise from 16.0% in 2024 to 22.6% by 2029.
The average revenue per user (ARPU) is expected to be US$214.20.
This figure represents the average amount of revenue generated by each user in the Reail Delivery market.
When compared to other countries, United States is projected to generate the highest revenue in the Reail Delivery market, with an estimated amount of US$195.40bn in 2024.
In terms of user penetration, United States is expected to have the highest rate at 30.4% in the projected period.
Bulgaria's retail delivery market is experiencing a shift towards online platforms, driven by increasing internet penetration and changing consumer preferences.

Market definitionIn-Scope/Out-of-scopeMarket structureReportsMethodology

The Bulgarian Retail Delivery market has been showing steady growth in recent years, driven by a combination of changing customer preferences and underlying macroeconomic factors.

Customer preferences: Bulgarian consumers are increasingly turning to online shopping, with a particular focus on convenience and speed of delivery. As a result, retailers are investing in their delivery infrastructure to meet customer demand for faster and more reliable delivery options. Additionally, there has been a shift towards more sustainable delivery options, with many retailers offering eco-friendly packaging and delivery methods.

Trends in the market: One of the key trends in the Bulgarian Retail Delivery market is the rise of same-day and next-day delivery options. Retailers are investing in their logistics networks to enable faster delivery times, and customers are willing to pay a premium for this convenience. Another trend is the increasing use of technology in the delivery process, such as real-time tracking and delivery notifications. Finally, there has been a growing trend towards cross-border e-commerce, with Bulgarian consumers increasingly purchasing goods from international retailers.

Local special circumstances: One of the unique aspects of the Bulgarian market is the relatively low level of e-commerce penetration compared to other European countries. This presents both a challenge and an opportunity for retailers, as they seek to educate consumers on the benefits of online shopping while also investing in their delivery infrastructure to meet growing demand. Additionally, the relatively small size of the Bulgarian market means that retailers need to carefully balance their investment in delivery infrastructure with the potential return on investment.

Underlying macroeconomic factors: The Bulgarian economy has been growing steadily in recent years, with low unemployment and increasing consumer spending power. This has created a favorable environment for retailers looking to invest in their delivery infrastructure and expand their e-commerce operations. Additionally, Bulgaria's strategic location at the crossroads of Europe and Asia makes it an attractive destination for cross-border e-commerce, particularly as logistics networks continue to improve.

Data coverage:

The data encompasses B2C enterprises. Figures are based on Gross Merchandise Value (GMV) and represent what consumers pay for these products and services. The user metrics show the number of customers who have made at least one online purchase within the past 12 months.

Modeling approach / Market size:

Market sizes are determined through a bottom-up approach, building on predefined factors for each market. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use annual financial reports of the market-leading companies, third-party studies and reports, as well as survey results from our primary research (e.g., the Statista Global Consumer Survey). In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as GDP, GDP per capita, and internet connection speed. This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the relevant market. For example, the S-curve function and exponential trend smoothing. The main drivers are internet users, urban population, usage of key players, and attitudes toward online services.

Additional notes:

The market is updated twice a year in case market dynamics change. The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and the Russia-Ukraine war are considered at a country-specific level. GCS data is reweighted for representativeness.