Grocery Delivery - Kyrgyzstan

  • Kyrgyzstan
  • The Grocery Delivery market in Kyrgyzstan is projected to reach a revenue of US$82.88m by 2024.
  • This indicates an expected annual growth rate (CAGR 2024-2029) of 11.96%.
  • Consequently, the market volume is projected to reach US$145.80m by 2029.
  • In comparison, the Retail Delivery market is expected to have a market volume of US$80.03m in 2024.
  • Among global markets, China is anticipated to generate the highest revenue, amounting to US$266.00bn in the same year.
  • The Grocery Delivery market is projected to have an average revenue per user (ARPU) of US$100.10 in 2024.
  • The number of users in this market is expected to reach 1,269.0k users by 2029, reflecting an increase in user penetration to 12.1% in 2024.
  • Despite being a developing country, Kyrgyzstan has seen a rapid growth in online grocery delivery services, catering to the needs of busy urban dwellers.
 
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Analyst Opinion

Kyrgyzstan, a small country in Central Asia, has seen a significant increase in the Grocery Delivery market in recent years.

Customer preferences:
Kyrgyzstan has a young population, with a high percentage of tech-savvy individuals. This has led to an increased demand for online shopping and home delivery services. Additionally, the COVID-19 pandemic has accelerated the shift towards online shopping as people prefer to stay at home and avoid crowded places.

Trends in the market:
The Grocery Delivery market in Kyrgyzstan is growing rapidly, with both local and international players entering the market. The market is highly competitive with companies offering various incentives to attract customers such as free delivery and discounts. There is also a growing trend towards the use of mobile apps for grocery delivery services, making it more convenient for customers to shop.

Local special circumstances:
Kyrgyzstan is a landlocked country with a mountainous terrain, which makes it difficult for people in remote areas to access grocery stores. This has created a demand for grocery delivery services, especially in rural areas. Additionally, the country has a large population of migrant workers who prefer to send groceries to their families back home.

Underlying macroeconomic factors:
Kyrgyzstan is a developing country with a growing middle class. The increase in disposable income has led to a higher demand for convenience, which has contributed to the growth of the Grocery Delivery market. The government has also been supportive of the e-commerce industry, providing incentives for businesses to invest in the sector. However, the country still faces challenges such as poor infrastructure and a lack of regulation, which can hinder the growth of the market in the long run.

Methodology

Data coverage:

The data encompasses B2C enterprises. Figures are based on Gross Merchandise Value (GMV) and represent what consumers pay for these products and services. The user metrics show the number of customers who have made at least one online purchase within the past 12 months.

Modeling approach / Market size:

Market sizes are determined through a bottom-up approach, building on predefined factors for each market. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use annual financial reports of the market-leading companies, third-party studies and reports, as well as survey results from our primary research (e.g., the Statista Global Consumer Survey). In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as GDP, GDP per capita, and internet connection speed. This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the relevant market. For example, the S-curve function and exponential trend smoothing. The main drivers are internet users, urban population, usage of key players, and attitudes toward online services.

Additional notes:

The market is updated twice a year in case market dynamics change. The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and the Russia-Ukraine war are considered at a country-specific level. GCS data is reweighted for representativeness.

Overview

  • Revenue
  • Analyst Opinion
  • Users
  • Global Comparison
  • Methodology
  • Key Market Indicators
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